Result
0:3
22/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Klani IM, RTSH Sport |
 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Zguro V. ⚽,
- 35', 0 - 2, Lleshaj G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+3', 0 - 3, Kazeem S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Burreli
14.2% | Draw
22.3% | Pogradeci
63.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burreli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogradeci's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burreli than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogradeci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Burreli - Pogradeci Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.44 ↑
(4.97) |
4.1 ↑
(3.57) |
1.44 ↓
(1.6) |
9.5%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burreli won 3.
- Burreli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pogradeci is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Pogradeci is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burreli won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burreli won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Burreli won against Pogradeci?
Burreli has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogradeci won against Burreli?
Pogradeci has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burreli - Pogradeci were as follows:
15.02.2026
Pogradeci
-
Burreli
2:0
07.11.2025
Burreli
-
Pogradeci
2:0
24.04.2025
Burreli
-
Pogradeci
0:1
09.03.2025
Burreli
-
Pogradeci
1:0
09.12.2024
Pogradeci
-
Burreli
0:2
Latest results of Burreli
Latest results of Pogradeci
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu ✔ | 32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 77 |
| 2 | Laci ✔ | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 76 |
| 3 | Pogradeci ✔ | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 68 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje ✔ | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 45 |
| 5 | Besa Kavaje ✔ | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:43 | -2 | 39 |
| 6 | Kastrioti ✔ | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 39 |
| 7 | Burreli | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 37 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari ✔ | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 37:43 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 | Kukesi ✔ | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:50 | -19 | 31 |
| 11 | Apolonia Fier ✔ | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Lushnja ✔ | 33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26:47 | -21 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Skenderbeu is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
Laci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
Pogradeci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Iliria Fushe-Kruje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Besa Kavaje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Kastrioti is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
AF Luftetari is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Kukesi is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Apolonia Fier is Relegated to
Lushnja is Relegated to
