Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 8
- Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Dsports 9 |
Ecuador | DSports 9 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
Peru | DSports 9 |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.96 | 0.41 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
86% (462/536) | 75% (259/347) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.96 | 0.41 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.15 | 0.33 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
86% (462/536) | 75% (259/347) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (18/40) | 41% (28/68) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (77/112) | 63% (55/88) |
Crosses |
---|
15% (3/20) | 38% (6/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.59 | 0.49 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
25% (1/4) | 46% (6/13) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.33 | 0.15 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.33 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Carcelen I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Carcelen I. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
- 48', Climent M. 🟨,
- 54', Caicedo A. 🟨,
- 64', Ontiveros J. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
- 65', Gil I. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
- 65', Viti ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
- 67', Clemente E. 🟨,
- 77', Loiodice E. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 81', Tabatadze I. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
- 85', Alex Suarez ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
- 85', Fuster M. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Sergio Barcia ⚽, Viera J. (A),
- 89', Diakite M. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
- 89', Climent M. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 90+5', Ortuno S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Las Palmas 50.1% | Draw 29.3% | Cádiz 20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Las Palmas - Cádiz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↑ (1.8) |
3.18 ↓ (3.32) |
4.55 ↓ (4.84) |
6.1% (6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Cádiz?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Las Palmas will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1.
- In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cádiz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Las Palmas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Las Palmas is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Las Palmas: Lukovic M.
(Red Card)
Marmol M.
(Muscle Injury)
Ramirez S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cádiz: Fali
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez J.
(Ankle Injury)
Hernandez L.
(Knee Injury)
de la Rosa J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cádiz: Ugiagbe E.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Cádiz?
Las Palmas has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cádiz won against Las Palmas?
Cádiz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Cádiz were as follows:
24.07.2025
Cádiz
-
Las Palmas
2:1
19.05.2024
Cádiz
-
Las Palmas
0:0
17.12.2023
Las Palmas
-
Cádiz
1:1
28.07.2023
Cádiz
-
Las Palmas
0:1
Latest results of Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Santander | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Las Palmas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 18 |
3 | Cadiz CF | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 18 |
4 | Dep. La Coruna | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 16 |
5 | Almeria | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:17 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Burgos CF | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 15 |
7 | Valladolid | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
8 | Andorra | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
9 | Gijon | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Ceuta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 15 |
11 | Leganes | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 14 |
12 | Albacete | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 13 |
14 | Huesca | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
15 | Eibar | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
16 | Castellon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
17 | Cultural Leonesa | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
18 | Malaga | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
19 | Granada CF | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
20 | Real Sociedad B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 9 |
21 | Mirandes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
22 | Zaragoza | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6:17 | -11 | 6 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation