Las Palmas vs Cádiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas).

LaLiga2 - Round 8
Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Dsports 9
Ecuador	DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	0.41
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
1	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
86% (462/536)	75% (259/347)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	0.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.15	0.33
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
12	3
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
16	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
18	11
Passes
86% (462/536)	75% (259/347)
Long passes
45% (18/40)	41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
69% (77/112)	63% (55/88)
Crosses
15% (3/20)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.59	0.49
Throw-ins
20	9
Fouls
11	18
Tackles
25% (1/4)	46% (6/13)
Duels won
39	39
Clearances
25	21
Interceptions
12	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	0
xGOT faced
0.33	0.15
Goals prevented
0.33	-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Carcelen I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Carcelen I. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
48', Climent M. 🟨,
54', Caicedo A. 🟨,
64', Ontiveros J. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
65', Gil I. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
65', Viti ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
67', Clemente E. 🟨,
77', Loiodice E. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
81', Tabatadze I. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
85', Alex Suarez ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
85', Fuster M. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Sergio Barcia ⚽, Viera J. (A),
89', Diakite M. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
89', Climent M. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
90+5', Ortuno S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Las Palmas
50.1%

Draw
29.3%

Cádiz
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

28.4%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

31.8%

17.3%

Las Palmas - Cádiz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)	3.18 ↓ (3.32)	4.55 ↓ (4.84)	6.1% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Cádiz?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Cádiz (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Las Palmas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cádiz (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1.
In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cádiz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Las Palmas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Las Palmas is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Las Palmas: Lukovic M. (Red Card) Marmol M. (Muscle Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) de la Rosa J. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Cádiz: Ugiagbe E. (Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Cádiz?

Las Palmas has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cádiz won against Las Palmas?

Cádiz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Cádiz were as follows:

24.07.2025 Cádiz - Las Palmas 2:1

19.05.2024 Cádiz - Las Palmas 0:0

17.12.2023 Las Palmas - Cádiz 1:1

28.07.2023 Cádiz - Las Palmas 0:1

Latest results of Las Palmas

27.09.2025 Las Palmas - Almería 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Leganés - Las Palmas 0:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Las Palmas - Real Sociedad B 2:1 ✺

07.09.2025 Burgos - Las Palmas 0:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Cádiz

28.09.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Cádiz - Eibar 1:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Real Sociedad B - Cádiz 3:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Cádiz - Albacete Balompié 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	22	12	5	5	49:32	17	41
2	Castellon	22	11	5	6	36:25	11	38
3	Las Palmas	22	10	8	4	27:17	10	38
4	Dep. La Coruna	22	10	7	5	37:25	12	37
5	Almeria	22	10	6	6	41:32	9	36
6	Malaga	22	10	5	7	32:26	6	35
7	Burgos CF	22	10	5	7	26:20	6	35
8	Cadiz CF	22	9	7	6	25:24	1	34
9	Gijon	22	10	3	9	30:31	-1	33
10	Cordoba	22	8	8	6	27:25	2	32
11	Ceuta	22	9	5	8	25:29	-4	32
12	Valladolid	22	7	7	8	24:23	1	28
13	Andorra	22	7	7	8	25:30	-5	28
14	Albacete	22	7	6	9	27:34	-7	27
15	Leganes	22	6	8	8	23:23	0	26
16	Eibar	22	6	7	9	23:26	-3	25
17	Cultural Leonesa	22	7	4	11	24:34	-10	25
18	Real Sociedad B	22	6	6	10	29:31	-2	24
19	Granada CF	22	4	11	7	23:27	-4	23
20	Huesca	22	6	5	11	20:31	-11	23
21	Zaragoza	22	5	6	11	21:35	-14	21
22	Mirandes	22	4	5	13	23:37	-14	17

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation