Carmarthen Town vs Caerau Ely – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely
Result
2:0
25/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: Cymru South - Round 22

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Daley N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', 2 - 0, Weaver M. ,
  • 86', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Carmarthen Town
34%
Draw
25%
Caerau Ely
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 23.6% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 23% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carmarthen Town's form might have worsened.
  • Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caerau Ely's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carmarthen Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caerau Ely, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.17)
    3.67
    (3.91)
    2.23
    (2.73)
    9%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely were as follows:
    06.08.2024 Caerau Ely - Carmarthen Town 2:2
    10.02.2024 Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely 1:1
    22.09.2023 Caerau Ely - Carmarthen Town 2:4
    Latest results of Carmarthen Town
    Latest results of Caerau Ely
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United440015:11412
    2Carmarthen Town43107:1610
    3Ammanford43104:1310
    4Trefelin43019:459
    5Newport City42207:438
    6Caerau Ely32106:247
    7Aberystwyth42114:317
    8Ynyshir Albions41215:7-25
    9Baglan Dragons31117:524
    10Trethomas Bluebirds41125:10-54
    11Cardiff Draconians41033:5-23
    12Afan Lido41036:9-33
    13Treowen41035:8-33
    14Llantwit Major40133:6-31
    15Pontypridd40133:8-51
    16Cwmbran Celtic40041:16-150

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation