Result
3:1
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 46
- Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (314/414) | 67% (227/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (314/414) | 67% (227/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (27/68) | 29% (20/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (65/121) | 52% (41/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', Maynard-Brewer A. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Bennett M. (Pen),
- 24', 1 - 1, Godden M. ⚽, Watson T. (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Godden M. ⚽, Edwards J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Forde A. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
- 46', Delap F. ↓, Dodgson O. ↑,
- 51', 3 - 1, Mitchell A. ⚽, Coventry C. (A),
- 65', Bennett M. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 70', Campbell T. ↓, Mbick M. ↑,
- 71', Coventry C. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 71', Godden M. ↓, Kanu D. ↑,
- 82', Watson T. 🟨,
- 82', Dodgson O. 🟨,
- 85', Gilbert A. ↓, Fullah I. ↑,
- 88', Edwards J. ↓, Enslin K. ↑,
- 90', Webster C. ↓, Newall J. ↑,
- 90', Tavares F. ↓, Taroni J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Charlton Athletic
59.4% | Draw
23.7% | Burton Albion
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlton Athletic's performance.Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burton Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlton Athletic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burton Albion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.82) |
3.97 ↑
(3.53) |
5.58 ↑
(4.01) |
6.1%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Charlton (1.70) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Burton (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Charlton (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Charlton Athletic will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charlton Athletic will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Charlton (votes: 16 - 94.1%). Burton (votes: 1 - 5.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
- Charlton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 2.
- Charlton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Charlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Charlton is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Charlton: Leaburn M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Burton: Akoto N.
(Inactive)
Bajrami G.
(Knee Injury)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Charlton: Berry L.
(Injury)
Jones L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Burton: Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Lofthouse K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Charlton Athletic won against Burton Albion?
Charlton Athletic has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Charlton Athletic?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion were as follows:
26.11.2024
Burton Albion
-
Charlton Athletic
0:1
20.01.2024
Burton Albion
-
Charlton Athletic
2:0
23.12.2023
Charlton Athletic
-
Burton Albion
1:1
10.04.2023
Charlton Athletic
-
Burton Albion
3:2
12.11.2022
Burton Albion
-
Charlton Athletic
3:3
Latest results of Charlton Athletic
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
