Result
2:3
24/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai FA Cup - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Thailand | True Ball Thai 1, True ID |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.41 | 2.37 |
Ball Possession |
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56% | 44% |
Total shots |
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10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Passes |
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84% (346/411) | 76% (247/327) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.41 | 2.37 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.83 | 2.07 |
Total shots |
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10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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13 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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17 | 14 |
Passes |
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84% (346/411) | 76% (247/327) |
Long passes |
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52% (26/50) | 29% (17/58) |
Passes in final third |
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75% (101/134) | 60% (59/99) |
Crosses |
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17% (3/18) | 45% (5/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.62 | 0.59 |
Throw-ins |
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25 | 22 |
Fouls |
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14 | 17 |
Tackles |
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73% (8/11) | 92% (12/13) |
Duels won |
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41 | 41 |
Clearances |
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13 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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2.07 | 1.83 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.93 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 19', Dougall K. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Bissoli (Pen),
- 35', 0 - 2, Causic G. ⚽, Good C. (A),
- 40', Jaided S. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 2, Arjvirai P. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Hong Jung-Woon ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 3, Bissoli ⚽,
- 59', Sukjitthammakul P. 🟨,
- 63', Roback E. ↓, Thodsanit P. ↑,
- 63', Autra P. ↓, Sattham J. ↑,
- 65', Sukjitthammakul P. ↓, Haiprakon S. ↑,
- 65', Good C. ↓, Zulj P. ↑,
- 65', Bunmathan T. ↓, Cools D. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 3, Arjvirai P. ⚽, Thodsanit P. (A),
- 78', Etheridge N. 🟨,
- 78', Khamyok K. ↓, Yoryoei T. ↑,
- 81', Maikami R. ↓, Stephen Berg A. ↑,
- 88', Jaided S. ↓, Hemviboon P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Muangthong United 17.5% | Draw 25.9% | Buriram United 56.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Muangthong United - Buriram United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.27 ↓ (6.36) |
3.56 ↑ (3.38) |
1.63 ↑ (1.56) |
8.4% (9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Muangthong United - Buriram United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Muangthong United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Thammasat Stadium.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 1.
- Muangthong United is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Buriram is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Buriram may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Buriram is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:39. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.7:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Buriram United?
Muangthong United has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Muangthong United?
Buriram United has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Buriram United were as follows:
23.02.2025
Muangthong United
-
Buriram United
1:3
22.12.2024
Buriram United
-
Muangthong United
1:0
22.05.2024
Buriram United
-
Muangthong United
0:2
27.04.2024
Buriram United
-
Muangthong United
3:1
03.12.2023
Muangthong United
-
Buriram United
2:2
Latest results of Muangthong United
Latest results of Buriram United
Draw
2024/251/16-finals1 | Khonkaen FC | Cha Choeng Sao | 3 : 1 |
2 | Sukhothai | Muang Loei | 4 : 0 |
3 | Bangkok Utd | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 3 : 0 |
4 | Nakhon Pathom | Muang Thong Utd | 0 : 4 |
5 | Bangkok FC | Suphanburi | 2 : 3 |
6 | Ratchaburi | Thai Navy | 3 : 0 |
7 | Phrae | Rayong FC | 1 : 0 |
8 | Nakhon Si | Lampang | 3 : 2 |
9 | Kasem Bundit | Chanthaburi | 0 : 1 |
10 | Raj Pracha | Muangnont | 1 : 0 |
11 | Mahasarakham | Buriram | 0 : 5 |
12 | Chiangrai Utd | Lamphun Warrior | 2 : 0 |
13 | Kamphaeng Phet | Samut Sakhon City | 0 : 2 |
14 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Chonburi | 2 : 1 |
15 | Huasamrong | Surin City | 0 : 1 |
16 | Lopburi City | Pathum United | 0 : 3 |
1/8-finals1 | Khonkaen FC | Sukhothai | 0 : 1 |
2 | Bangkok Utd | Muang Thong Utd | 1 : 2 |
3 | Suphanburi | Ratchaburi | 1 : 7 |
4 | Phrae | Nakhon Si | 2 : 1 |
5 | Chanthaburi | Raj Pracha | 2 : 1 |
6 | Buriram | Chiangrai Utd | 2 : 1 |
7 | Samut Sakhon City | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 1 : 4 |
8 | Surin City | Pathum United | 1 : 4 |
Quarter-finals1 | Sukhothai | Muang Thong Utd | 2 : 5 |
2 | Ratchaburi | Phrae | 7 : 1 |
3 | Chanthaburi | Buriram | 0 : 1 |
4 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Pathum United | 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals1 | Muang Thong Utd | Ratchaburi | 3 : 2 |
2 | Buriram | Pathum United | 3 : 0 |
Final1 | Muang Thong Utd | Buriram | 2 : 3 |