Result
4:3
21/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 29', 1 - 0, Griffiths D. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 0, Griffiths D. ⚽,
- 39', 3 - 0, Parker T. ⚽,
- 44', 3 - 1, Cooper L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 3 - 2, Kavanagh R. ⚽,
- 69', 4 - 2, McLean T. (Pen),
- 90+1', 4 - 3, Noyes R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Caerau Ely
44.1% | Draw
24.2% | Newport City
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Caerau Ely - Newport City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.97) |
3.82 ↑
(3.77) |
2.9 ↓
(3.02) |
8.5%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 4).
- Caerau is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Newport City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Caerau could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Caerau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Newport City?
Caerau Ely has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport City won against Caerau Ely?
Newport City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caerau Ely - Newport City were as follows:
20.12.2024
Newport City
-
Caerau Ely
3:1
16.08.2024
Caerau Ely
-
Newport City
1:2
Latest results of Caerau Ely
Latest results of Newport City
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27:7 | 20 | 25 |
| 2 | Caerau Ely | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Trefelin | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Cardiff Draconians | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Ammanford | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Newport City | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Aberystwyth | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Llantwit Major | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 11 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Treowen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 9 |
| 13 | Pontypridd | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 | Afan Lido | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8:22 | -14 | 6 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8:29 | -21 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
