Caerau Ely vs Gap Connahs Quay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/02/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Cwrt yr Ala Road (Caerau).

WALES: FA Cup - Quarter-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	S4C Clic, S4C

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Kenny J. 🟨,
29', Sheppard G. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Hughes R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bratley C. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Edwards N. ⚽,
58', Edwards N. 🟨,
61', Bishop L. ↓, Samson H. ↑,
66', Durrant S. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
79', McLean T. 🟨,
80', Disney J. 🟨,
83', Ashford J. ↓, Banner J. D. R. ↑,
89', Hughes R. ↓, Wright O. ↑,

Chances of winning

Caerau Ely
18.8%

Draw
21.6%

Gap Connahs Quay
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

23.3%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

18.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gap Connahs Quay's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caerau Ely, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caerau Ely - Gap Connahs Quay Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (3.88)	4.2 ↑ (3.92)	1.53 ↓ (1.71)	10% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

Both teams are in bad shape now.
Caerau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Connahs Quay is a favorite.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Gap Connahs Quay?

Caerau Ely has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gap Connahs Quay won against Caerau Ely?

Gap Connahs Quay has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Caerau Ely - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:

Latest results of Caerau Ely

07.02.2025 Caerau Ely - Llantwit Major 2:4 ✺

04.02.2025 Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United 0:1 ✺

25.01.2025 Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely 2:0 ✺

17.01.2025 Caerau Ely - Ammanford 2:1 ✺

11.01.2025 Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay

08.02.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - Briton Ferry Llansawel 0:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - Newtown 1:0 ✺

25.01.2025 Flint Town United - Gap Connahs Quay 2:1 ✺

17.01.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - Bala Town 0:2 ✺

04.01.2025 Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay 1:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/64-finals

1	Holywell	Bye
2	Rhostyllen	Nefyn United	5 : 2
3	St. Asaph	Bangor 1876	0 : 6
4	Bye	Guilsfield
5	Bow Street	Cefn Albion	4 : 2
6	Bye	Flint
7	Caersws FC	Hawarden Rangers	6 : 1
8	Dolgellau Athletic	Queens Park	8 : 3
9	Porthmadog	Denbigh	3 : 2
10	Bye	Buckley
11	Saltney Town	Gresford	3 : 7
12	Llanrug	Ruthin	4 : 3
13	Llandudno	Bye
14	Bye	Flint Mountain
15	Llanfair United	Kinmel Bay	1 : 2
16	Bye	Colwyn Bay
17	Pwllheli	Rhyl	1 : 3
18	Brickfield	NFA	3 : 1
19	Holyhead	Forden Utd	4 : 0
20	Bye	Airbus
21	Bala	Bye
22	Bye	Connahs Q.
23	Broughton Utd	Welshpool	2 : 1
24	Berriew FC	Trearddur Bay	0 : 3
25	Mold Alexandra	Bye
26	Bye	TNS
27	Newtown	Bye
28	Bye	Caernarfon
29	Llannefydd	Llanberis	5 : 1
30	Penrhyncoch	Sychdyn Utd	2 : 0
31	Cwmbach Royal	Garden Village	3 : 4
32	Tredegar Town	Glynneath Town	1 : 3
33	Dinas Powys	Afan United	3 : 1
34	Cardiff Draconians	Cwmbran Celtic	4 : 2
35	Llwydcoed	Lliswerry	3 : 1
36	Pill	Treowen (WO.)
37	Newport City	Bye
38	Penygraig Utd	Cwm Welfare	3 : 2
39	Aberystwyth	Bye
40	Bye	Barry
41	Llantwit Major	Baglan Dragons	2 : 0
42	Cwmbran Town	Ynyshir Albions	5 : 4
43	Cardiff Metropolitan	Bye
44	Taffs Well	Abertillery Excelsiors	2 : 1
45	Port Talbot	Seven Sisters	2 : 1
46	Afan Lido	Evans Williams	3 : 2
47	Carmarthen Town	Bye
48	Bye	Trethomas Bluebirds
49	Llanelli	Bye
50	Bye	Haverfordwest
51	Penydarren	Caerau Ely	0 : 5
52	Morriston Town	Clydach	1 : 0
53	Caerphilly	Caldicot	1 : 3
54	Penrhiwceiber Rangers	Pentwynmawr Ath	7 : 0
55	Goytre Utd	Ammanford	2 : 1
56	Bye	Cambrian United
57	Pontypridd	Bye
58	Rhayader	Cefn Cribwr	1 : 4
59	Abercarn United	Swansea University	1 : 2
60	Bye	Trefelin
61	Briton Ferry	Bye
62	Bye	Penybont
63	Blaenavon Blues	Canton	4 : 1
64	Pontyclun	Tata	4 : 1

1/32-finals

1	Holywell	Rhostyllen	3 : 2
2	Bangor 1876	Guilsfield	2 : 1
3	Bow Street	Flint	0 : 3
4	Caersws FC	Dolgellau Athletic	0 : 1
5	Porthmadog	Buckley	1 : 0
6	Gresford	Llanrug	9 : 0
7	Llandudno	Flint Mountain	3 : 0
8	Kinmel Bay	Colwyn Bay	0 : 5
9	Rhyl	Brickfield	1 : 0
10	Holyhead	Airbus	2 : 5
11	Bala	Connahs Q.	0 : 3
12	Broughton Utd	Trearddur Bay	0 : 6
13	Mold Alexandra	TNS	1 : 2
14	Newtown	Caernarfon	0 : 3
15	Llannefydd	Penrhyncoch	1 : 2
16	Garden Village	Glynneath Town	2 : 4
17	Dinas Powys	Cardiff Draconians	1 : 3
18	Llwydcoed	Treowen	2 : 5
19	Newport City	Penygraig Utd	3 : 1
20	Aberystwyth	Barry	0 : 5
21	Llantwit Major	Cwmbran Town	1 : 2
22	Cardiff Metropolitan	Taffs Well	5 : 1
23	Port Talbot	Afan Lido	3 : 1
24	Carmarthen Town	Trethomas Bluebirds	5 : 1
25	Llanelli	Haverfordwest	3 : 0
26	Caerau Ely	Morriston Town	3 : 0
27	Caldicot	Penrhiwceiber Rangers	0 : 2
28	Goytre Utd	Cambrian United	0 : 6
29	Pontypridd	Cefn Cribwr	3 : 1
30	Swansea University	Trefelin	1 : 6
31	Briton Ferry	Penybont	0 : 5
32	Blaenavon Blues	Pontyclun