Result
0:5
22/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/441) | 84% (407/483) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/441) | 84% (407/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (18/41) | 57% (32/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (77/120) | 60% (67/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.98 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.02 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Zulj R. ⚽, Weerawatnodom N. (A),
- 32', Dunnwald-Turan K. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 2, Bissoli ⚽, Mueanta S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Roback E. ↓, Lorenzen M. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 3, Zulj R. ⚽, Haiprakon S. (A),
- 53', 0 - 4, Zulj R. ⚽,
- 57', Gremsl A. ↓, Pipatnadda K. ↑,
- 57', Kraikruan S. ↓, Tsonkov S. ↑,
- 65', Zulj R. ↓, Zulj P. ↑,
- 73', Ko Myeong-Seok ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
- 73', Mueanta S. ↓, Charoenrattanapirom P. ↑,
- 75', Dunnwald-Turan K. ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
- 75', Panthong S. ↓, Wettayawong K. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 5, Bissoli ⚽, Weerawatnodom N. (A),
- 85', Orji N. 🟨,
- 85', Bissoli 🟨,
- 85', Nuntagowat T. ↓, Phosri S. ↑,
- 86', Causic G. ↓, Maikami R. ↑,
- 87', Bissoli ↓, Chotmuangpak T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Muangthong United
19% | Draw
22.9% | Buriram United
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Muangthong United - Buriram United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.81 ↑
(4.73) |
3.99 ↓
(4.06) |
1.57 ↓
(1.59) |
9.5%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Muangthong United - Buriram United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Buriram (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Buriram (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 1.
- Muangthong United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Buriram has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Buriram is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.6:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Buriram United?
Muangthong United has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Muangthong United?
Buriram United has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Buriram United were as follows:
24.05.2025
Muangthong United
-
Buriram United
2:3
23.02.2025
Muangthong United
-
Buriram United
1:3
22.12.2024
Buriram United
-
Muangthong United
1:0
22.05.2024
Buriram United
-
Muangthong United
0:2
27.04.2024
Buriram United
-
Muangthong United
3:1
Latest results of Muangthong United
Latest results of Buriram United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 57:20 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 42:19 | 23 | 39 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 39 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 32:20 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31:21 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Prachuap | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 28:31 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Uthai Thani | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
| 10 | Chonburi | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Chiangrai Utd | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 15:30 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 28:38 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 14 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13:33 | -20 | 13 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
