Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
912
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Johnson Z. , McMahon-Brown K. (A),
  • 43', Brierley G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Smith C. , Mintus M. (A),
  • 60', Leuluai M. , Egan-Riley R. ,
  • 60', Brierley G. , Pouani B. ,
  • 63', Davidson J. , Perry J. ,
  • 63', Wade S. , Wilson C. ,
  • 63', Jones F. , Robinson K. ,
  • 73', Johnson Z. , Scanlon L. ,
  • 74', Campbell M. 🟨,
  • 79', Wahling J. 🟨,
  • 82', Mintus M. , Hodges D. ,
  • 83', McMahon-Brown K. , Okonkwo D. ,
  • 83', Masara V. , Derbyshire B. ,
  • 90+2', Pimlott O. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Smith C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Burnley U21
45.6%
Draw
24.4%
Derby County U21
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 24.8% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 23.5% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley U21 than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burnley U21 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burnley U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.28)
    3.73
    (3.74)
    3.03
    (2.7)
    10%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Burnley U21 - Derby County U21?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Burnley U21 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 27 and 28).
    • Recent performances by Burnley U21 have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Derby U21 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Derby U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Burnley U21
    English Premier League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chelsea U21 ✔ 19141451:232843
    2Manchester Utd U21 ✔ 18124240:221840
    3Manchester City U21 ✔ 18121556:203637
    4Southampton U21 ✔ 19106336:28836
    5Fulham U2119105446:311535
    6Liverpool U2120112749:361335
    7Ipswich U2118112538:37135
    8West Ham U211986542:321030
    9Brighton U211985638:251329
    10Leicester U211984745:40528
    11Crystal Palace U211884634:29528
    12Sunderland U211883738:36227
    13Tottenham U211782736:30626
    14Arsenal U211875627:31-426
    15Middlesbrough U211966735:28724
    16Aston Villa U211673629:32-324
    17Nottingham U2119721021:23-223
    18Stoke City U211864828:41-1322
    19Wolves U211864829:43-1422
    20Everton U211863924:31-721
    21Reading U211863923:33-1021
    22Norwich U211955932:39-720
    23Newcastle Utd U211855826:33-720
    24Leeds U2118531025:35-1018
    25West Brom U2119531126:40-1418
    26Birmingham U2118441025:48-2316
    27Derby U211735922:39-1714
    28Burnley U2119341222:40-1813
    29Blackburn U2117321224:42-1811

          Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Chelsea U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester Utd U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester City U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Southampton U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)