Result
1:1
07/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 28
- Referee: Nazhafaliev A. (Uzb)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Marusic Z. 🟨,
- 44', Jurabekov S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Jurabekov S. ↓, Tupliev B. ↑,
- 50', Tomasevic J. 🟨,
- 51', 0 - 1, Jovovic V. ⚽, Alibaev I. (A),
- 59', Alibaev I. 🟥,
- 60', 🟨,
- 60', 🟨,
- 66', Yuldoshev M. ↓, Saidov A. ↑,
- 77', Jovovic V. ↓, Ruziev K. ↑,
- 81', Khayrullaev R. ↓, Juraev A. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Begic D. ⚽,
- 86', Marusic Z. ↓, Nimely S. ↑,
- 90+2', Iskanderov J. ↓, Gulyamov G. ↑,
- 90+2', Ismoilov A. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,
- 90+3', Tupliev B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Buxoro
19.8% | Draw
26.7% | Neftchi Fargona
53.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buxoro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neftchi Fargona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neftchi Fargona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.67 ↓
(5.71) |
3.47 ↓
(3.74) |
1.73 ↑
(1.59) |
8.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.75 - Buxoro (1.19) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Buxoro (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxoro won 1.
- Buxoro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Neftchi Fargona is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Neftchi Fargona is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Buxoro won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Buxoro won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Buxoro won against Neftchi Fargona?
Buxoro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Fargona won against Buxoro?
Neftchi Fargona has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
20.06.2025
Neftchi Fargona
-
Buxoro
1:0
27.09.2023
Neftchi Fargona
-
Buxoro
3:0
21.04.2023
Buxoro
-
Neftchi Fargona
2:2
Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:2 | 14 | 15 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Lok. Tashkent | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Xorazm Urganch | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | OKMK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Termez Surkhon | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Din. Samarkand | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Andijan | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Qizilqum | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Sogdiana | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:16 | -9 | 2 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:12 | -11 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
