Charlton Athletic vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion
Result
3:1
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 46
  • Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.50
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
76% (314/414)67% (227/337)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.15
Total shots
158
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2311
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
76% (314/414)67% (227/337)
Long passes
40% (27/68)29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
54% (65/121)52% (41/79)
Crosses
26% (5/19)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.56
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
1510
Tackles
70% (14/20)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6056
Clearances
2428
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.151.66
Goals prevented
0.15-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', Maynard-Brewer A. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Bennett M. (Pen),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Godden M. , Watson T. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 1, Godden M. , Edwards J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Forde A. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 46', Delap F. , Dodgson O. ,
  • 51', 3 - 1, Mitchell A. , Coventry C. (A),
  • 65', Bennett M. , Larsson J. ,
  • 70', Campbell T. , Mbick M. ,
  • 71', Coventry C. , Anderson K. ,
  • 71', Godden M. , Kanu D. ,
  • 82', Watson T. 🟨,
  • 82', Dodgson O. 🟨,
  • 85', Gilbert A. , Fullah I. ,
  • 88', Edwards J. , Enslin K. ,
  • 90', Webster C. , Newall J. ,
  • 90', Tavares F. , Taroni J. ,

Chances of winning


Charlton Athletic
59.4%
Draw
23.7%
Burton Albion
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 26.2% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25.3% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlton Athletic's performance.
  • Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burton Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlton Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burton Albion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.82)
    3.97
    (3.53)
    5.58
    (4.01)
    6.1%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Charlton (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Charlton Athletic will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.85%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charlton Athletic will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
    • Charlton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 2.
    • Charlton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Charlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Charlton is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Charlton: Leaburn M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Knee Injury) Gilligan C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Charlton: Berry L. (Injury) Jones L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Jones J. (Foot Injury) Lofthouse K. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion were as follows:
    26.11.2024 Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic 0:1
    20.01.2024 Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic 2:0
    23.12.2023 Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion 1:1
    10.04.2023 Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion 3:2
    12.11.2022 Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic 3:3
    Latest results of Charlton Athletic
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two