Result
3:4
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 4)
- 47', 0 - 1, McNamara C. (Own goal),
- 57', 0 - 2, Joda J. ⚽,
- 67', 1 - 2, Parker T. ⚽,
- 69', 1 - 3, Cummings L. ⚽,
- 72', 2 - 3, Parker T. ⚽,
- 86', 3 - 3, McLean T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+6', 3 - 4, Thomas L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Caerau Ely
50.5% | Draw
25.1% | Carmarthen Town
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caerau Ely, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Caerau Ely - Carmarthen Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.67) |
3.61 ↓
(3.83) |
3.71 ↓
(4.22) |
10.3%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 7)
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Caerau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Caerau is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caerau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Carmarthen Town?
Caerau Ely has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carmarthen Town won against Caerau Ely?
Carmarthen Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caerau Ely - Carmarthen Town were as follows:
28.11.2025
Carmarthen Town
-
Caerau Ely
1:1
25.01.2025
Carmarthen Town
-
Caerau Ely
2:0
06.08.2024
Caerau Ely
-
Carmarthen Town
2:2
10.02.2024
Carmarthen Town
-
Caerau Ely
1:1
22.09.2023
Caerau Ely
-
Carmarthen Town
2:4
Latest results of Caerau Ely
Latest results of Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 68:18 | 50 | 66 |
| 2 | Trefelin ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 61:15 | 46 | 66 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 50 |
| 4 | Ammanford | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Llantwit Major | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 40:38 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Treowen | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 46:50 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Newport City | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 42:46 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:55 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Baglan Dragons | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Ynyshir Albions | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:48 | -24 | 21 |
| 15 | Afan Lido | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 25:52 | -27 | 21 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic ✔ | 24 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18:61 | -43 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Cwmbran Celtic is Relegated to
