Result
3:1
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 46
- Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.75 | 1.50 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
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15 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
76% (314/414) | 67% (227/337) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.75 | 1.50 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.66 | 1.15 |
Total shots |
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15 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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23 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
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2 | 1 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 15 |
Passes |
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76% (314/414) | 67% (227/337) |
Long passes |
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40% (27/68) | 29% (20/69) |
Passes in final third |
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54% (65/121) | 52% (41/79) |
Crosses |
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26% (5/19) | 8% (1/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.12 | 0.56 |
Throw-ins |
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24 | 21 |
Fouls |
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15 | 10 |
Tackles |
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70% (14/20) | 69% (11/16) |
Duels won |
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60 | 56 |
Clearances |
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24 | 28 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.15 | 1.66 |
Goals prevented |
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0.15 | -1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', Maynard-Brewer A. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Bennett M. (Pen),
- 24', 1 - 1, Godden M. ⚽, Watson T. (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Godden M. ⚽, Edwards J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Forde A. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
- 46', Delap F. ↓, Dodgson O. ↑,
- 51', 3 - 1, Mitchell A. ⚽, Coventry C. (A),
- 65', Bennett M. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 70', Campbell T. ↓, Mbick M. ↑,
- 71', Coventry C. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 71', Godden M. ↓, Kanu D. ↑,
- 82', Watson T. 🟨,
- 82', Dodgson O. 🟨,
- 85', Gilbert A. ↓, Fullah I. ↑,
- 88', Edwards J. ↓, Enslin K. ↑,
- 90', Webster C. ↓, Newall J. ↑,
- 90', Tavares F. ↓, Taroni J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Charlton Athletic 59.4% | Draw 23.7% | Burton Albion 16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlton Athletic's performance.Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burton Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlton Athletic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burton Albion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↓ (1.82) |
3.97 ↑ (3.53) |
5.58 ↑ (4.01) |
6.1% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Charlton (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Charlton Athletic will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charlton Athletic will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
- Charlton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 2.
- Charlton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Charlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Charlton is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Charlton: Leaburn M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Burton: Akoto N.
(Inactive)
Bajrami G.
(Knee Injury)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Charlton: Berry L.
(Injury)
Jones L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Burton: Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Lofthouse K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Charlton Athletic won against Burton Albion?
Charlton Athletic has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Charlton Athletic?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion were as follows:
26.11.2024
Burton Albion
-
Charlton Athletic
0:1
20.01.2024
Burton Albion
-
Charlton Athletic
2:0
23.12.2023
Charlton Athletic
-
Burton Albion
1:1
10.04.2023
Charlton Athletic
-
Burton Albion
3:2
12.11.2022
Burton Albion
-
Charlton Athletic
3:3
Latest results of Charlton Athletic
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
2 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bradford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Lincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two