Caen vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen).

Ligue 2 - Round 29
Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 8
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	1.70
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
6	8
Passes
74% (186/252)	87% (490/565)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	1.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.73	1.45
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
7	10
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
6	8
Touches in opposition box
21	30
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
10	15
Passes
74% (186/252)	87% (490/565)
Long passes
46% (27/59)	53% (27/51)
Passes in final third
66% (55/83)	71% (97/137)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.97	1.56
Fouls
15	10
Tackles
60% (6/10)	61% (11/18)
Duels won
34	51
Clearances Total
25	19
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.45	0.73
Goals prevented
-0.55	-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Lebreton N. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Van Den Kerkhof K. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Grandsir S. ⚽,
50', Traore B. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Sabaly C. ⚽, Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),
62', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
68', Benrahou Y. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Lebreton N. ⚽,
72', Grandsir S. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
74', M'Vila Y. 🟨,
78', Sane S. 🟨,
81', Stambouli B. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
81', Jallow A. ↓, Diallo P. A. ↑,
81', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
84', Gaudin J. ↓, Autret M. ↑,
89', Gueye I. ↓, Sane I. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2s4eb3ah

Chances of winning

Caen
20.6%

Draw
25%

Metz
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.3%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.5%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Caen - Metz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (4.09)	3.77 ↑ (3.55)	1.71 ↓ (1.84)	6.4% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra

What is the prediction for Caen - Metz?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Metz will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 2.
Caen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Metz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Metz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Metz is a favorite.
There will not play in Caen: Tome G. (Suspended)
There will not play in Metz: Kouao K. (Red Card) Lo A. (Injury) Mangondo J. (Injury) Sane I. (Inactive) Sy P. (Injury)
There are questionable in Caen: Thomas R. (Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Caen won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.2:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.2:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Metz?

Caen has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Caen?

Metz has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Caen - Metz were as follows:

09.11.2024 Metz - Caen 1:0

13.02.2023 Metz - Caen 0:0

Latest results of Caen

31.03.2025 Paris FC - Caen 4:2 ✺

14.03.2025 Amiens - Caen 2:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Caen - Laval 0:1 ✺

28.02.2025 Clermont - Caen 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Caen - Pau 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Metz

28.03.2025 Metz - Troyes 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Dunkerque - Metz 2:3 ✺

08.03.2025 Metz - Annecy 5:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Amiens - Metz 1:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Metz - Ajaccio 0:1 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes	11	7	3	1	20:9	11	24
2	Red Star	11	7	2	2	17:9	8	23
3	Pau FC	11	6	3	2	17:12	5	21
4	St Etienne	11	6	2	3	21:17	4	20
5	Montpellier	11	5	2	4	13:11	2	17
6	Reims	11	4	4	3	16:15	1	16
7	Le Mans	11	4	4	3	15:14	1	16
8	Annecy	11	4	3	4	14:12	2	15
9	Amiens	11	4	3	4	14:14	0	15
10	Guingamp	11	4	3	4	18:22	-4	15
11	Dunkerque	11	3	4	4	19:15	4	13
12	Clermont	11	3	4	4	10:14	-4	13
13	Rodez	11	3	4	4	11:15	-4	13
14	Nancy	11	3	3	5	11:16	-5	12
15	Grenoble	11	2	4	5	11:14	-3	10
16	Boulogne	11	3	1	7	9:14	-5	10
17	Laval	10	1	5	4	7:12	-5	8
18	Bastia	10	0	4	6	4:12	-8	4

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National