Lorient vs Caen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade du Moustoir (Lorient).

Ligue 2 - Round 32
Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	0.89
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
12	1
Passes
89% (566/638)	80% (232/290)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	0.89
xG on target (xGOT)
2.55	0.56
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
8	4
Shots inside the Box
13	6
Shots outside the Box
9	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
12	1
Touches in opposition box
41	17
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
8	10
Passes
89% (566/638)	80% (232/290)
Long passes
57% (24/42)	52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
75% (130/174)	68% (60/88)
Crosses
26% (6/23)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.43	0.49
Throw-ins
25	13
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
85% (11/13)	91% (10/11)
Duels won
39	39
Clearances
8	34
Interceptions
10	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.56	2.55
Goals prevented
0.56	-1.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Gaucho Debohi D. ↓, Verhaeghe R. ↑,
12', Laporte J. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Bamba M. ⚽, Ponceau J. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Ponceau J. (A),
44', M'Vila Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Brahimi B. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
65', Kalulu G. ↓, Igor Silva ↑,
66', Lebreton N. ↓, Tome G. ↑,
73', Bamba M. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
73', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
77', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
77', Grandsir S. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Soumano S. ⚽,
86', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
86', Abergel L. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 0, Soumano S. ⚽, Tosin A. (A),

Chances of winning

Lorient
77.5%

Draw
15%

Caen
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

16.9%

10.1%

Lorient - Caen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.28)	6.3 ↑ (5.55)	12.63 ↑ (9.22)	5.8% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Lorient - Caen?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). Caen will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 72.1% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Lorient (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Lorient (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 3.
Lorient in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Caen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Lorient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Lorient is certain favorite.
There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Diarra S. (Injury) Katseris P. (Inactive) Mendy F. (Illness) Pagis P. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Caen: Le Bihan M. (Red Card) Lecoeuche Q. (Inactive) Ntim E. (Inactive) Thomas R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Lorient won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.4:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Caen?

Lorient has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Lorient?

Caen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Caen were as follows:

05.10.2024 Caen - Lorient 1:2

Latest results of Lorient

21.04.2025 Annecy - Lorient 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Guingamp - Lorient 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Lorient - Pau 5:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Grenoble - Lorient 1:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Lorient - Bastia 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Caen

18.04.2025 Caen - Martigues 0:3 ✺

11.04.2025 Rodez - Caen 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Caen - Metz 2:2 ✺

31.03.2025 Paris FC - Caen 4:2 ✺

14.03.2025 Amiens - Caen 2:1 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes	22	12	5	5	34:22	12	41
2	Reims	22	11	6	5	37:23	14	39
3	Le Mans	22	10	9	3	27:19	8	39
4	St Etienne	22	11	4	7	37:27	10	37
5	Red Star	22	10	7	5	30:22	8	37
6	Dunkerque	22	9	7	6	35:23	12	34
7	Pau FC	22	9	7	6	33:33	0	34
8	Guingamp	22	9	6	7	33:33	0	33
9	Annecy	22	9	5	8	28:22	6	32
10	Montpellier	22	9	4	9	24:22	2	31
11	Rodez	22	7	9	6	28:30	-2	30
12	Grenoble	22	6	8	8	24:29	-5	26
13	Nancy	22	7	4	11	20:30	-10	25
14	Boulogne	22	6	5	11	23:33	-10	23
15	Clermont	22	5	7	10	24:30	-6	22
16	Amiens	22	6	4	12	27:35	-8	22
17	Laval	22	3	8	11	15:30	-15	17
18	Bastia	22	3	7	12	11:27	-16	16

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National