Leonesa vs Valladolid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 7
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 7
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 7
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.820.15
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
32
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
32
Passes
84% (334/400)88% (440/500)
Yellow cards
63
Expected goals (xG)
0.820.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.43
Total shots
74
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
00
Shots inside the box
53
Shots outside the box
21
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1216
Passes
84% (334/400)88% (440/500)
Long passes
38% (21/55)60% (33/55)
Passes in final third
66% (59/90)74% (87/118)
Crosses
27% (3/11)14% (3/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.34
Throw ins
1516
Fouls
1612
Tackles
93% (13/14)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4345
Clearances
163
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.431.44
Goals prevented
0.430.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Maestre S. 🟨,
  • 19', Juric S. 🟨,
  • 21', Barzic M. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Chacon L. , Garcia V. (A),
  • 34', Ribeiro L. , Collado D. ,
  • 37', Clerc C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Al Amin H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Canos S. , Biuk S. ,
  • 53', Calero I. 🟨,
  • 63', Tresaco R. , Hinojo R. ,
  • 63', Maestre S. , Bicho ,
  • 66', Latasa J. , Marcos Andre ,
  • 66', Peter Federico , Ohio N. ,
  • 75', Juric S. , Meseguer Cavas V. A. ,
  • 75', Michelin C. , Alejo I. ,
  • 78', de la Barrera R. 🟨,
  • 78', Ponceau J. 🟨,
  • 89', Collado D. , Diallo Selu M. ,
  • 89', Al Amin H. , Sobrino R. ,
  • 90+2', Badia E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3u277a6b

Chances of winning


Leonesa
34.2%
Draw
28.7%
Valladolid
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 28.5% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 30.7% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valladolid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leonesa - Valladolid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.53)
    3.27
    (3.31)
    2.56
    (2.76)
    6.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leonesa - Valladolid?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 50.6%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).
    • Leonesa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Valladolid has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Knee Injury) Garriel I. (Knee Injury) Guilherme Fernandes (Muscle Injury) Ndiaye A. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Valladolid were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Valladolid - Leonesa 0:1
    Latest results of Leonesa
    01.04.2026 Huesca - Leonesa 1:1
    29.03.2026 Leonesa - FC Andorra 0:4
    23.03.2026 Castellón - Leonesa 1:1
    14.03.2026 Leonesa - Racing Santander 1:2
    09.03.2026 Almería - Leonesa 3:0
    Latest results of Valladolid
    31.03.2026 Valladolid - Cádiz 3:0
    28.03.2026 Valladolid - Burgos 0:1
    22.03.2026 Mirandés - Valladolid 2:1
    14.03.2026 Valladolid - Leganés 3:2
    07.03.2026 Málaga - Valladolid 3:3
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Las Palmas381812851:321966
    5Castellon3818101065:481764
    6Malaga381891166:491763
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3811101741:50-943
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

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