Auxerre vs Caen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/03/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 29
  • Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
franceFrancebeIN Sports
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Chances of winning


Auxerre
54.2%
Draw
25.8%
Caen
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 24.5% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 23.3% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auxerre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Auxerre - Caen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.67)
    3.66
    (3.85)
    4.73
    (4.99)
    5.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Auxerre - Caen?
  • Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Auxerre is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Caen were as follows:
    21.10.2023 Caen - Auxerre 1:1
    Latest results of Auxerre
    09.03.2024 Saint-Étienne - Auxerre 1:0
    02.03.2024 Auxerre - Valenciennes 0:0
    24.02.2024 Auxerre - Bastia 1:1
    17.02.2024 Annecy - Auxerre 0:2
    10.02.2024 Auxerre - Angers 1:0
    Latest results of Caen
    09.03.2024 Caen - Paris FC 0:1
    02.03.2024 Pau - Caen 2:3
    26.02.2024 Caen - Angers 2:0
    17.02.2024 Guingamp - Caen 1:0
    10.02.2024 Caen - Amiens 2:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes30177652:322058
    2St Etienne30176753:312257
    3Le Mans301412445:291654
    4Red Star30149736:30651
    5Reims301212643:281548
    6Rodez301212638:35348
    7Montpellier301281035:27844
    8Annecy301271136:34243
    9Pau FC301191041:48-742
    10Dunkerque3010101045:37840
    11Guingamp3010101039:42-340
    12Boulogne30991230:38-836
    13Grenoble306141029:36-732
    14Clermont30791434:41-730
    15Nancy30791427:43-1630
    16Laval304131326:43-1725
    17Amiens30661834:52-1824
    18Bastia303121519:36-1721

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National