Muangthong United vs Buriram United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Thammasat Stadium (Bangkok).

Thai FA Cup - Final
Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 1, True ID

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	2.37
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
84% (346/411)	76% (247/327)
Yellow Cards
0	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	2.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.83	2.07
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
6	9
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
13	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
17	14
Passes
84% (346/411)	76% (247/327)
Long passes
52% (26/50)	29% (17/58)
Passes in final third
75% (101/134)	60% (59/99)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.62	0.59
Throw-ins
25	22
Fouls
14	17
Tackles
73% (8/11)	92% (12/13)
Duels won
41	41
Clearances
13	17
Interceptions
10	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
2.07	1.83
Goals prevented
-0.93	-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', Dougall K. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Bissoli (Pen),
35', 0 - 2, Causic G. ⚽, Good C. (A),
40', Jaided S. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 2, Arjvirai P. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hong Jung-Woon ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
51', 1 - 3, Bissoli ⚽,
59', Sukjitthammakul P. 🟨,
63', Roback E. ↓, Thodsanit P. ↑,
63', Autra P. ↓, Sattham J. ↑,
65', Sukjitthammakul P. ↓, Haiprakon S. ↑,
65', Good C. ↓, Zulj P. ↑,
65', Bunmathan T. ↓, Cools D. ↑,
72', 2 - 3, Arjvirai P. ⚽, Thodsanit P. (A),
78', Etheridge N. 🟨,
78', Khamyok K. ↓, Yoryoei T. ↑,
81', Maikami R. ↓, Stephen Berg A. ↑,
88', Jaided S. ↓, Hemviboon P. ↑,

Chances of winning

Muangthong United
17.5%

Draw
25.9%

Buriram United
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

27%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

25.7%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Muangthong United - Buriram United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↓ (6.36)	3.56 ↑ (3.38)	1.63 ↑ (1.56)	8.4% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Muangthong United - Buriram United?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Muangthong United (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Neutral location - Thammasat Stadium.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 1.
Muangthong United is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Buriram is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Buriram may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Buriram is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:39. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.7:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Buriram United?

Muangthong United has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Muangthong United?

Buriram United has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Buriram United were as follows:

23.02.2025 Muangthong United - Buriram United 1:3

22.12.2024 Buriram United - Muangthong United 1:0

22.05.2024 Buriram United - Muangthong United 0:2

27.04.2024 Buriram United - Muangthong United 3:1

03.12.2023 Muangthong United - Buriram United 2:2

Latest results of Muangthong United

10.05.2025 Muangthong United - Ratchaburi 3:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Muangthong United - Nakhon Ratchasima 2:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Sukhothai - Muangthong United 2:5 ✺

20.04.2025 Uthai Thani - Muangthong United 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Muangthong United - Uthai Thani 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Buriram United

21.05.2025 Buriram United - Cong An Ha Noi 4:3 ✺

18.05.2025 Nongbua Pitchaya - Buriram United 0:7 ✺

14.05.2025 Cong An Ha Noi - Buriram United 2:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Buriram United - Pathum United 3:0 ✺

07.05.2025 Pathum United - Buriram United 0:0 ✺

Draw

2024/25

1/16-finals

1	Khonkaen FC	Cha Choeng Sao	3 : 1
2	Sukhothai	Muang Loei	4 : 0
3	Bangkok Utd	Nong Bua Pitchaya	3 : 0
4	Nakhon Pathom	Muang Thong Utd	0 : 4
5	Bangkok FC	Suphanburi	2 : 3
6	Ratchaburi	Thai Navy	3 : 0
7	Phrae	Rayong FC	1 : 0
8	Nakhon Si	Lampang	3 : 2
9	Kasem Bundit	Chanthaburi	0 : 1
10	Raj Pracha	Muangnont	1 : 0
11	Mahasarakham	Buriram	0 : 5
12	Chiangrai Utd	Lamphun Warrior	2 : 0
13	Kamphaeng Phet	Samut Sakhon City	0 : 2
14	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	Chonburi	2 : 1
15	Huasamrong	Surin City	0 : 1
16	Lopburi City	Pathum United	0 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Khonkaen FC	Sukhothai	0 : 1
2	Bangkok Utd	Muang Thong Utd	1 : 2
3	Suphanburi	Ratchaburi	1 : 7
4	Phrae	Nakhon Si	2 : 1
5	Chanthaburi	Raj Pracha	2 : 1
6	Buriram	Chiangrai Utd	2 : 1
7	Samut Sakhon City	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	1 : 4
8	Surin City	Pathum United	1 : 4

Quarter-finals

1	Sukhothai	Muang Thong Utd	2 : 5
2	Ratchaburi	Phrae	7 : 1
3	Chanthaburi	Buriram	0 : 1
4	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	Pathum United	1 : 3

Semi-finals

1	Muang Thong Utd	Ratchaburi	3 : 2
2	Buriram	Pathum United	3 : 0

Final

1

Muang Thong Utd

Buriram

2 : 3