Burton Albion vs Lincoln City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Burton Albion - Lincoln City
Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 8
  • Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.04
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
81% (423/520)69% (197/286)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.161.55
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
102
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
81% (423/520)69% (197/286)
Long passes
53% (45/85)33% (27/83)
Passes in final third
65% (99/152)49% (46/93)
Crosses
16% (5/31)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.52
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
1115
Tackles
69% (11/16)62% (8/13)
Duels won
6453
Clearances
1643
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.550.16
Goals prevented
0.550.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Bradley S. , Bayliss T. (A),
  • 36', McGrandles C. 🟨,
  • 45', Jackson A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 72', Shade T. , Tavares F. ,
  • 72', Evans G. , Armer J. ,
  • 77', House B. 🟨,
  • 78', Bayliss T. , Hamer T. ,
  • 78', Collins J. , Obikwu J. ,
  • 78', Okoronkwo F. , Draper F. ,
  • 79', Hackett-Fairchild R. , Varfolomeev I. ,
  • 86', Beesley J. , Larsson J. ,
  • 87', Hartridge A. , Sraha J. ,
  • 90+5', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
27.9%
Draw
29.1%
Lincoln City
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 28.5% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 28.7% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Burton Albion - Lincoln City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.7
    (2.9)
    3.41
    (3.27)
    2.26
    (2.38)
    0.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Lincoln City?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lincoln will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
    • Recent performances by Burton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lincoln is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lincoln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J. (Ankle Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Vancooten T. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Lincoln: Moylan J. (Ankle Injury) Street R. (Red Card) Towler R. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Sraha J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lincoln: Bayliss T. (Injury) Jefferies D. (Hip Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Lincoln City were as follows:
    26.08.2025 Burton Albion - Lincoln City 0:1
    22.02.2025 Lincoln City - Burton Albion 0:1
    10.08.2024 Burton Albion - Lincoln City 2:3
    03.02.2024 Burton Albion - Lincoln City 0:1
    14.10.2023 Lincoln City - Burton Albion 0:1
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two