Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
912
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Johnson Z. , McMahon-Brown K. (A),
  • 43', Brierley G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Smith C. , Mintus M. (A),
  • 60', Leuluai M. , Egan-Riley R. ,
  • 60', Brierley G. , Pouani B. ,
  • 63', Davidson J. , Perry J. ,
  • 63', Wade S. , Wilson C. ,
  • 63', Jones F. , Robinson K. ,
  • 73', Johnson Z. , Scanlon L. ,
  • 74', Campbell M. 🟨,
  • 79', Wahling J. 🟨,
  • 82', Mintus M. , Hodges D. ,
  • 83', McMahon-Brown K. , Okonkwo D. ,
  • 83', Masara V. , Derbyshire B. ,
  • 90+2', Pimlott O. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Smith C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Burnley U21
45.6%
Draw
24.4%
Derby County U21
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 24.8% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 23.5% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley U21 than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burnley U21 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burnley U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.28)
    3.73
    (3.74)
    3.03
    (2.7)
    10%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Burnley U21 - Derby County U21?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Burnley U21 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 27 and 28).
    • Recent performances by Burnley U21 have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Derby U21 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Derby U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Burnley U21
    English Premier League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chelsea U21 ✔ 20141552:252743
    2Manchester Utd U21 ✔ 20134343:261743
    3Fulham U21 ✔ 20115448:321638
    4Ipswich U21 ✔ 19122541:37438
    5Manchester City U21 ✔ 19121656:213537
    6Southampton U21 ✔ 20106436:29736
    7Liverpool U21 ✔ 20112749:361335
    8Tottenham U21 ✔ 19102740:32832
    9Brighton U21 ✔ 2086638:251330
    10West Ham U21 ✔ 2086644:35930
    11Arsenal U21 ✔ 1985628:31-329
    12Leicester U211984745:40528
    13Crystal Palace U211984734:31328
    14Sunderland U212084841:40128
    15Aston Villa U211984731:35-428
    16Middlesbrough U212076737:28927
    17Nottingham U2120821023:23026
    18Stoke City U211974829:41-1225
    19Newcastle Utd U211965829:34-523
    20Everton U211964925:32-722
    21Reading U211964925:35-1022
    22Wolves U211964929:44-1522
    23Norwich U211955932:39-720
    24Derby U211955925:40-1520
    25Leeds U2119531126:37-1118
    26West Brom U2120531226:41-1518
    27Birmingham U2120451126:52-2617
    28Blackburn U2119421327:44-1714
    29Burnley U2120341322:42-2013

          Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Chelsea U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester Utd U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Fulham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ipswich U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester City U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Southampton U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Liverpool U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tottenham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Brighton U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    West Ham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Arsenal U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)