Result
2:2
11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 30
- Referee: Legat P. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (361/443) | 82% (362/444) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (361/443) | 82% (362/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 56% (49/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (132/188) | 68% (84/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 33% (9/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.79 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 39 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 0, Nkada T. ⚽, Bouchouari M. (A),
- 58', Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Lebreton N. ⚽, Mendy A. (A),
- 65', Trouillet A. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
- 73', Abdallah A. ↓, Galves N. ↑,
- 73', Bouchouari M. ↓, Lipinski R. ↑,
- 80', Cissokho T. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 2, Kyeremeh G. ⚽, Benrahou Y. (A),
- 83', Benrahou Y. ↓, Le Bihan M. ↑,
- 85', Cadiou N. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
- 85', Bentayeb T. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
- 87', Gaudin J. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Balde I. ⚽, Nkada T. (A),
- 90+2', Le Bihan M. 🟥,
- 90+7', Gaudin J. ↓, Henry V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rodez
49.5% | Draw
25.4% | Caen
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Rodez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Rodez - Caen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.89) |
3.69 ↑
(3.66) |
3.71 ↓
(3.75) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rodez - Caen?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rodez (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Rodez will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 2.
- Recent matches Rodez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Caen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Rodez will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Rodez: Chougrani J.
(Injury)
Cibois S.
(Injury)
Mambo S.
(Injury)
Pelon A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Caen: Ntim E.
(Inactive)
Thomas R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Caen: Brahimi B.
(Injury)
Coulibaly K.
(Inactive)
Gaudin J.
(Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Rodez won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:20 (average 1.7:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Caen?
Rodez has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Rodez?
Caen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Caen were as follows:
22.11.2024
Caen
-
Rodez
3:3
13.04.2024
Caen
-
Rodez
1:0
07.10.2023
Rodez
-
Caen
5:3
11.03.2023
Rodez
-
Caen
3:2
22.10.2022
Caen
-
Rodez
2:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Etienne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
