Leonesa vs Cádiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/05/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Reino de León (León).

LaLiga2 - Round 38
Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.49	1.10
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
5	3
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
4	4
Passes
87% (399/460)	79% (261/330)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.49	1.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.41	0.77
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked shots
3	2
Shots inside the box
8	7
Shots outside the box
8	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
23	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
11	13
Passes
87% (399/460)	79% (261/330)
Long passes
56% (23/41)	44% (24/54)
Passes in final third
79% (114/144)	65% (61/94)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.49	0.65
Throw ins
14	12
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
64% (9/14)	70% (7/10)
Duels won
46	40
Clearances
24	24
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.77	1.41
Goals prevented
-1.23	-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Recio I. 🟨,
5', Garcia V. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Moreno V. ⚽, Tresaco R. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Cordero A. ⚽, Suso (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Tresaco R. ↓, Calero I. ↑,
68', Sobrino R. ↓, Ribeiro L. ↑,
68', Radoja N. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
73', Diakite M. 🟨,
78', Perez L. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
78', Pascual A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Cordero A. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
83', Climent M. ↓, Arribas S. ↑,
84', Moreno V. ↓, Hinojo R. ↑,
85', Garcia V. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
89', Suso 🟨,
89', Suso ↓, Ortuno S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Maestre S. ⚽, Bicho (A),
90+5', Ribeiro L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Leonesa
48.7%

Draw
27.3%

Cádiz
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.5%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

23.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Leonesa - Cádiz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 (1.92)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	3.86 ↑ (3.7)	7.2% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Leonesa - Cádiz?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Cádiz will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Cádiz (3.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 18).
Leonesa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cádiz has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Leonesa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Leonesa: Barzic M. (Red Card) Ojeda T. (Injury)
There will not play in Cádiz: Kovacevic B. (Red Card) Ontiveros J. (Heel Injury) Tabatadze I. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cádiz: Carcelen I. (Injury) Ocampo B. (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Cádiz?

Leonesa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cádiz won against Leonesa?

Cádiz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Cádiz were as follows:

23.11.2025 Cádiz - Leonesa 1:2

Latest results of Leonesa

26.04.2026 Mirandés - Leonesa 2:1 ✺

18.04.2026 Leonesa - Córdoba 1:2 ✺

12.04.2026 Granada - Leonesa 1:0 ✺

04.04.2026 Leonesa - Valladolid 1:0 ✺

01.04.2026 Huesca - Leonesa 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Cádiz

27.04.2026 Cádiz - Las Palmas 1:2 ✺

19.04.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Cádiz 3:0 ✺

12.04.2026 Cádiz - FC Andorra 0:1 ✺

04.04.2026 Cádiz - Córdoba 1:3 ✺

31.03.2026 Valladolid - Cádiz 3:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	38	22	6	10	79:57	22	72
2	Dep. La Coruna	38	19	11	8	59:41	18	68
3	Almeria	37	20	7	10	74:56	18	67
4	Castellon	38	18	10	10	65:48	17	64
5	Malaga	38	18	9	11	66:49	17	63
6	Las Palmas	37	17	12	8	49:31	18	63
7	Burgos CF	38	17	11	10	44:33	11	62
8	Eibar	38	17	10	11	47:36	11	61
9	Cordoba	38	16	9	13	54:56	-2	57
10	Andorra	38	15	10	13	56:48	8	55
11	Ceuta	38	15	9	14	46:58	-12	54
12	Gijon	38	15	7	16	51:49	2	52
13	Albacete	38	13	11	14	49:51	-2	50
14	Granada CF	38	12	12	14	48:49	-1	48
15	Valladolid	37	11	10	16	40:48	-8	43
16	Leganes	38	10	12	16	41:46	-5	42
17	Real Sociedad B	38	11	9	18	46:54	-8	42
18	Cadiz CF	38	10	9	19	36:55	-19	39
19	Mirandes	37	9	9	19	40:60	-20	36
20	Huesca	38	9	9	20	39:59	-20	36
21	Zaragoza	38	8	11	19	33:51	-18	35
22	Cultural Leonesa	38	8	9	21	35:62	-27	33

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation