Gimcheon Sangmu vs Busan I Park – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean Cup Gimcheon Sangmu - Busan I Park
Result
3:2 ET
17/04/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH KOREA: Korean Cup - 1/16-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Lee Dong-hoon ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Kim Min-Jun ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 90', 1 - 2, Lee Seung-Ki ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 2, Lee Jin-Yong ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 105', 3 - 2, Goo Bon-Cheul ,

Chances of winning


Gimcheon Sangmu
66.5%
Draw
20.9%
Busan I Park
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 24.7% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6% 24.6% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimcheon Sangmu's performance.
  • Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Busan I Park might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimcheon Sangmu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Busan I Park could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gimcheon Sangmu - Busan I Park Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.77)
    4.45
    (3.68)
    7.32
    (3.81)
    8.4%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu - Busan I Park?
  • Users Predictions: Gimcheon Sangmu will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimcheon Sangmu won 2.
    • Gimcheon Sangmu is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Busan I Park is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Busan I Park could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Gimcheon Sangmu is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Gimcheon Sangmu to win the game is with odds 1.73.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Gimcheon Sangmu won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-19.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gimcheon Sangmu won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimcheon Sangmu - Busan I Park were as follows:
    29.08.2023 Busan I Park - Gimcheon Sangmu 2:0
    10.07.2023 Gimcheon Sangmu - Busan I Park 2:1
    19.03.2023 Busan I Park - Gimcheon Sangmu 3:1
    Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
    Latest results of Busan I Park
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1Yangsan EogokBusan Kyotong1 : 2
    2ByeBusan
    4ByeSuwon FC
    5Gwangju FCBye
    7Gyeongju KHNPBye
    8Seoul JungnangPaju Citizen0 : 3
    9Ulsan HDBye
    13Gimhae JaemicsChuncheon2 : 4
    14ByeIncheon
    15GyeongnamBye
    16Pyeongchang UnitedYangpyeong2 : 1
    17HyochangGijang United0 : 4
    18ByeGimpo FC
    19Cheonan CityBye
    20CheongsolPocheon0 : 5
    24ByePohang
    25Yeoju CitizenMokpo4 : 3
    26ByeBucheon FC 1995
    28ByeJeju SK
    29Gimcheon SangmuBye
    31Suwon BluewingsBye
    32ByeSeoul E-Land
    33Incheon SeogotDaejeon Korail0 : 9
    34ByeCheongju
    35ChangwonBye
    36GeonyungNamyangju1 : 5
    40ByeSeoul
    41Dangjin CitizenGangneung1 : 2
    42ByeAsan
    44ByeDaejeon
    45JeonbukBye
    47Ansan GreenersBye
    48Jeonbuk JeonjuPyeongtaek Citizen0 : 6
    49Sejong SAUlsan Citizen3 : 0
    50ByeJeonnam
    52ByeAnyang
    53DaeguBye
    55GimhaeBye
    56Yangcheon TNTGeoje0 : 1
    57GangwonBye
    61Siheung CitizenBye
    62ByeSeongnam
    63HwaseongBye
    64Jinju CitizenYeoncheon1 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1Busan KyotongBusan2 : 1
    2ByeSuwon FC
    3Gwangju FCBye
    4Gyeongju KHNPPaju Citizen4 : 1
    5Ulsan HDBye
    7ChuncheonIncheon0 : 3
    8GyeongnamPyeongchang United0 : 3
    9Gijang UnitedGimpo FC0 : 4
    10Cheonan CityPocheon1 : 0
    12ByePohang
    13Yeoju CitizenBucheon FC 19951 : 3
    14ByeJeju SK
    15Gimcheon SangmuBye
    16Suwon BluewingsSeoul E-Land2 : 1
    17Daejeon KorailCheongju1 : 0
    18ChangwonNamyangju1 : 2
    20ByeSeoul
    21GangneungAsan1 : 0
    22ByeDaejeon
    23JeonbukBye
    24Ansan GreenersPyeongtaek Citizen3 : 1
    25Sejong SAJeonnam3 : 1
    26ByeAnyang
    27DaeguBye
    28GimhaeGeoje5 : 1
    29GangwonBye
    31Siheung CitizenSeongnam3 : 2
    32HwaseongJinju Citizen1 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Busan KyotongSuwon FC1 : 2
    2Gwangju FCGyeongju KHNP2 : 0
    3Ulsan HDBye
    4IncheonPyeongchang United2 : 1
    5Gimpo FCCheonan City2 : 1
    6ByePohang
    7Bucheon FC 1995Jeju SK1 : 0
    8Gimcheon SangmuSuwon Bluewings2 : 0
    9Daejeon KorailNamyangju3 : 0
    10ByeSeoul
    11GangneungDaejeon1 : 2
    12JeonbukAnsan Greeners3 : 0
    13Sejong SAAnyang0 : 1
    14DaeguGimhae2 : 0
    15GangwonBye
    16Siheung CitizenHwaseong1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Suwon FCGwangju FC1 : 2
    2Ulsan HDIncheon3 : 0
    3Gimpo FCPohang2 : 1
    4Bucheon FC 1995Gimcheon Sangmu3 : 1
    5Daejeon KorailSeoul1 : 2
    6DaejeonJeonbuk2 : 3
    7AnyangDaegu1 : 2
    8GangwonSiheung Citizen2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Gwangju FCUlsan HD1 : 0
    2Gimpo FCBucheon FC 19951 : 3
    3SeoulJeonbuk0 : 1
    4DaeguGangwon1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gwangju FCBucheon FC 1995
    2JeonbukGangwon

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2