Apolonia Fier vs Burreli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:4
03/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Kategoria e Parë - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Alhassan K. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 3)
  • 52', 0 - 2, Hoti R. ,
  • 54', 0 - 3, Xhabrahimi A. ,
  • 61', 0 - 4, Fetaj P. ,
  • 74', 1 - 4, Arroyo S. ,
  • 86', 2 - 4, Ndubuisi E. ,
  • 88', 3 - 4, Kudamo C. ,
  • 90+1', 4 - 4, Ndubuisi E. ,

Chances of winning


Apolonia Fier
63.1%
Draw
23.7%
Burreli
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 29.5% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 26% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Apolonia Fier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Apolonia Fier's performance.
  • Burreli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burreli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (-26.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Apolonia Fier that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burreli than the current prediction. (+19.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burreli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Apolonia Fier - Burreli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (2.2)
    4.05
    (3.1)
    7.32
    (3.16)
    4.1%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 1.
    • In recent matches, Apolonia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Burreli's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Burreli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Apolonia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Apolonia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Apolonia Fier - Burreli were as follows:
    17.01.2026 Burreli - Apolonia Fier 2:0
    19.10.2025 Apolonia Fier - Burreli 1:2
    23.02.2025 Apolonia Fier - Burreli 0:0
    20.11.2024 Apolonia Fier - Burreli 3:1
    21.10.2024 Apolonia Fier - Burreli 1:1
    Latest results of Apolonia Fier
    Latest results of Burreli
    04.04.2026 Laçi - Burreli 3:1
    22.03.2026 Burreli - Pogradeci 0:3
    18.03.2026 Kastrioti - Burreli 5:2
    Albanian First Division Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Laci ✔ 33247260:233779
    2Skenderbeu ✔ 33245457:253277
    3Pogradeci ✔ 33208563:313268
    4Iliria Fushe-Kruje ✔ 3311121032:33-145
    5Besa Kavaje ✔ 331091441:43-239
    6Kastrioti ✔ 331161644:57-1339
    7Burreli339101427:45-1837
    8Korabi Peshkopi338121331:39-836
    9AF Luftetari ✔ 337131337:43-634
    10Kukesi ✔ 33871831:50-1931
    11Apolonia Fier ✔ 336101731:44-1328
    12Lushnja ✔ 335111726:47-2126

          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
          Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Laci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
    Skenderbeu is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
    Pogradeci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
    Iliria Fushe-Kruje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
    Besa Kavaje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
    Kastrioti is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
    AF Luftetari is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
    Kukesi is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
    Apolonia Fier is Relegated to
    Lushnja is Relegated to