Result
4:0
26/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 32
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (566/638) | 80% (232/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (566/638) | 80% (232/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (24/42) | 52% (32/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (130/174) | 68% (60/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | -1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', Gaucho Debohi D. ↓, Verhaeghe R. ↑,
- 12', Laporte J. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Bamba M. ⚽, Ponceau J. (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Ponceau J. (A),
- 44', M'Vila Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Brahimi B. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
- 65', Kalulu G. ↓, Igor Silva ↑,
- 66', Lebreton N. ↓, Tome G. ↑,
- 73', Bamba M. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 73', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
- 77', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
- 77', Grandsir S. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 0, Soumano S. ⚽,
- 86', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
- 86', Abergel L. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 0, Soumano S. ⚽, Tosin A. (A),
Chances of winning
Lorient
77.5% | Draw
15% | Caen
7.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Lorient - Caen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↓
(1.28) |
6.3 ↑
(5.55) |
12.63 ↑
(9.22) |
5.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lorient - Caen?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). Caen will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 72.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.75 - Lorient (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Lorient (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 3.
- Lorient in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Caen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Lorient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Lorient is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N.
(Ankle Injury)
Diarra S.
(Injury)
Katseris P.
(Inactive)
Mendy F.
(Illness)
Pagis P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Caen: Le Bihan M.
(Red Card)
Lecoeuche Q.
(Inactive)
Ntim E.
(Inactive)
Thomas R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Lorient won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Caen?
Lorient has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Lorient?
Caen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Caen were as follows:
05.10.2024
Caen
-
Lorient
1:2
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
