Result
0:1
01/05/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Division - Clausura - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 El-salvador | TCS GO |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Portillo J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 68', Bello N. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Fuerte San Francisco
20.8% | Draw
27.1% | Alianza San Miguel
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.33 ↑
(4.2) |
3.32 ↑
(3.1) |
1.73 ↑
(1.61) |
11.2%
(18.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
- Alianza is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fuerte won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Alianza is a strong favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fuerte won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 9:26. (average 0.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fuerte won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fuerte San Francisco won against Alianza San Miguel?
Fuerte San Francisco has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza San Miguel won against Fuerte San Francisco?
Alianza San Miguel has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel were as follows:
07.03.2026
Alianza San Miguel
-
Fuerte San Francisco
3:2
16.11.2025
Fuerte San Francisco
-
Alianza San Miguel
1:3
14.09.2025
Alianza San Miguel
-
Fuerte San Francisco
1:0
18.05.2025
Alianza San Miguel
-
Fuerte San Francisco
2:0
15.05.2025
Fuerte San Francisco
-
Alianza San Miguel
0:1
Latest results of Fuerte San Francisco
Latest results of Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FAS ✔ | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 49:16 | 33 | 53 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo ✔ | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 34:20 | 14 | 44 |
| 3 | Alianza FC ✔ | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 37 |
| 4 | Inter F.A ✔ | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 36 |
| 5 | Municipal Limeno ✔ | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 33:21 | 12 | 35 |
| 6 | Aguila ✔ | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Metapan ✔ | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 23:30 | -7 | 27 |
| 8 | Cacahuatique | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 26 |
| 9 | Platense Municipal | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Hercules | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 19 |
| 11 | Fuerte San Francisco | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 18:35 | -17 | 14 |
| 12 | Zacatecoluca | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 23:42 | -19 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
FAS is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Luis Angel Firpo is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Alianza FC is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Inter F.A is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Municipal Limeno is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Aguila is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Metapan is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
