Caen vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2
Football French Ligue 2 Caen - Metz
Result
2:2
05/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4, Arena Sport 8
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.70
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
74% (186/252)87% (490/565)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.731.45
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
2130
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
74% (186/252)87% (490/565)
Long passes
46% (27/59)53% (27/51)
Passes in final third
66% (55/83)71% (97/137)
Crosses
24% (5/21)41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.971.56
Fouls
1510
Tackles
60% (6/10)61% (11/18)
Duels won
3451
Clearances Total
2519
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.450.73
Goals prevented
-0.55-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', Lebreton N. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Van Den Kerkhof K. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Grandsir S. ⚽,
  • 50', Traore B. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Sabaly C. ⚽, Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),
  • 62', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
  • 68', Benrahou Y. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Lebreton N. ⚽,
  • 72', Grandsir S. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
  • 74', M'Vila Y. 🟨,
  • 78', Sane S. 🟨,
  • 81', Stambouli B. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
  • 81', Jallow A. ↓, Diallo P. A. ↑,
  • 81', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
  • 84', Gaudin J. ↓, Autret M. ↑,
  • 89', Gueye I. ↓, Sane I. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2s4eb3ah

Chances of winning


Caen
20.6%		Draw
25%		Metz
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 26.3% 50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1% 25.5% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
    •

    Caen - Metz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.65 ↑
    (4.09)    		 3.77 ↑
    (3.55)    		 1.71 ↓
    (1.84)    		 6.4%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra
    •
    What is the prediction for Caen - Metz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Metz will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 2.
    • Caen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Metz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Metz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Metz is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Caen: Tome G. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Metz: Kouao K. (Red Card) Lo A. (Injury) Mangondo J. (Injury) Sane I. (Inactive) Sy P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Caen: Thomas R. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Caen won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.2:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caen - Metz were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Metz - Caen 1:0
    13.02.2023 Metz - Caen 0:0
    Latest results of Caen
    31.03.2025 Paris FC - Caen 4:2 ✺
    14.03.2025 Amiens - Caen 2:1 ✺
    07.03.2025 Caen - Laval 0:1 ✺
    28.02.2025 Clermont - Caen 0:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Caen - Pau 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Metz
    28.03.2025 Metz - Troyes 2:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Dunkerque - Metz 2:3 ✺
    08.03.2025 Metz - Annecy 5:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Amiens - Metz 1:2 ✺
    22.02.2025 Metz - Ajaccio 0:1 ✺
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

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