Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 8
- Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Dsports 9 |
 Ecuador | DSports 9 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DSports 9 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (462/536) | 75% (259/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (462/536) | 75% (259/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 41% (28/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (77/112) | 63% (55/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Carcelen I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Carcelen I. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
- 48', Climent M. 🟨,
- 54', Caicedo A. 🟨,
- 64', Ontiveros J. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
- 65', Gil I. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
- 65', Viti ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
- 67', Clemente E. 🟨,
- 77', Loiodice E. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 81', Tabatadze I. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
- 85', Alex Suarez ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
- 85', Fuster M. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Sergio Barcia ⚽, Viera J. (A),
- 89', Diakite M. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
- 89', Climent M. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 90+5', Ortuno S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Las Palmas
50.1% | Draw
29.3% | Cádiz
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Las Palmas - Cádiz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.8) |
3.18 ↓
(3.32) |
4.55 ↓
(4.84) |
6.1%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Cádiz?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Cádiz (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Las Palmas will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 50%). Cádiz (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1.
- In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cádiz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Las Palmas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Las Palmas is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Las Palmas: Lukovic M.
(Red Card)
Marmol M.
(Muscle Injury)
Ramirez S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cádiz: Fali
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez J.
(Ankle Injury)
Hernandez L.
(Knee Injury)
de la Rosa J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cádiz: Ugiagbe E.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Cádiz?
Las Palmas has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cádiz won against Las Palmas?
Cádiz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Cádiz were as follows:
24.07.2025
Cádiz
-
Las Palmas
2:1
19.05.2024
Cádiz
-
Las Palmas
0:0
17.12.2023
Las Palmas
-
Cádiz
1:1
28.07.2023
Cádiz
-
Las Palmas
0:1
Latest results of Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
