Result
3:2
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 31
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
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| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
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| 80% (264/331) | 82% (369/449) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 2.82 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 3.01 | 2.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 20 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
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| 80% (264/331) | 82% (369/449) |
| Long passes |
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| 37% (15/41) | 38% (24/63) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 59% (65/111) | 63% (79/125) |
| Crosses |
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| 43% (13/30) | 44% (8/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.23 | 1.93 |
| Throw ins |
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| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
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| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
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| 60% (3/5) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
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| 37 | 41 |
| Clearances |
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| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.08 | 3.01 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.08 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, Joly O. ⚽, Arconte T. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Kore Y. ⚽, Kaiboue K. (A),
- 24', Sane I. ↓, Kandil N. ↑,
- 29', 1 - 2, Hamache I. ⚽, Kandil N. (A),
- 45+1', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Kore Y. 🟨,
- 49', 2 - 2, Balde I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', 3 - 2, Arconte T. ⚽, Jean-Lambert E. (A),
- 68', Ntamack S. ↓, Somon E. ↑,
- 68', Hamache I. ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,
- 69', Kaiboue K. ↓, Alvero S. ↑,
- 69', Benchamma S. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
- 69', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Ponti R. ↑,
- 74', Leautey A. ↓, Aissat O. ↑,
- 80', Magnin M. 🟨,
- 80', Joly O. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
- 82', Balde I. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
- 90', Trouillet A. ↓, Issanchou Roubiou C. ↑,
- 90+5', Saka M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rodez 56.4% | Draw 22.8% | Amiens 20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Rodez - Amiens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↓ (1.8) |
4.15 ↑ (3.7) |
4.51 ↑ (3.95) |
6.3% (8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Rodez - Amiens?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Amiens will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodez: 47.5% – 89.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodez (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 0.
- Rodez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Amiens has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Rodez is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Rodez: Achi M.
(Inactive)
Corredor M.
(Inactive)
Tebily H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Bakayoko S.
(Red Card)
Lo A.
(Inactive)
Lobry V.
(Knee Injury)
Monconduit T.
(Inactive)
Roussillon J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Rodez will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Amiens?
Rodez has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Rodez?
Amiens has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Amiens were as follows:
25.10.2025
Amiens
-
Rodez
2:1
21.02.2025
Rodez
-
Amiens
1:1
27.09.2024
Amiens
-
Rodez
2:1
09.03.2024
Amiens
-
Rodez
1:1
16.12.2023
Rodez
-
Amiens
2:2
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National