Caerau Ely vs Gap Connahs Quay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh FA Cup Caerau Ely - Gap Connahs Quay
Result
0:2
16/02/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: FA Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomS4C Clic, S4C

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Kenny J. 🟨,
  • 29', Sheppard G. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Hughes R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bratley C. , Durrant S. ,
  • 56', 0 - 2, Edwards N. ,
  • 58', Edwards N. 🟨,
  • 61', Bishop L. , Samson H. ,
  • 66', Durrant S. , Williams A. ,
  • 79', McLean T. 🟨,
  • 80', Disney J. 🟨,
  • 83', Ashford J. , Banner J. D. R. ,
  • 89', Hughes R. , Wright O. ,

Chances of winning


Caerau Ely
18.8%
Draw
21.6%
Gap Connahs Quay
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.5% 23.3% 53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 18.9% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gap Connahs Quay's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caerau Ely, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Caerau Ely - Gap Connahs Quay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.83
    (3.88)
    4.2
    (3.92)
    1.53
    (1.71)
    10%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • Caerau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Connahs Quay is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Caerau Ely
    Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1HolywellBye
    2RhostyllenNefyn United5 : 2
    3St. AsaphBangor 18760 : 6
    4ByeGuilsfield
    5Bow StreetCefn Albion4 : 2
    6ByeFlint
    7Caersws FCHawarden Rangers6 : 1
    8Dolgellau AthleticQueens Park8 : 3
    9PorthmadogDenbigh3 : 2
    10ByeBuckley
    11Saltney TownGresford3 : 7
    12LlanrugRuthin4 : 3
    13LlandudnoBye
    14ByeFlint Mountain
    15Llanfair UnitedKinmel Bay1 : 2
    16ByeColwyn Bay
    17PwllheliRhyl1 : 3
    18BrickfieldNFA3 : 1
    19HolyheadForden Utd4 : 0
    20ByeAirbus
    21BalaBye
    22ByeConnahs Q.
    23Broughton UtdWelshpool2 : 1
    24Berriew FCTrearddur Bay0 : 3
    25Mold AlexandraBye
    26ByeTNS
    27NewtownBye
    28ByeCaernarfon
    29LlannefyddLlanberis5 : 1
    30PenrhyncochSychdyn Utd2 : 0
    31Cwmbach RoyalGarden Village3 : 4
    32Tredegar TownGlynneath Town1 : 3
    33Dinas PowysAfan United3 : 1
    34Cardiff DraconiansCwmbran Celtic4 : 2
    35LlwydcoedLliswerry3 : 1
    36PillTreowen (WO.)
    37Newport CityBye
    38Penygraig UtdCwm Welfare3 : 2
    39AberystwythBye
    40ByeBarry
    41Llantwit MajorBaglan Dragons2 : 0
    42Cwmbran TownYnyshir Albions5 : 4
    43Cardiff MetropolitanBye
    44Taffs WellAbertillery Excelsiors2 : 1
    45Port TalbotSeven Sisters2 : 1
    46Afan LidoEvans Williams3 : 2
    47Carmarthen TownBye
    48ByeTrethomas Bluebirds
    49LlanelliBye
    50ByeHaverfordwest
    51PenydarrenCaerau Ely0 : 5
    52Morriston TownClydach1 : 0
    53CaerphillyCaldicot1 : 3
    54Penrhiwceiber RangersPentwynmawr Ath7 : 0
    55Goytre UtdAmmanford2 : 1
    56ByeCambrian United
    57PontypriddBye
    58RhayaderCefn Cribwr1 : 4
    59Abercarn UnitedSwansea University1 : 2
    60ByeTrefelin
    61Briton FerryBye
    62ByePenybont
    63Blaenavon BluesCanton4 : 1
    64PontyclunTata4 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1HolywellRhostyllen3 : 2
    2Bangor 1876Guilsfield2 : 1
    3Bow StreetFlint0 : 3
    4Caersws FCDolgellau Athletic0 : 1
    5PorthmadogBuckley1 : 0
    6GresfordLlanrug9 : 0
    7LlandudnoFlint Mountain3 : 0
    8Kinmel BayColwyn Bay0 : 5
    9RhylBrickfield1 : 0
    10HolyheadAirbus2 : 5
    11BalaConnahs Q.0 : 3
    12Broughton UtdTrearddur Bay0 : 6
    13Mold AlexandraTNS1 : 2
    14NewtownCaernarfon0 : 3
    15LlannefyddPenrhyncoch1 : 2
    16Garden VillageGlynneath Town2 : 4
    17Dinas PowysCardiff Draconians1 : 3
    18LlwydcoedTreowen2 : 5
    19Newport CityPenygraig Utd3 : 1
    20AberystwythBarry0 : 5
    21Llantwit MajorCwmbran Town1 : 2
    22Cardiff MetropolitanTaffs Well5 : 1
    23Port TalbotAfan Lido3 : 1
    24Carmarthen TownTrethomas Bluebirds5 : 1
    25LlanelliHaverfordwest3 : 0
    26Caerau ElyMorriston Town3 : 0
    27CaldicotPenrhiwceiber Rangers0 : 2
    28Goytre UtdCambrian United0 : 6
    29PontypriddCefn Cribwr3 : 1
    30Swansea UniversityTrefelin1 : 6
    31Briton FerryPenybont0 : 5
    32Blaenavon BluesPontyclun