Neftchi Fargona vs Buxoro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro
Result
1:0
20/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
93
Shots on target
40
Corner Kicks
41
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
93
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
41
Goalkeeper Saves
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Kulmatov S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Ruziev J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Khayrullaev R. , Tupliev B. ,
  • 54', Iskanderov J. , Giyosov M. ,
  • 68', Ruziev K. , Djokic J. ,
  • 71', Jurabekov S. , Kayumov A. ,
  • 71', Begic D. , Norkhonov S. ,
  • 77', Toshmirzaev B. 🟨,
  • 79', Toshmirzaev B. , Jovovic V. ,
  • 79', Alibaev I. , Gulyamov G. ,
  • 84', Kayumov A. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 0, Djokic J. ,
  • 90+3', Ruziev J. , Utamurodov J. ,
  • 90+3', Pulatov I. , Tomasevic J. ,

Chances of winning


Neftchi Fargona
65.2%
Draw
23.4%
Buxoro
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 27.3% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 26.3% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftchi Fargona's performance.
  • Buxoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buxoro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftchi Fargona that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buxoro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.8)
    4.06
    (3.43)
    8.28
    (4.51)
    5.5%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Neftchi Fargona will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 1.
    • Neftchi Fargona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Buxoro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Neftchi Fargona will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro were as follows:
    27.09.2023 Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro 3:0
    21.04.2023 Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona 2:2
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Latest results of Buxoro
    13.06.2025 Buxoro - Andijan 1:1
    24.05.2025 Sogdiana Jizzakh - Buxoro 1:1
    17.05.2025 Buxoro - Dinamo Samarqand 2:2
    10.05.2025 Pakhtakor - Buxoro 6:0
    03.05.2025 Buxoro - Mashal Mubarek 1:2
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi23157144:172752
    2Neftchi Fargona23146337:191848
    3Pakhtakor23134645:202543
    4Din. Samarkand22118333:25841
    5OKMK23124735:26940
    6Bunyodkor23109436:28839
    7Navbahor Namangan23106738:281036
    8Qizilqum2368919:30-1126
    9Sogdiana23671028:29-125
    10Andijan2267928:34-625
    11Termez Surkhon23671018:24-625
    12Kokand 191223651219:35-1623
    13Mashal Muborak23651218:39-2123
    14Buxoro23561224:37-1321
    15Xorazm Urganch23551324:29-520
    16Shortan Guzor23261515:41-2612

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