Caerau Ely vs Gap Connahs Quay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/02/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Cwrt yr Ala Road (Caerau).

WALES: FA Cup - Quarter-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	S4C Clic, S4C

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Kenny J. 🟨,
29', Sheppard G. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Hughes R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bratley C. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Edwards N. ⚽,
58', Edwards N. 🟨,
61', Bishop L. ↓, Samson H. ↑,
66', Durrant S. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
79', McLean T. 🟨,
80', Disney J. 🟨,
83', Ashford J. ↓, Banner J. D. R. ↑,
89', Hughes R. ↓, Wright O. ↑,

Chances of winning

Caerau Ely
18.8%

Draw
21.6%

Gap Connahs Quay
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

23.3%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

18.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gap Connahs Quay's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caerau Ely, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caerau Ely - Gap Connahs Quay Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (3.88)	4.2 ↑ (3.92)	1.53 ↓ (1.71)	10% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

Both teams are in bad shape now.
Caerau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Connahs Quay is a favorite.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Gap Connahs Quay?

Caerau Ely has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gap Connahs Quay won against Caerau Ely?

Gap Connahs Quay has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Caerau Ely - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:

Latest results of Caerau Ely

07.02.2025 Caerau Ely - Llantwit Major 2:4 ✺

04.02.2025 Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United 0:1 ✺

25.01.2025 Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely 2:0 ✺

17.01.2025 Caerau Ely - Ammanford 2:1 ✺

11.01.2025 Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay

08.02.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - Briton Ferry Llansawel 0:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - Newtown 1:0 ✺

25.01.2025 Flint Town United - Gap Connahs Quay 2:1 ✺

17.01.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - Bala Town 0:2 ✺

04.01.2025 Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay 1:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/64-finals

1	Holywell	Bye
2	Rhostyllen	Nefyn United	5 : 2
3	St. Asaph	Bangor 1876	0 : 6
4	Bye	Guilsfield
5	Bow Street	Cefn Albion	4 : 2
6	Bye	Flint
7	Caersws FC	Hawarden Rangers	6 : 1
8	Dolgellau Athletic	Queens Park	8 : 3
9	Porthmadog	Denbigh	3 : 2
10	Bye	Buckley
11	Saltney Town	Gresford	3 : 7
12	Llanrug	Ruthin	4 : 3
13	Llandudno	Bye
14	Bye	Flint Mountain
15	Llanfair United	Kinmel Bay	1 : 2
16	Bye	Colwyn Bay
17	Pwllheli	Rhyl	1 : 3
18	Brickfield	NFA	3 : 1
19	Holyhead	Forden Utd	4 : 0
20	Bye	Airbus
21	Bala	Bye
22	Bye	Connahs Q.
23	Broughton Utd	Welshpool	2 : 1
24	Berriew FC	Trearddur Bay	0 : 3
25	Mold Alexandra	Bye
26	Bye	TNS
27	Newtown	Bye
28	Bye	Caernarfon
29	Llannefydd	Llanberis	5 : 1
30	Penrhyncoch	Sychdyn Utd	2 : 0
31	Cwmbach Royal	Garden Village	3 : 4
32	Tredegar Town	Glynneath Town	1 : 3
33	Dinas Powys	Afan United	3 : 1
34	Cardiff Draconians	Cwmbran Celtic	4 : 2
35	Llwydcoed	Lliswerry	3 : 1
36	Pill	Treowen (WO.)
37	Newport City	Bye
38	Penygraig Utd	Cwm Welfare	3 : 2
39	Aberystwyth	Bye
40	Bye	Barry
41	Llantwit Major	Baglan Dragons	2 : 0
42	Cwmbran Town	Ynyshir Albions	5 : 4
43	Cardiff Metropolitan	Bye
44	Taffs Well	Abertillery Excelsiors	2 : 1
45	Port Talbot	Seven Sisters	2 : 1
46	Afan Lido	Evans Williams	3 : 2
47	Carmarthen Town	Bye
48	Bye	Trethomas Bluebirds
49	Llanelli	Bye
50	Bye	Haverfordwest
51	Penydarren	Caerau Ely	0 : 5
52	Morriston Town	Clydach	1 : 0
53	Caerphilly	Caldicot	1 : 3
54	Penrhiwceiber Rangers	Pentwynmawr Ath	7 : 0
55	Goytre Utd	Ammanford	2 : 1
56	Bye	Cambrian United
57	Pontypridd	Bye
58	Rhayader	Cefn Cribwr	1 : 4
59	Abercarn United	Swansea University	1 : 2
60	Bye	Trefelin
61	Briton Ferry	Bye
62	Bye	Penybont
63	Blaenavon Blues	Canton Liberal	4 : 1
64	Pontyclun	Tata	4 : 1

1/32-finals

1	Holywell	Rhostyllen
2	Bangor 1876	Guilsfield
3	Bow Street	Flint
4	Caersws FC	Dolgellau Athletic
5	Porthmadog	Buckley
6	Gresford	Llanrug
7	Llandudno	Flint Mountain
8	Kinmel Bay	Colwyn Bay
9	Rhyl	Brickfield
10	Holyhead	Airbus
11	Bala	Connahs Q.
12	Broughton Utd	Trearddur Bay
13	Mold Alexandra	TNS
14	Newtown	Caernarfon
15	Llannefydd	Penrhyncoch
16	Garden Village	Glynneath Town
17	Dinas Powys	Cardiff Draconians
18	Llwydcoed	Treowen
19	Newport City	Penygraig Utd
20	Aberystwyth	Barry
21	Llantwit Major	Cwmbran Town
22	Cardiff Metropolitan	Taffs Well
23	Port Talbot	Afan Lido
24	Carmarthen Town	Trethomas Bluebirds
25	Llanelli	Haverfordwest
26	Caerau Ely	Morriston Town
27	Caldicot	Penrhiwceiber Rangers
28	Goytre Utd	Cambrian United
29	Pontypridd	Cefn Cribwr
30	Swansea University	Trefelin
31	Briton Ferry	Penybont
32	Blaenavon Blues	Pontyclun