Charlton Athletic vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion
Result
3:1
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 46
  • Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.50
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
76% (314/414)67% (227/337)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.15
Total shots
158
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2311
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
76% (314/414)67% (227/337)
Long passes
40% (27/68)29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
54% (65/121)52% (41/79)
Crosses
26% (5/19)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.56
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
1510
Tackles
70% (14/20)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6056
Clearances
2428
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.151.66
Goals prevented
0.15-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', Maynard-Brewer A. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Bennett M. (Pen),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Godden M. , Watson T. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 1, Godden M. , Edwards J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Forde A. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 46', Delap F. , Dodgson O. ,
  • 51', 3 - 1, Mitchell A. , Coventry C. (A),
  • 65', Bennett M. , Larsson J. ,
  • 70', Campbell T. , Mbick M. ,
  • 71', Coventry C. , Anderson K. ,
  • 71', Godden M. , Kanu D. ,
  • 82', Watson T. 🟨,
  • 82', Dodgson O. 🟨,
  • 85', Gilbert A. , Fullah I. ,
  • 88', Edwards J. , Enslin K. ,
  • 90', Webster C. , Newall J. ,
  • 90', Tavares F. , Taroni J. ,

Chances of winning


Charlton Athletic
59.4%
Draw
23.7%
Burton Albion
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 26.2% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25.3% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlton Athletic's performance.
  • Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burton Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlton Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burton Albion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.82)
    3.97
    (3.53)
    5.58
    (4.01)
    6.1%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Charlton (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Charlton Athletic will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.85%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charlton Athletic will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
    • Charlton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 2.
    • Charlton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Charlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Charlton is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Charlton: Leaburn M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Knee Injury) Gilligan C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Charlton: Berry L. (Injury) Jones L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Jones J. (Foot Injury) Lofthouse K. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion were as follows:
    26.11.2024 Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic 0:1
    20.01.2024 Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic 2:0
    23.12.2023 Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion 1:1
    10.04.2023 Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion 3:2
    12.11.2022 Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic 3:3
    Latest results of Charlton Athletic
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two