Result
2:2
05/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 29
- Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 8 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (186/252) | 87% (490/565) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (186/252) | 87% (490/565) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (27/59) | 53% (27/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (55/83) | 71% (97/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.56 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Lebreton N. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Van Den Kerkhof K. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 1, Grandsir S. ⚽,
- 50', Traore B. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 2, Sabaly C. ⚽, Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),
- 62', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 68', Benrahou Y. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 2, Lebreton N. ⚽,
- 72', Grandsir S. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
- 74', M'Vila Y. 🟨,
- 78', Sane S. 🟨,
- 81', Stambouli B. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
- 81', Jallow A. ↓, Diallo P. A. ↑,
- 81', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 84', Gaudin J. ↓, Autret M. ↑,
- 89', Gueye I. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2s4eb3ah
Chances of winning
Caen
20.6% | Draw
25% | Metz
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Caen - Metz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.65 ↑
(4.09) |
3.77 ↑
(3.55) |
1.71 ↓
(1.84) |
6.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra
What is the prediction for Caen - Metz?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- EH +1 - Metz (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Metz (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Metz (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Metz (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Metz (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Caen (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Metz will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Metz will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Caen (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Metz (votes: 10 - 90.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 2.
- Caen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Metz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Metz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Metz is a favorite.
- There will not play in Caen: Tome G.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Metz: Kouao K.
(Red Card)
Lo A.
(Injury)
Mangondo J.
(Injury)
Sane I.
(Inactive)
Sy P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Caen: Thomas R.
(Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Caen won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Metz?
Caen has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Caen?
Metz has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caen - Metz were as follows:
09.11.2024
Metz
-
Caen
1:0
13.02.2023
Metz
-
Caen
0:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
