Result
0:0
26/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3 |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (496/567) | 83% (434/520) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (496/567) | 83% (434/520) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (42/60) | 38% (18/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (66/101) | 49% (32/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 73', Bissoli ↓, Mueanta S. ↑,
- 80', Lacava M. ↓, Ko Seung-Beom ↑,
- 82', Trojak M. 🟨,
- 82', Ibiza ↓, Bunmathan T. ↑,
- 85', Lee H. ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
- 85', Marcao ↓, Heo Yool ↑,
- 85', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
- 87', Bunmathan T. 🟨,
- 90', Baek In-Woo 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yc3y954w
Chances of winning
Ulsan HD
31.2% | Draw
28.6% | Buriram United
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulsan HD's form might have worsened.Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buriram United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan HD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buriram United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ulsan HD - Buriram United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↑
(2.1) |
3.36 ↓
(3.56) |
2.39 ↓
(3.19) |
4.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Buriram United?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Buriram will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Buriram (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Buriram (1.72) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Ulsan (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 6 - 50%). Buriram (votes: 6 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Ulsan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Buriram is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Buriram is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ulsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulsan HD won against Buriram United?
Ulsan HD has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Ulsan HD?
Buriram United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulsan HD - Buriram United were as follows:
12.02.2025
Buriram United
-
Ulsan HD
2:1
Latest results of Ulsan HD
Latest results of Buriram United
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
