Las Palmas vs Cádiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Las Palmas - Cádiz
Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 8
  • Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDSports 9
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.41
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
86% (462/536)75% (259/347)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.150.33
Total shots
148
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
86% (462/536)75% (259/347)
Long passes
45% (18/40)41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
69% (77/112)63% (55/88)
Crosses
15% (3/20)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.49
Throw-ins
209
Fouls
1118
Tackles
25% (1/4)46% (6/13)
Duels won
3939
Clearances
2521
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.330.15
Goals prevented
0.33-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Carcelen I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Carcelen I. , Caicedo A. ,
  • 48', Climent M. 🟨,
  • 54', Caicedo A. 🟨,
  • 64', Ontiveros J. , Diarra Y. ,
  • 65', Gil I. , Viera J. ,
  • 65', Viti , Recoba J. ,
  • 67', Clemente E. 🟨,
  • 77', Loiodice E. , Rodriguez K. ,
  • 81', Tabatadze I. , Pereira R. ,
  • 85', Alex Suarez , Herzog J. ,
  • 85', Fuster M. , Mata J. ,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Sergio Barcia , Viera J. (A),
  • 89', Diakite M. , Camara D. ,
  • 89', Climent M. , Fernandez A. ,
  • 90+5', Ortuno S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Las Palmas
50.1%
Draw
29.3%
Cádiz
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 28.4% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 31.8% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Las Palmas - Cádiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.8)
    3.18
    (3.32)
    4.55
    (4.84)
    6.1%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Cádiz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Las Palmas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1.
    • In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cádiz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Las Palmas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Las Palmas is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: Lukovic M. (Red Card) Marmol M. (Muscle Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) de la Rosa J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cádiz: Ugiagbe E. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Cádiz were as follows:
    24.07.2025 Cádiz - Las Palmas 2:1
    19.05.2024 Cádiz - Las Palmas 0:0
    17.12.2023 Las Palmas - Cádiz 1:1
    28.07.2023 Cádiz - Las Palmas 0:1
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    27.09.2025 Las Palmas - Almería 0:1
    20.09.2025 Leganés - Las Palmas 0:1
    07.09.2025 Burgos - Las Palmas 0:0
    31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1
    Latest results of Cádiz
    28.09.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:0
    21.09.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:1
    13.09.2025 Cádiz - Eibar 1:0
    07.09.2025 Real Sociedad B - Cádiz 3:3
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander1061324:17719
    2Las Palmas1053211:6518
    3Cadiz CF1053211:9218
    4Dep. La Coruna1044218:11716
    5Almeria1044219:17216
    6Burgos CF1043316:11515
    7Valladolid1043312:9315
    8Andorra1043313:13015
    9Gijon1050516:17-115
    10Ceuta1043310:12-215
    11Leganes1035210:7314
    12Albacete1034315:16-113
    13Cordoba1034311:13-213
    14Huesca94148:11-313
    15Eibar1033411:10112
    16Castellon1033413:13012
    17Cultural Leonesa1032512:13-111
    18Malaga103259:12-311
    19Granada CF1024411:15-410
    20Real Sociedad B923414:16-29
    21Mirandes102359:14-59
    22Zaragoza101366:17-116

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation