Result
2:2
15/04/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 36
- Referee: Frances R. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Burgos
44.7% | Draw
32.3% | Ponferradina
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Burgos - Ponferradina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.08) |
2.9 ↓
(2.95) |
4.09 ↑
(3.96) |
6.2%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Burgos - Ponferradina?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 33.7% – 75.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Burgos has the most likely position - 8 (19.54%), project points - 58, currently - 49, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Ponferradina has the most likely position - 20 (48.05%), project points - 42, currently - 35, a good chance of relegated (89%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 27, small importance 24, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Burgos won 3.
- Burgos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Ponferradina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Burgos will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Burgos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Ponferradina?
Burgos has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Burgos?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Ponferradina were as follows:
05.12.2022
Ponferradina
-
Burgos
1:2
Latest results of Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 79:57 | 22 | 72 |
| 2 | Almeria | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 78:58 | 20 | 70 |
| 3 | Dep. La Coruna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:41 | 18 | 68 |
| 4 | Las Palmas | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 51:32 | 19 | 66 |
| 5 | Castellon | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:48 | 17 | 64 |
| 6 | Malaga | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 66:49 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 44:33 | 11 | 62 |
| 8 | Eibar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:36 | 11 | 61 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:56 | -2 | 57 |
| 10 | Andorra | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 55 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 46:58 | -12 | 54 |
| 12 | Gijon | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 51:49 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | Albacete | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 49:51 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 48 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:50 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:46 | -5 | 42 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46:54 | -8 | 42 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Huesca | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 39:59 | -20 | 36 |
| 20 | Mirandes | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 42:64 | -22 | 36 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33:51 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 35:62 | -27 | 33 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
