Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football El Salvador Primera Division Fuerte San Francisco - Cacahuatique
Result
1:3
05/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Division - Apertura - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
107
Corner Kicks
72
Red Cards
01
Total shots
157
Shots on target
107
Shots off target
50
Corner Kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Ceren O. ,
  • 25', 0 - 2, Argueta J. C. ,
  • 43', 0 - 3, Alesson ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 3, Chiguila W. ,
  • 57', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Fuerte San Francisco
18.4%
Draw
27.8%
Cacahuatique
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 29.7% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 29.6% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fuerte San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuerte San Francisco's form might have worsened.
  • Cacahuatique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cacahuatique's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (+17.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuerte San Francisco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (-19.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cacahuatique, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fuerte San Francisco - Cacahuatique Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.32
    (2.51)
    4.54
    (3.03)
    2.18
    (2.62)
    -18.3%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Fuerte San Francisco - Cacahuatique?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cacahuatique (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Recent form of Fuerte has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cacahuatique has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cacahuatique may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fuerte won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fuerte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fuerte San Francisco - Cacahuatique were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Cacahuatique - Fuerte San Francisco 0:2
    26.03.2025 Fuerte San Francisco - Cacahuatique 0:1
    29.01.2025 Cacahuatique - Fuerte San Francisco 1:1
    27.10.2024 Fuerte San Francisco - Cacahuatique 0:1
    24.08.2024 Cacahuatique - Fuerte San Francisco 2:0
    Latest results of Fuerte San Francisco
    Latest results of Cacahuatique
    El Salvador Primera Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alianza FC ✔ 16113230:141636
    2Luis Angel Firpo16104231:181334
    3FAS15103237:152233
    4Metapan1693425:20530
    5Cacahuatique1665522:18423
    6Municipal Limeno1662822:26-420
    7Platense Municipal1639421:19218
    8Aguila1452712:16-417
    9Inter F.A1628616:22-614
    10Hercules15321015:34-1911
    11Fuerte San Francisco142489:26-1710
    12Zacatecoluca16231111:23-129

          Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Alianza FC is Qualified for Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs )