Result
1:0
20/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Kulmatov S. 🟨,
- 45+1', Ruziev J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Khayrullaev R. ↓, Tupliev B. ↑,
- 54', Iskanderov J. ↓, Giyosov M. ↑,
- 68', Ruziev K. ↓, Djokic J. ↑,
- 71', Jurabekov S. ↓, Kayumov A. ↑,
- 71', Begic D. ↓, Norkhonov S. ↑,
- 77', Toshmirzaev B. 🟨,
- 79', Toshmirzaev B. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
- 79', Alibaev I. ↓, Gulyamov G. ↑,
- 84', Kayumov A. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 0, Djokic J. ⚽,
- 90+3', Ruziev J. ↓, Utamurodov J. ↑,
- 90+3', Pulatov I. ↓, Tomasevic J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Fargona 65.2% | Draw 23.4% | Buxoro 11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftchi Fargona's performance.Buxoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buxoro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftchi Fargona that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buxoro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.45 ↓ (1.8) |
4.06 ↑ (3.43) |
8.28 ↑ (4.51) |
5.5% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Neftchi Fargona will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 1.
- Neftchi Fargona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Buxoro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Neftchi Fargona is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Neftchi Fargona will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Fargona won against Buxoro?
Neftchi Fargona has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buxoro won against Neftchi Fargona?
Buxoro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro were as follows:
27.09.2023
Neftchi Fargona
-
Buxoro
3:0
21.04.2023
Buxoro
-
Neftchi Fargona
2:2
Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 26 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 50:20 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Neftchi Fargona | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Pakhtakor | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 53:20 | 33 | 52 |
| 4 | Din. Samarkand | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 39:28 | 11 | 47 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 42:31 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | OKMK | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
| 7 | Navbahor Namangan | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:33 | -11 | 32 |
| 9 | Sogdiana | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Kokand 1912 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 29 |
| 11 | Andijan | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:31 | -3 | 24 |
| 14 | Buxoro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Mashal Muborak | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19:45 | -26 | 23 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19:49 | -30 | 12 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga