Chorley vs Buxton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Sampson J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 61', 1 - 1, Burton ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Johnston J. ,

Chances of winning


Chorley
46%
Draw
28.1%
Buxton
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 26.2% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 26% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Chorley - Buxton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.04)
    3.3
    (3.5)
    3.55
    (3.16)
    7.8%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Chorley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chorley has had a series of away games.
    • Chorley could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chorley - Buxton were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Buxton - Chorley 3:2
    18.04.2025 Buxton - Chorley 1:0
    04.02.2025 Chorley - Buxton 3:0
    06.04.2024 Buxton - Chorley 3:1
    12.12.2023 Chorley - Buxton 3:2
    Latest results of Chorley
    10.03.2026 Chorley - South Shields 1:1
    24.02.2026 Spennymoor Town - Chorley 1:0
    21.02.2026 Bedford Town - Chorley 2:0
    Latest results of Buxton
    10.03.2026 Darlington - Buxton 0:2
    28.02.2026 Merthyr Town - Buxton 1:3
    24.02.2026 Buxton - King`s Lynn Town 1:2
    21.02.2026 Buxton - Fylde 0:3
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde39274894:425285
    2South Shields39259585:364984
    3Kidderminster371812754:391566
    4Merthyr Town402131687:731466
    5Darlington391981271:531865
    6Macclesfield371971168:551364
    7Scarborough4016141055:47862
    8AFC Telford4016121277:542360
    9Buxton391761665:531257
    10Chester4015121358:62-457
    11Radcliffe391751765:63256
    12Marine371671451:55-455
    13Spennymoor381591452:63-1154
    14Southport4013121555:61-651
    15Chorley3913101660:59149
    16Curzon Ashton4012111759:74-1547
    17Worksop401381952:69-1747
    18Kingu2019s Lynn3911131547:53-646
    19Bedford4011101956:70-1443
    20Oxford City391191949:59-1042
    21Hereford351081748:63-1538
    22Alfreton379101836:67-3137
    23Peterborough Sports401072343:75-3237
    24Leamington39582628:70-4223

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation