Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
912
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Johnson Z. , McMahon-Brown K. (A),
  • 43', Brierley G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Smith C. , Mintus M. (A),
  • 60', Leuluai M. , Egan-Riley R. ,
  • 60', Brierley G. , Pouani B. ,
  • 63', Davidson J. , Perry J. ,
  • 63', Wade S. , Wilson C. ,
  • 63', Jones F. , Robinson K. ,
  • 73', Johnson Z. , Scanlon L. ,
  • 74', Campbell M. 🟨,
  • 79', Wahling J. 🟨,
  • 82', Mintus M. , Hodges D. ,
  • 83', McMahon-Brown K. , Okonkwo D. ,
  • 83', Masara V. , Derbyshire B. ,
  • 90+2', Pimlott O. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Smith C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Burnley U21
45.6%
Draw
24.4%
Derby County U21
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 24.8% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 23.5% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley U21 than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burnley U21 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burnley U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.28)
    3.73
    (3.74)
    3.03
    (2.7)
    10%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Burnley U21 - Derby County U21?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Burnley U21 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 27 and 28).
    • Recent performances by Burnley U21 have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Derby U21 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Derby U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Burnley U21
    English Premier League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chelsea U2116111439:221734
    2Ipswich U2116111438:34434
    3Manchester Utd U2115103236:201633
    4Fulham U211695239:231632
    5Liverpool U2117102543:291432
    6Southampton U211686231:24730
    7Manchester City U211591545:192628
    8West Ham U211676335:241127
    9Tottenham U211582535:26926
    10Arsenal U211574423:21225
    11Leicester U211673636:34224
    12Brighton U211665528:21723
    13Sunderland U211563630:29121
    14Crystal Palace U211563625:25021
    15Everton U211663724:25-121
    16Wolves U211563627:32-521
    17Stoke City U211554623:30-719
    18Middlesbrough U211646626:25118
    19Aston Villa U211353524:25-118
    20Nottingham U211652915:20-517
    21Newcastle Utd U211544722:28-616
    22Norwich U211644825:34-916
    23Leeds U211543821:28-715
    24Reading U211543820:31-1115
    25Birmingham U211443722:34-1215
    26West Brom U2116331018:36-1812
    27Blackburn U211432921:34-1311
    28Burnley U2116231119:37-189
    29Derby U211515917:37-208

          Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)