Chester vs Buxton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 33

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Willoughby K. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 86', 1 - 0, Mottley-Henry D. ,

Chances of winning


Chester
38.8%
Draw
26%
Buxton
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 24.3% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 24.7% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Chester - Buxton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.13)
    3.53
    (3.82)
    2.6
    (2.89)
    8.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 4.
    • Chester is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Buxton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chester might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chester won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chester - Buxton were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Buxton - Chester 1:2
    30.04.2025 Chester - Buxton 2:1
    11.01.2025 Buxton - Chester 2:4
    22.10.2024 Chester - Buxton 0:1
    29.03.2024 Buxton - Chester 1:4
    Latest results of Chester
    10.02.2026 Chester - Alfreton Town 2:2
    07.02.2026 Bedford Town - Chester 1:2
    31.01.2026 Chester - Radcliffe 1:3
    27.01.2026 Marine - Chester 2:1
    Latest results of Buxton
    07.02.2026 Alfreton Town - Buxton Postponed
    31.01.2026 Buxton - Spennymoor Town 1:2
    24.01.2026 Radcliffe - Buxton 1:5
    17.01.2026 Buxton - Marine 4:0
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde39274894:425285
    2South Shields39259585:364984
    3Kidderminster371812754:391566
    4Merthyr Town402131687:731466
    5Darlington391981271:531865
    6Macclesfield371971168:551364
    7Scarborough4016141055:47862
    8AFC Telford4016121277:542360
    9Buxton391761665:531257
    10Chester4015121358:62-457
    11Radcliffe391751765:63256
    12Marine371671451:55-455
    13Spennymoor381591452:63-1154
    14Southport4013121555:61-651
    15Chorley3913101660:59149
    16Curzon Ashton4012111759:74-1547
    17Worksop401381952:69-1747
    18Kingu2019s Lynn3911131547:53-646
    19Bedford4011101956:70-1443
    20Oxford City391191949:59-1042
    21Hereford351081748:63-1538
    22Alfreton379101836:67-3137
    23Peterborough Sports401072343:75-3237
    24Leamington39582628:70-4223

          Promotion ~ National League
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          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation