Bristol Rovers vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion
Result
3:1
15/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 32
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.90
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
910
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
04
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
49
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
136
Offsides
10
Fouls
613
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2024
Touches in the Opposition Box
2327
Passes
80% (354/441)74% (262/355)
Passes in the final third
69% (83/120)59% (91/153)
Crosses
21% (4/19)20% (7/35)
Tackles
44% (4/9)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
5028
Interceptions
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Martin C. , Sousa L. (A),
  • 35', Martin C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 66', Chauke K. 🟨,
  • 69', Thomas L. 🟨,
  • 72', Burrell R. , Tavares F. ,
  • 72', Bodvarsson J. , Bennett M. ,
  • 73', McKiernan J. J. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 73', Dodgson O. , Lofthouse K. ,
  • 74', Ward G. , Lindsay J. ,
  • 74', Sinclair S. , Forde S. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Tavares F. , Sweeney R. (A),
  • 84', Tavares F. , Larsson J. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Thomas L. , Martin C. (A),
  • 90+2', Sotiriou R. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 90+2', Hunt J. , Swinkels S. ,
  • 90+2', Thomas L. , Moore T. ,
  • 90+5', Bennett M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 1, Hutchinson I. , Martin C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
34.9%
Draw
28.7%
Burton Albion
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 27.3% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 27.8% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.33)
    3.29
    (3.44)
    2.6
    (2.89)
    5.7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Burton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2.
    • Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Burton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:16 (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Burton Albion - Bristol Rovers 1:3
    10.02.2024 Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion 1:2
    21.10.2023 Burton Albion - Bristol Rovers 4:1
    18.02.2023 Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion 1:2
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two