Result
03/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 11
- Referee: Risqullaev A. (Uzb)
Chances of winning
AGMK
17% | Draw
26.1% | Neftchi Fargona
57% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+4%)
AGMK - Neftchi Fargona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.4 ↓
(5.72) |
3.51 ↓
(3.76) |
1.61 ↑
(1.55) |
9.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 0.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the team to beat.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, AGMK won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has AGMK won against Neftchi Fargona?
AGMK has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Fargona won against AGMK?
Neftchi Fargona has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGMK - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
19.10.2025
Neftchi Fargona
-
AGMK
1:0
19.05.2025
AGMK
-
Neftchi Fargona
2:2
28.10.2024
AGMK
-
Neftchi Fargona
1:2
26.05.2024
Neftchi Fargona
-
AGMK
1:0
26.08.2023
AGMK
-
Neftchi Fargona
1:1
Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:3 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Navbahor Namangan | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | OKMK | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Lok. Tashkent | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Andijan | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Din. Samarkand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Termez Surkhon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:21 | -17 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
