Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 8
- Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Dsports 9 |
 Ecuador | DSports 9 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DSports 9 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (462/536) | 75% (259/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (462/536) | 75% (259/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 41% (28/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (77/112) | 63% (55/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Carcelen I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Carcelen I. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
- 48', Climent M. 🟨,
- 54', Caicedo A. 🟨,
- 64', Ontiveros J. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
- 65', Gil I. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
- 65', Viti ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
- 67', Clemente E. 🟨,
- 77', Loiodice E. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 81', Tabatadze I. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
- 85', Alex Suarez ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
- 85', Fuster M. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Sergio Barcia ⚽, Viera J. (A),
- 89', Diakite M. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
- 89', Climent M. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 90+5', Ortuno S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Las Palmas
50.1% | Draw
29.3% | Cádiz
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Las Palmas - Cádiz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.8) |
3.18 ↓
(3.32) |
4.55 ↓
(4.84) |
6.1%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Cádiz?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Las Palmas will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1.
- In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cádiz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Las Palmas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Las Palmas is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Las Palmas: Lukovic M.
(Red Card)
Marmol M.
(Muscle Injury)
Ramirez S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cádiz: Fali
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez J.
(Ankle Injury)
Hernandez L.
(Knee Injury)
de la Rosa J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cádiz: Ugiagbe E.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Cádiz?
Las Palmas has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cádiz won against Las Palmas?
Cádiz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Cádiz were as follows:
24.07.2025
Cádiz
-
Las Palmas
2:1
19.05.2024
Cádiz
-
Las Palmas
0:0
17.12.2023
Las Palmas
-
Cádiz
1:1
28.07.2023
Cádiz
-
Las Palmas
0:1
Latest results of Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 42:27 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | Las Palmas | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Dep. La Coruna | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32:21 | 11 | 32 |
| 4 | Almeria | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 35:26 | 9 | 32 |
| 5 | Castellon | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 | Cadiz CF | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 30 |
| 7 | Gijon | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 23:23 | 0 | 30 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 29 |
| 9 | Ceuta | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Malaga | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 11 | Cordoba | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 26 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 24 |
| 13 | Andorra | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Albacete | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25:31 | -6 | 23 |
| 15 | Huesca | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 16 | Cultural Leonesa | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 20:28 | -8 | 23 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 21 |
| 18 | Eibar | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 21 |
| 19 | Granada CF | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 21 |
| 20 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 17 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19:31 | -12 | 16 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
