Bristol Rovers vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
15/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 32
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.90
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
910
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
04
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
49
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
136
Offsides
10
Fouls
613
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2024
Touches in the Opposition Box
2327
Passes
80% (354/441)74% (262/355)
Passes in the final third
69% (83/120)59% (91/153)
Crosses
21% (4/19)20% (7/35)
Tackles
44% (4/9)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
5028
Interceptions
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Martin C. , Sousa L. (A),
  • 35', Martin C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 66', Chauke K. 🟨,
  • 69', Thomas L. 🟨,
  • 72', Burrell R. , Tavares F. ,
  • 72', Bodvarsson J. , Bennett M. ,
  • 73', McKiernan J. J. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 73', Dodgson O. , Lofthouse K. ,
  • 74', Ward G. , Lindsay J. ,
  • 74', Sinclair S. , Forde S. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Tavares F. , Sweeney R. (A),
  • 84', Tavares F. , Larsson J. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Thomas L. , Martin C. (A),
  • 90+2', Sotiriou R. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 90+2', Hunt J. , Swinkels S. ,
  • 90+2', Thomas L. , Moore T. ,
  • 90+5', Bennett M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 1, Hutchinson I. , Martin C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
34.9%
Draw
28.7%
Burton Albion
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 27.3% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 27.8% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.33)
    3.29
    (3.44)
    2.6
    (2.89)
    5.7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Burton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2.
    • Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Burton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:16 (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Burton Albion - Bristol Rovers 1:3
    10.02.2024 Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion 1:2
    21.10.2023 Burton Albion - Bristol Rovers 4:1
    18.02.2023 Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion 1:2
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two