Result
2:3 ET
18/04/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Afghanistan | Ariana |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, Q Football Asia, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI, Migu |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1 |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (399/485) | 78% (341/437) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (399/485) | 78% (341/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (48/84) | 39% (30/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (96/151) | 57% (62/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.48 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Zulj P. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Toku E. ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 2, Ezatolahi S. ⚽, Renan (A),
- 52', Dougall K. 🟨,
- 56', Breno 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 2, Bissoli (Penalty Awarded),
- 70', 2 - 2, Zulj P. ⚽,
- 74', Mateusao ↓, Adil S. ↑,
- 79', Breno ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 81', Zulj P. 🟨,
- 83', Al Menhali R. 🟨,
- 88', Cartabia F. ↓, Al Mansouri M. ↑,
- 90', Gomes I. ↓, Mateus Henrique ↑,
- 90+2', Walsh S. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 1)
- 93', 2 - 3, Renan ⚽,
- 99', Jaided S. ↓, Haiprakon S. ↑,
- 102', Good C. 🟨,
- 106', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Al Nuaimi E. ↑,
- 112', Walsh S. ↓, Bunmathan T. ↑,
- 113', Yuri Cesar ↓, Thiago ↑,
- 116', Causic G. 🟨,
- 120+4', Ko Myeong-Seok 🟥,
Chances of winning
Buriram United
20.4% | Draw
24.7% | Shabab Al-Ahli
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shabab Al-Ahli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Buriram United - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.61 ↓
(4.83) |
3.81 ↓
(4.03) |
1.71 ↑
(1.6) |
6.4%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Buriram United - Shabab Al-Ahli?
Users Predictions:
Shabab Al-Ahli will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- Buriram is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shabab Al-Ahli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Shabab Al-Ahli has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Shabab Al-Ahli is considered a favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Shabab Al-Ahli?
Buriram United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Buriram United?
Shabab Al-Ahli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Buriram United - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:
Latest results of Buriram United
Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | 3 : 4 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al-Sadd (8) | Vissel Kobe (2) | 3 : 4 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Johor DT (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Machida (1) | Al Ittihad (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Buriram (4) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | 2 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Al Ahli SC (2) | |
| 2 | Machida (1) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
Final
