Ceuta vs Cádiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta).

LaLiga2 - Round 32
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.29	0.72
Ball possession
53%	47%
Total shots
8	4
Shots on target
3	1
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
2	2
Passes
76% (282/370)	73% (241/332)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.29	0.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.27	0.92
Total shots
8	4
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked shots
2	0
Shots inside the box
6	4
Shots outside the box
2	0
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
2	2
Touches in opposition box
15	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	6
Free kicks
19	15
Passes
76% (282/370)	73% (241/332)
Long passes
45% (33/73)	38% (27/71)
Passes in final third
67% (85/127)	52% (55/106)
Crosses
6% (1/18)	29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.29	0.85
Throw ins
27	24
Fouls
15	19
Tackles
58% (7/12)	54% (13/24)
Duels won
44	64
Clearances
37	37
Interceptions
5	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.92	0.27
Goals prevented
-0.08	-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽,
38', Matos Jose 🟨,
40', de la Rosa J. 🟨,
43', Bodiger Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', de la Rosa J. ↓, Suso ↑,
59', Ortuno S. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Kovacevic B. (Own goal),
66', Suso 🟨,
69', Gonzalez J. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
69', Diarra Y. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
71', Bassinga A. ↓, Betancourt A. ↑,
71', Pascual A. ↓, Marti R. ↑,
77', Campana J. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Marti R. ⚽, Fernandez A. (A),
88', Hernandez C. ↓, Caparros A. ↑,
89', Kone K. ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,
89', Bodiger Y. ↓, Josema ↑,
90', Recio I. 🟨,
90+2', Kouame R. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3528p2rv

Chances of winning

Ceuta
43.4%

Draw
28.6%

Cádiz
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

28.2%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

25.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Cádiz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Ceuta - Cádiz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.16)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	3.33 ↓ (3.36)	6.8% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Ceuta - Cádiz?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cádiz will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Cádiz (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 50%). Cádiz (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 16).
Ceuta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cádiz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ceuta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Illescas M. (Yellow Cards) Jamelli (Ankle Injury) Sanchez S. (Calf Injury) Zalazar K. (Injury)
There will not play in Cádiz: Diakite M. (International duty) Ocampo B. (Ankle Injury) Ontiveros J. (Heel Injury) Tabatadze I. (Injury)
There are questionable in Ceuta: Campana J. (Injury) Kone K. (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Cádiz?

Ceuta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cádiz won against Ceuta?

Cádiz has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Cádiz were as follows:

28.09.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:0

02.08.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:3

Latest results of Ceuta

21.03.2026 Leganés - Ceuta 5:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña 1:2 ✺

08.03.2026 Las Palmas - Ceuta 4:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Mirandés - Ceuta 0:1 ✺

25.02.2026 Ceuta - Córdoba 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Cádiz

21.03.2026 Cádiz - Málaga 0:3 ✺

13.03.2026 Mirandés - Cádiz 0:2 ✺

06.03.2026 Cádiz - Zaragoza 0:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Eibar - Cádiz 3:1 ✺

23.02.2026 Cádiz - Real Sociedad B 0:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	37	21	6	10	75:55	20	69
2	Almeria	37	20	7	10	74:56	18	67
3	Dep. La Coruna	37	18	11	8	57:40	17	65
4	Castellon	37	18	10	9	64:46	18	64
5	Las Palmas	37	17	12	8	49:31	18	63
6	Burgos CF	37	17	10	10	44:33	11	61
7	Eibar	37	17	10	10	45:32	13	61
8	Malaga	37	17	9	11	62:47	15	60
9	Andorra	37	15	10	12	56:47	9	55
10	Cordoba	37	15	9	13	52:55	-3	54
11	Gijon	37	15	7	15	50:47	3	52
12	Ceuta	37	14	9	14	44:57	-13	51
13	Albacete	37	12	11	14	48:51	-3	47
14	Granada CF	37	11	12	14	47:49	-2	45
15	Valladolid	37	11	10	16	40:48	-8	43
16	Leganes	37	10	12	15	40:44	-4	42
17	Real Sociedad B	37	11	8	18	46:54	-8	41
18	Cadiz CF	37	10	8	19	34:53	-19	38
19	Huesca	37	9	9	19	37:55	-18	36
20	Mirandes	37	9	9	19	40:60	-20	36
21	Zaragoza	37	8	11	18	33:50	-17	35
22	Cultural Leonesa	37	8	8	21	33:60	-27	32

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