MOIK Baku vs Cəbrayıl – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Akuqe C. ,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Abdullayev F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90', 2 - 1, Maharramli S. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


MOIK Baku
56.5%
Draw
25.4%
Cəbrayıl
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 25.9% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 25.3% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MOIK Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MOIK Baku's performance.
  • Cəbrayıl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cəbrayıl might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MOIK Baku that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cəbrayıl than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cəbrayıl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.82)
    3.57
    (3.5)
    5
    (3.75)
    10.5%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • MOIK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cəbrayıl is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cəbrayıl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, MOIK is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MOIK won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MOIK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl were as follows:
    05.02.2026 Cəbrayıl - MOIK Baku 2:2
    16.10.2025 MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl 4:1
    10.04.2025 MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl 2:1
    06.02.2025 MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl 2:1
    18.10.2024 Cəbrayıl - MOIK Baku 0:1
    Latest results of MOIK Baku
    18.03.2026 Səbail - MOIK Baku 2:2
    12.03.2026 Shahdag Qusar - MOIK Baku 1:1
    06.03.2026 MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu 2:1
    25.02.2026 Mingachevir - MOIK Baku 2:0
    18.02.2026 MOIK Baku - Səbail 1:0
    Latest results of Cəbrayıl
    19.03.2026 Difai Ağsu - Cəbrayıl 1:1
    13.03.2026 Cəbrayıl - Zagatala 1:0
    06.03.2026 Cəbrayıl - Səbail 1:4
    24.02.2026 Shimal - Cəbrayıl 3:2
    18.02.2026 Cəbrayıl - Baku Sporting 1:2
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku21146147:192848
    2Baku Sporting21117332:181440
    3Mingachevir21116438:191939
    4Sabail21107428:171137
    5Sahdag Qusar2194831:26531
    6MOIK Baku2175925:31-626
    7Zaqatala21741023:27-425
    8Cebrayil21621334:42-820
    9Difai Agsu21341425:49-2413
    10Shimal21331518:53-3512

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