Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
912
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Johnson Z. , McMahon-Brown K. (A),
  • 43', Brierley G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Smith C. , Mintus M. (A),
  • 60', Leuluai M. , Egan-Riley R. ,
  • 60', Brierley G. , Pouani B. ,
  • 63', Davidson J. , Perry J. ,
  • 63', Wade S. , Wilson C. ,
  • 63', Jones F. , Robinson K. ,
  • 73', Johnson Z. , Scanlon L. ,
  • 74', Campbell M. 🟨,
  • 79', Wahling J. 🟨,
  • 82', Mintus M. , Hodges D. ,
  • 83', McMahon-Brown K. , Okonkwo D. ,
  • 83', Masara V. , Derbyshire B. ,
  • 90+2', Pimlott O. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Smith C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Burnley U21
45.6%
Draw
24.4%
Derby County U21
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 24.8% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 23.5% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley U21 than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burnley U21 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burnley U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.28)
    3.73
    (3.74)
    3.03
    (2.7)
    10%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Burnley U21 - Derby County U21?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Burnley U21 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 27 and 28).
    • Recent performances by Burnley U21 have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Derby U21 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Derby U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Burnley U21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Chelsea U21 (1)Middlesbrough U21 (16)1 : 0
    2Tottenham U21 (8)Leicester U21 (9)1 : 0
    3Ipswich U21 (5)Brighton U21 (12)1 : 2
    4Fulham U21 (4)West Ham U21 (13)2 : 3
    5Southampton U21 (6)Aston Villa U21 (11)3 : 4
    6Manchester City U21 (3)Arsenal U21 (14)3 : 1
    7Liverpool U21 (7)Crystal Palace U21 (10)3 : 4
    8Manchester Utd U21 (2)Sunderland U21 (15)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Chelsea U21Tottenham U211 : 3
    2Brighton U21West Ham U21
    3Aston Villa U21Manchester City U212 : 3
    4Crystal Palace U21Manchester Utd U21