Ferrol vs Cádiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol).

LaLiga2 - Round 40
Where to Watch on TV:


India	GXR World
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, Orange Futbol 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.58
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
78% (262/338)	83% (365/440)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.36	0.18
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
11	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
11	14
Passes
78% (262/338)	83% (365/440)
Long passes
42% (23/55)	47% (32/68)
Passes in final third
67% (55/82)	64% (82/128)
Crosses
6% (1/16)	6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.29	0.34
Throw-ins
23	18
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
47% (8/17)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
36	41
Clearances
13	19
Interceptions
12	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.18	1.36
Goals prevented
0.18	0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Alcaraz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', De la Rosa J. ↓, Melendo O. ↑,
65', Pena H. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
65', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
75', Martinez B. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
75', Sobrino R. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
75', Correa R. ↓, Insua E. ↑,
75', Nacho ↓, Gelardo A. ↑,
75', Alcaraz R. ↓, Diakite M. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Borrego C. (Pen),
83', Ocampo B. ↓, Matos Jose ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/h7shpnb3

Chances of winning

Ferrol
29.3%

Draw
30.5%

Cádiz
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Ferrol - Cádiz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.9)	3.08 ↑ (2.9)	2.34 ↓ (2.6)	6.2% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Ferrol - Cádiz?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Cádiz will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cádiz: 17% – 68.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Ferrol (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Ferrol (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Ferrol (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cádiz will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Cádiz (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).
Ferrol is Relegated to
Ferrol has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cádiz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cádiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Cádiz could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Knee Injury) Perea L. (Heel Injury)
There will not play in Cádiz: Mwepu F. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Ferrol: Bunuel A. (Eye injury)
There are questionable in Cádiz: Ramos C. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Cádiz?

Ferrol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cádiz won against Ferrol?

Cádiz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Cádiz were as follows:

15.09.2024 Cádiz - Ferrol 0:0

Latest results of Ferrol

11.05.2025 Tenerife - Ferrol 0:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Ferrol - Zaragoza 1:2 ✺

29.04.2025 Almería - Ferrol 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Ferrol - Eldense 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Real Oviedo - Ferrol 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Cádiz

09.05.2025 Cádiz - Almería 2:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Córdoba - Cádiz 4:2 ✺

25.04.2025 Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Burgos - Cádiz 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Cádiz - Elche 0:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Castellon	31	14	8	9	50:38	12	50
7	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	31	7	7	17	29:50	-21	28
22	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation