Result
1:3
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 36
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Lucas L. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Johnston J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 65', 1 - 2, Flint W. ⚽,
- 75', 1 - 3, Gilsenan Z. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Merthyr Town
42.4% | Draw
23.7% | Buxton
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Merthyr Town - Buxton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.07) |
3.89 ↓
(4.04) |
2.75 ↓
(2.88) |
7.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Buxton?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
- In recent matches, Merthyr has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Buxton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Buxton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Buxton?
Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buxton won against Merthyr Town?
Buxton has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Buxton were as follows:
29.11.2025
Buxton
-
Merthyr Town
1:2
05.11.2022
Buxton
-
Merthyr Town
2:0
Latest results of Merthyr Town
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Buxton (5) | Scarborough (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | Kidderminster (3) | Bye | |
| 4 | Macclesfield (4) | Chester (7) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Buxton (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Kidderminster (3) | Macclesfield (4) | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | South Shields (2) | Kidderminster (3) | |
