Caballeros de Culiacán vs Rayos de Hermosillo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
95:79
07/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CIBACOPA

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7076
Field goals made
3431
Field goals %
48.57%40.79%
2-point field goals attempts
4651
2-point field goals made
2624
2-point field goals %
56.52%47.06%
3-point field goals attempts
2425
3-point field goals made
87
3-point field goals %
33.33%28%
Free throws attempts
2714
Free throws made
1910
Free throws %
70.4%71.4%
Offensive rebounds
108
Defensive rebounds
3826
Total rebounds
4834
Assists
2115
Blocks
70
Turnovers
1812
Steals
512
Personal fouls
1119

Chances of winning


Caballeros de Culiacán
45.6%
Rayos de Hermosillo
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caballeros de Culiacán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caballeros de Culiacán's form might have worsened.
  • Rayos de Hermosillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayos de Hermosillo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caballeros de Culiacán than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caballeros de Culiacán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayos de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rayos de Hermosillo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.7)

    1.68
    (1.94)
    9.2%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 182.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caballeros (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 90:93.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caballeros won 3.
    • Caballeros has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Rayos de Hermosillo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Caballeros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Caballeros won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1392:1492. (average 81.9:87.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caballeros won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 732:808. (average 81.3:89.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo were as follows:
    06.03.2026 Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo 83:93
    23.04.2025 Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo 95:99
    22.04.2025 Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo 88:80
    16.03.2025 Rayos de Hermosillo - Caballeros de Culiacán 86:92
    15.03.2025 Rayos de Hermosillo - Caballeros de Culiacán 65:77
    Latest results of Rayos de Hermosillo
    Mexican CIBACOPA Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Astros272522630:22600.926
    2Halcones de Obregon3119122970:29210.613
    3Frayles de Guasave3219133099:29860.594
    4Angeles CDMX3218143001:29590.563
    5Zonkeys de Tijuana3216162809:27770.500
    6Toros Laguna3014162702:27000.467
    7Pioneros de Los Mochis2813152627:26900.464
    8Caballeros de Culiacan3213192959:30680.406
    9Rayos de Hermosillo3213192795:29090.406
    10Ostioneros de Guaymas3112192938:30250.387
    11Venados de Mazatlan296232497:27320.207

          Promotion ~ CIBACOPA (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)