Las Palmas vs Cádiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas).

LaLiga2 - Round 8
Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Dsports 9
Ecuador	DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	0.41
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
1	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
86% (462/536)	75% (259/347)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	0.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.15	0.33
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
12	3
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
16	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
18	11
Passes
86% (462/536)	75% (259/347)
Long passes
45% (18/40)	41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
69% (77/112)	63% (55/88)
Crosses
15% (3/20)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.59	0.49
Throw-ins
20	9
Fouls
11	18
Tackles
25% (1/4)	46% (6/13)
Duels won
39	39
Clearances
25	21
Interceptions
12	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	0
xGOT faced
0.33	0.15
Goals prevented
0.33	-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Carcelen I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Carcelen I. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
48', Climent M. 🟨,
54', Caicedo A. 🟨,
64', Ontiveros J. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
65', Gil I. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
65', Viti ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
67', Clemente E. 🟨,
77', Loiodice E. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
81', Tabatadze I. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
85', Alex Suarez ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
85', Fuster M. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Sergio Barcia ⚽, Viera J. (A),
89', Diakite M. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
89', Climent M. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
90+5', Ortuno S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Las Palmas
50.1%

Draw
29.3%

Cádiz
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

28.4%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

31.8%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Las Palmas - Cádiz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)	3.18 ↓ (3.32)	4.55 ↓ (4.84)	6.1% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Cádiz?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Las Palmas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1.
In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cádiz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Las Palmas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Las Palmas is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Las Palmas: Lukovic M. (Red Card) Marmol M. (Muscle Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) de la Rosa J. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Cádiz: Ugiagbe E. (Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Cádiz?

Las Palmas has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cádiz won against Las Palmas?

Cádiz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Cádiz were as follows:

24.07.2025 Cádiz - Las Palmas 2:1

19.05.2024 Cádiz - Las Palmas 0:0

17.12.2023 Las Palmas - Cádiz 1:1

28.07.2023 Cádiz - Las Palmas 0:1

Latest results of Las Palmas

27.09.2025 Las Palmas - Almería 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Leganés - Las Palmas 0:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Las Palmas - Real Sociedad B 2:1 ✺

07.09.2025 Burgos - Las Palmas 0:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Cádiz

28.09.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Cádiz - Eibar 1:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Real Sociedad B - Cádiz 3:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Cádiz - Albacete Balompié 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	10	6	1	3	24:17	7	19
2	Las Palmas	10	5	3	2	11:6	5	18
3	Cadiz CF	10	5	3	2	11:9	2	18
4	Dep. La Coruna	10	4	4	2	18:11	7	16
5	Almeria	10	4	4	2	19:17	2	16
6	Burgos CF	10	4	3	3	16:11	5	15
7	Valladolid	10	4	3	3	12:9	3	15
8	Andorra	10	4	3	3	13:13	0	15
9	Gijon	10	5	0	5	16:17	-1	15
10	Ceuta	10	4	3	3	10:12	-2	15
11	Leganes	10	3	5	2	10:7	3	14
12	Albacete	10	3	4	3	15:16	-1	13
13	Cordoba	10	3	4	3	11:13	-2	13
14	Huesca	9	4	1	4	8:11	-3	13
15	Eibar	10	3	3	4	11:10	1	12
16	Castellon	10	3	3	4	13:13	0	12
17	Cultural Leonesa	10	3	2	5	12:13	-1	11
18	Malaga	10	3	2	5	9:12	-3	11
19	Granada CF	10	2	4	4	11:15	-4	10
20	Real Sociedad B	9	2	3	4	14:16	-2	9
21	Mirandes	10	2	3	5	9:14	-5	9
22	Zaragoza	10	1	3	6	6:17	-11	6

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation