Result
0:1
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 36
- Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (269/412) | 62% (187/303) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (269/412) | 62% (187/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (36/98) | 29% (22/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (82/161) | 53% (70/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Reid J. ⚽, Phillips D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', White H. 🟨,
- 67', Chauke K. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
- 68', Cannon A. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 68', Hartridge A. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
- 69', Piergianni C. 🟨,
- 72', Beesley J. 🟨,
- 80', Reid J. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 80', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
- 80', Phillips M. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
- 81', Evans G. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 90+2', Phillips D. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
- 90+2', Pattenden J. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
- 90+4', Houghton J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
37.2% | Draw
30.3% | Stevenage Borough
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burton Albion's performance.Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stevenage Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(2.91) |
3.07 ↓
(3.08) |
2.88 ↑
(2.48) |
6.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Stevenage will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Burton: Armer J.
(Inactive)
Delap F.
(Inactive)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Webster C.
(Injury)
Williams D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Revan S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Cornick H.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Stevenage Borough?
Burton Albion has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Burton Albion?
Stevenage Borough has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
20.12.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Burton Albion
2:2
18.02.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Burton Albion
0:1
10.12.2024
Burton Albion
-
Stevenage Borough
0:4
24.08.2024
Burton Albion
-
Stevenage Borough
0:0
13.04.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Burton Albion
1:2
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
