Amiens vs Caen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Amiens - Caen
Result
2:1
14/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.64
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
911
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
Free Kicks
2013
Offsides
41
Fouls
1320
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
1526
Touches in the Opposition Box
1817
Passes
83% (288/345)82% (328/399)
Passes in the final third
71% (54/76)66% (83/125)
Crosses
14% (2/14)24% (4/17)
Tackles
67% (8/12)45% (10/22)
Clearances Total
3322
Interceptions
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Monconduit T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Thomas R. , Traore B. ,
  • 53', Jaouab M. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Leautey A. , Mafouta L. (A),
  • 65', Benrahou Y. , Brahimi B. ,
  • 66', Grandsir S. , Ba Loua A. ,
  • 73', 2 - 0, Kandil N. , Kaiboue K. (A),
  • 75', Kyeremeh G. , Coulibaly K. ,
  • 75', Sy L. , Henry V. ,
  • 82', M'Vila Y. 🟨,
  • 83', Monconduit T. , Fofana I. ,
  • 86', Kandil N. , Mbaye M. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Coulibaly K. ,
  • 90+4', Leautey A. , Rafii Y. ,
  • 90+4', Corchia S. , Bakayoko S. ,
  • 90+6', Vita R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Amiens
31.1%
Draw
29.5%
Caen
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 29.4% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 29.1% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Amiens - Caen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (2.9)
    3.19
    (3.19)
    2.38
    (2.45)
    6.2%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Amiens - Caen?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Caen will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 16.4%61.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Amiens won 0.
    • Amiens has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Caen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Caen will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Caen: Benrahou Y. (Injury) Gaucho Debohi D. (Yellow Cards) Grandsir S. (Injury) M'Vila Y. (Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Amiens won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:16 (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 0.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Caen were as follows:
    24.09.2024 Caen - Amiens 2:1
    10.02.2024 Caen - Amiens 2:0
    19.12.2023 Amiens - Caen 0:0
    20.05.2023 Amiens - Caen 1:3
    10.09.2022 Caen - Amiens 3:1
    Latest results of Amiens
    07.03.2025 Red Star - Amiens 2:0
    01.03.2025 Amiens - Metz 1:2
    21.02.2025 Rodez - Amiens 1:1
    14.02.2025 Amiens - Grenoble 1:4
    08.02.2025 Lorient - Amiens 3:1
    Latest results of Caen
    07.03.2025 Caen - Laval 0:1
    28.02.2025 Clermont - Caen 0:1
    22.02.2025 Caen - Pau 2:2
    17.02.2025 Annecy - Caen 1:0
    10.02.2025 Caen - Dunkerque 0:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1173120:91124
    2Red Star1172217:9823
    3Pau FC1163217:12521
    4St Etienne1162321:17420
    5Montpellier1152413:11217
    6Reims1144316:15116
    7Le Mans1144315:14116
    8Annecy1143414:12215
    9Amiens1143414:14015
    10Guingamp1143418:22-415
    11Dunkerque1134419:15413
    12Clermont1134410:14-413
    13Rodez1134411:15-413
    14Nancy1133511:16-512
    15Grenoble1124511:14-310
    16Boulogne113179:14-510
    17Laval101547:12-58
    18Bastia100464:12-84

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National