Result
3:0
18/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Preknicaj K. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 0, Ogunleye K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 76', 3 - 0, Indio Oliveira ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pogradeci
76.1% | Draw
16.8% | Iliria
7.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogradeci's performance.Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iliria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogradeci that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iliria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pogradeci - Iliria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.18 ↓
(1.5) |
5.36 ↑
(4) |
12.63 ↑
(5.74) |
11.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pogradeci - Iliria?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Pogradeci has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Iliria is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pogradeci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Pogradeci is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pogradeci won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Pogradeci won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogradeci won against Iliria?
Pogradeci has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Iliria won against Pogradeci?
Iliria has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogradeci - Iliria were as follows:
29.11.2025
Pogradeci
-
Iliria
0:0
30.08.2025
Iliria
-
Pogradeci
0:0
Latest results of Pogradeci
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu ✔ | 32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 77 |
| 2 | Laci ✔ | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 76 |
| 3 | Pogradeci ✔ | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 68 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje ✔ | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 45 |
| 5 | Besa Kavaje ✔ | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:43 | -2 | 39 |
| 6 | Kastrioti ✔ | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 39 |
| 7 | Burreli | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 37 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari ✔ | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 37:43 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 | Kukesi ✔ | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:50 | -19 | 31 |
| 11 | Apolonia Fier ✔ | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Lushnja ✔ | 33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26:47 | -21 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Skenderbeu is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
Laci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
Pogradeci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Iliria Fushe-Kruje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Besa Kavaje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Kastrioti is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
AF Luftetari is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Kukesi is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Apolonia Fier is Relegated to
Lushnja is Relegated to
