Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 8
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.65 | 1.04 |
Ball Possession |
---|
65% | 35% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
81% (423/520) | 69% (197/286) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.65 | 1.04 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.16 | 1.55 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
10 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
81% (423/520) | 69% (197/286) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (45/85) | 33% (27/83) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (99/152) | 49% (46/93) |
Crosses |
---|
16% (5/31) | 21% (3/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.79 | 0.52 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (11/16) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
---|
64 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 43 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.55 | 0.16 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.55 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Bradley S. ⚽, Bayliss T. (A),
- 36', McGrandles C. 🟨,
- 45', Jackson A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 72', Shade T. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 72', Evans G. ↓, Armer J. ↑,
- 77', House B. 🟨,
- 78', Bayliss T. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
- 78', Collins J. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
- 78', Okoronkwo F. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
- 79', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
- 86', Beesley J. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 87', Hartridge A. ↓, Sraha J. ↑,
- 90+5', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion 27.9% | Draw 29.1% | Lincoln City 43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-4%)
Burton Albion - Lincoln City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.7 ↑ (2.9) |
3.41 ↑ (3.27) |
2.26 ↓ (2.38) |
0.6% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Lincoln City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lincoln will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
- Recent performances by Burton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lincoln is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lincoln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Lincoln: Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
Street R.
(Red Card)
Towler R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Burton: Sraha J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Bayliss T.
(Injury)
Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Lincoln City?
Burton Albion has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Burton Albion?
Lincoln City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Lincoln City were as follows:
26.08.2025
Burton Albion
-
Lincoln City
0:1
22.02.2025
Lincoln City
-
Burton Albion
0:1
10.08.2024
Burton Albion
-
Lincoln City
2:3
03.02.2024
Burton Albion
-
Lincoln City
0:1
14.10.2023
Lincoln City
-
Burton Albion
0:1
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Lincoln City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two