Result
0:1
24/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 20
- Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (498/569) | 80% (286/359) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 72% (105/146) | 67% (68/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 44% (4/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 79% (19/24) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 8 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Labeau B. ⚽,
- 45+4', Guendouz S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Guendouz S. ↓, Mendes J. A. ↑,
- 68', Le Bihan M. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
- 73', Luvambo T. ↓, Touzghar R. ↑,
- 74', Najim I. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
- 75', Lecoeuche Q. 🟨,
- 80', Lebreton N. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
- 83', Touzghar R. 🟨,
- 88', Labeau B. ↓, Godame T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Caen
29.3% | Draw
28.3% | Guingamp
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caen's form might have worsened.Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guingamp, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Caen - Guingamp Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↑
(2.63) |
3.32 ↓
(3.49) |
2.23 ↓
(2.49) |
6.2%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Caen - Guingamp?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Guingamp will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 51.5% – 86.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 0.
- Caen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Guingamp is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Caen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Guingamp have a series of home games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Caen: Coulibaly K.
(Red Card)
Henry V.
(Red Card)
M'Vila Y.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Guingamp: Planeix I.
(Knee Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Guingamp to win the game is with odds 2.4.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Caen won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:23 (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Guingamp?
Caen has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Caen?
Guingamp has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caen - Guingamp were as follows:
22.12.2024
Guingamp
-
Caen
2:1
30.09.2024
Guingamp
-
Caen
3:1
03.08.2024
Caen
-
Guingamp
1:6
17.02.2024
Guingamp
-
Caen
1:0
30.09.2023
Caen
-
Guingamp
0:1
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
