Result
0:3
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 6
- Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (233/323) | 77% (264/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (233/323) | 77% (264/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (35/70) | 31% (16/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (64/109) | 72% (118/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 8% (2/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Nordas L. ⚽, Nelson Z. (A),
- 31', Nelson Z. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 2, Alli M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 46', Williams D. ↓, Chauke K. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 3, Nelson Z. ⚽, Nordas L. (A),
- 73', Yates J. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
- 74', Nelson Z. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
- 78', Kodua G. ↓, Naismith K. ↑,
- 80', Revan S. ↓, Sraha J. ↑,
- 81', Shade T. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 88', Alli M. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
20.2% | Draw
24.8% | Luton Town
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Burton Albion - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.65 ↓
(5.2) |
3.75 ↓
(4.27) |
1.71 ↑
(1.58) |
6.5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Burton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Luton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Luton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Luton is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Knee Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Andersen M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Chong T.
(Groin Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Luton Town?
Burton Albion has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Burton Albion?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Luton Town were as follows:
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Lincoln | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Cardiff | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Luton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Bolton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 14 |
| 13 | Northampton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Wigan | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Reading | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 23 | Burton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
