Stevenage Borough vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion
Result
0:1
18/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 26
  • Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.08
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
168
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
83
Blocked Shots
62
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
113
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
02
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Free Kicks
1110
Offsides
21
Fouls
1011
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2414
Touches in the Opposition Box
3223
Passes
80% (388/486)60% (141/236)
Passes in the final third
67% (120/179)52% (46/89)
Crosses
33% (11/33)38% (6/16)
Tackles
67% (8/12)61% (11/18)
Clearances Total
2738
Interceptions
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45', 0 - 1, Webster C. , Burrell R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Reid J. (Pen),
  • 57', Vancooten T. 🟥,
  • 63', King E. , List E. ,
  • 63', Phillips D. , Thompson L. ,
  • 65', Burrell R. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 69', Roberts J. , Freeman N. ,
  • 75', Smith K. , Edwards K. ,
  • 75', Reid J. , Young J. ,
  • 79', Dodgson O. 🟨,
  • 84', Bodvarsson J. , Bennett M. ,
  • 90', Crocombe M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stevenage Borough
51.2%
Draw
28.5%
Burton Albion
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 24.8% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 23.7% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stevenage Borough's form might have worsened.
  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.64)
    3.32
    (3.81)
    4.67
    (5.47)
    5.7%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Burton will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 17%68.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 2.
    • Recent matches Stevenage is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Burton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Stevenage is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion were as follows:
    10.12.2024 Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough 0:4
    24.08.2024 Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough 0:0
    13.04.2024 Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion 1:2
    09.12.2023 Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough 1:2
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage44008:3512
    2Cardiff43106:1510
    3Barnsley43108:4410
    4Bradford City43106:3310
    5Huddersfield43019:369
    6Luton43015:239
    7Lincoln43016:429
    8Stockport County42117:527
    9Leyton Orient42115:507
    10Doncaster42114:407
    11Exeter42026:426
    12Mansfield42026:516
    13Wigan42025:416
    14AFC Wimbledon42024:316
    15Bolton41214:405
    16Burton31114:404
    17Rotherham31022:5-33
    18Blackpool41036:11-53
    19Port Vale40222:4-22
    20Wycombe40133:6-31
    21Reading40132:7-51
    22Northampton40131:6-51
    23Plymouth40043:9-60
    24Peterborough40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two