Result
2:1
22/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 28
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (226/327) | 76% (288/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (226/327) | 76% (288/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (18/69) | 25% (13/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (53/106) | 66% (84/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 19% (7/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 35', 1 - 0, Moylan J. ⚽, Draper F. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Beesley J. ⚽, Armer J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 1, Moylan J. ⚽,
- 70', Larsson J. ↓, Revan S. ↑,
- 78', Moylan J. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
- 78', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
- 80', Adom K. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 84', Street R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 85', Hamer T. 🟨,
- 88', Sibbick T. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
- 89', Lloyd A. 🟨,
- 90', Darikwa T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
61.3% | Draw
23.1% | Burton Albion
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Lincoln City - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.58) |
4.02 ↑
(3.83) |
5.91 ↑
(5.17) |
7.3%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Burton Albion?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Burton will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Burton (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Lincoln (1.88) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Burton (2.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Lincoln (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 6 - 50%). Burton (votes: 6 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4.
- Lincoln is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lincoln is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Bayliss T.
(Inactive)
Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
House B.
(Inactive)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Hartridge A.
(Inactive)
Webster C.
(Injury)
- We predict that Lincoln will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Burton Albion?
Lincoln City has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Lincoln City?
Burton Albion has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Burton Albion were as follows:
13.09.2025
Burton Albion
-
Lincoln City
0:1
26.08.2025
Burton Albion
-
Lincoln City
0:1
22.02.2025
Lincoln City
-
Burton Albion
0:1
10.08.2024
Burton Albion
-
Lincoln City
2:3
03.02.2024
Burton Albion
-
Lincoln City
0:1
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 50 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 53:53 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 40 |
| 17 | Burton | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 34 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
