Result
2:1
14/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 27
- Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
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| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 20 | 13 |
| Offsides |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Fouls |
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| 13 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 15 | 26 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
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| 83% (288/345) | 82% (328/399) |
| Passes in the final third |
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| 71% (54/76) | 66% (83/125) |
| Crosses |
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| 14% (2/14) | 24% (4/17) |
| Tackles |
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| 67% (8/12) | 45% (10/22) |
| Clearances Total |
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| 33 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Monconduit T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Thomas R. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 53', Jaouab M. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 0, Leautey A. ⚽, Mafouta L. (A),
- 65', Benrahou Y. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
- 66', Grandsir S. ↓, Ba Loua A. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Kandil N. ⚽, Kaiboue K. (A),
- 75', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
- 75', Sy L. ↓, Henry V. ↑,
- 82', M'Vila Y. 🟨,
- 83', Monconduit T. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
- 86', Kandil N. ↓, Mbaye M. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Coulibaly K. ⚽,
- 90+4', Leautey A. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
- 90+4', Corchia S. ↓, Bakayoko S. ↑,
- 90+6', Vita R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amiens 31.1% | Draw 29.5% | Caen 39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Amiens - Caen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.03 ↑ (2.9) |
3.19 ↓ (3.19) |
2.38 ↓ (2.45) |
6.2% (6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Amiens - Caen?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Caen will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 16.4% – 61.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Amiens won 0.
- Amiens has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Caen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Caen will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Caen: Benrahou Y.
(Injury)
Gaucho Debohi D.
(Yellow Cards)
Grandsir S.
(Injury)
M'Vila Y.
(Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Amiens won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:16 (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Caen?
Amiens has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Amiens?
Caen has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Caen were as follows:
24.09.2024
Caen
-
Amiens
2:1
10.02.2024
Caen
-
Amiens
2:0
19.12.2023
Amiens
-
Caen
0:0
20.05.2023
Amiens
-
Caen
1:3
10.09.2022
Caen
-
Amiens
3:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Annecy | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Amiens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Nancy | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National