Result
1:1
09/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, McLaggon K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', 1 - 1, Griffiths D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Newport City 38.7% | Draw 27.2% | Caerau Ely 34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Newport City - Caerau Ely Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↓ (2.49) |
3.32 ↓ (3.65) |
2.65 ↑ (2.49) |
10.6% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Newport City - Caerau Ely?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Caerau (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Caerau (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4).
- Recent performances by Newport City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Caerau is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Newport City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Newport City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Newport City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Newport City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport City won against Caerau Ely?
Newport City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Newport City?
Caerau Ely has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport City - Caerau Ely were as follows:
21.10.2025
Caerau Ely
-
Newport City
4:3
20.12.2024
Newport City
-
Caerau Ely
3:1
16.08.2024
Caerau Ely
-
Newport City
1:2
Latest results of Newport City
Latest results of Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 47:14 | 33 | 47 |
| 2 | Trefelin | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 38:10 | 28 | 42 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 28:10 | 18 | 37 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 33:23 | 10 | 31 |
| 5 | Cardiff Draconians | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Newport City | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Aberystwyth | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:17 | 4 | 27 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
| 9 | Treowen | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 30:34 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Llantwit Major | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Baglan Dragons | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | Pontypridd | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 26:33 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 24:35 | -11 | 16 |
| 14 | Afan Lido | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16:38 | -22 | 12 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13:38 | -25 | 12 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 13:45 | -32 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation