Result
2:2
11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 30
- Referee: Legat P. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.85 | 1.63 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
81% (361/443) | 82% (362/444) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.85 | 1.63 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.54 | 2.29 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 23 |
Through passes |
---|
0% (0/1) | 0% (0/2) |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
81% (361/443) | 82% (362/444) |
Long passes |
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49% (28/57) | 56% (49/87) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (132/188) | 68% (84/124) |
Crosses |
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25% (5/20) | 33% (9/27) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.15 | 1.79 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (9/17) | 57% (8/14) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 39 |
Clearances Total |
---|
20 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
16 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.29 | 1.54 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.29 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 0, Nkada T. ⚽, Bouchouari M. (A),
- 58', Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Lebreton N. ⚽, Mendy A. (A),
- 65', Trouillet A. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
- 73', Abdallah A. ↓, Galves N. ↑,
- 73', Bouchouari M. ↓, Lipinski R. ↑,
- 80', Cissokho T. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 2, Kyeremeh G. ⚽, Benrahou Y. (A),
- 83', Benrahou Y. ↓, Le Bihan M. ↑,
- 85', Cadiou N. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
- 85', Bentayeb T. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
- 87', Gaudin J. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Balde I. ⚽, Nkada T. (A),
- 90+2', Le Bihan M. 🟥,
- 90+7', Gaudin J. ↓, Henry V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rodez 49.5% | Draw 25.4% | Caen 25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Rodez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Rodez - Caen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↑ (1.89) |
3.69 ↑ (3.66) |
3.71 ↓ (3.75) |
6.7% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rodez - Caen?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rodez (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Rodez will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 2.
- Recent matches Rodez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Caen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Rodez will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Rodez: Chougrani J.
(Injury)
Cibois S.
(Injury)
Mambo S.
(Injury)
Pelon A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Caen: Ntim E.
(Inactive)
Thomas R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Caen: Brahimi B.
(Injury)
Coulibaly K.
(Inactive)
Gaudin J.
(Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Rodez won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:20 (average 1.7:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Caen?
Rodez has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Rodez?
Caen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Caen were as follows:
22.11.2024
Caen
-
Rodez
3:3
13.04.2024
Caen
-
Rodez
1:0
07.10.2023
Rodez
-
Caen
5:3
11.03.2023
Rodez
-
Caen
3:2
22.10.2022
Caen
-
Rodez
2:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National