Result
1:1
23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League 2
- Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Johnson Z. ⚽, McMahon-Brown K. (A),
- 43', Brierley G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 1, Smith C. ⚽, Mintus M. (A),
- 60', Leuluai M. ↓, Egan-Riley R. ↑,
- 60', Brierley G. ↓, Pouani B. ↑,
- 63', Davidson J. ↓, Perry J. ↑,
- 63', Wade S. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
- 63', Jones F. ↓, Robinson K. ↑,
- 73', Johnson Z. ↓, Scanlon L. ↑,
- 74', Campbell M. 🟨,
- 79', Wahling J. 🟨,
- 82', Mintus M. ↓, Hodges D. ↑,
- 83', McMahon-Brown K. ↓, Okonkwo D. ↑,
- 83', Masara V. ↓, Derbyshire B. ↑,
- 90+2', Pimlott O. 🟨,
- 90+2', Smith C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burnley U21 45.6% | Draw 24.4% | Derby County U21 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley U21 than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burnley U21 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Burnley U21 - Derby County U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.28) |
3.73 ↓ (3.74) |
3.03 ↑ (2.7) |
10% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Burnley U21 - Derby County U21?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Burnley U21 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 27 and 28).
- Recent performances by Burnley U21 have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Derby U21 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Derby U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley U21 won against Derby County U21?
Burnley U21 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County U21 won against Burnley U21?
Derby County U21 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley U21 - Derby County U21 were as follows:
Latest results of Burnley U21
Latest results of Derby County U21
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Chelsea U21 (1) | Middlesbrough U21 (16) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Tottenham U21 (8) | Leicester U21 (9) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ipswich U21 (5) | Brighton U21 (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 (4) | West Ham U21 (13) | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Southampton U21 (6) | Aston Villa U21 (11) | 3 : 4 |
| 6 | Manchester City U21 (3) | Arsenal U21 (14) | 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 (7) | Crystal Palace U21 (10) | 3 : 4 |
| 8 | Manchester Utd U21 (2) | Sunderland U21 (15) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Chelsea U21 | Tottenham U21 | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Brighton U21 | West Ham U21 | |
| 3 | Aston Villa U21 | Manchester City U21 | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace U21 | Manchester Utd U21 | |