Newport City vs Caerau Ely – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Newport City - Caerau Ely
Result
3:1
20/12/2024 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: Cymru South - Round 16

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Graham J. ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Gareth P. L. ,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Bishop L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 83', 3 - 1, Cooper L. ,
  • 89', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Newport City
32.3%
Draw
24.2%
Caerau Ely
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 23.8% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 23.6% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Newport City - Caerau Ely Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.4)
    3.79
    (3.75)
    2.11
    (2.3)
    9%
    (11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 8).
    • Newport City is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Caerau in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recently Caerau have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Newport City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport City - Caerau Ely were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Caerau Ely - Newport City 1:2
    Latest results of Newport City
    Latest results of Caerau Ely
    14.12.2024 Caerau Ely - Bala Town 1:0
    22.11.2024 Caerau Ely - Afan Lido 3:0
    12.11.2024 Caerau Ely - Trefelin 2:0
    08.11.2024 Ammanford - Caerau Ely 0:2
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United440015:11412
    2Carmarthen Town43107:1610
    3Ammanford43104:1310
    4Trefelin43019:459
    5Newport City42207:438
    6Caerau Ely32106:247
    7Aberystwyth42114:317
    8Ynyshir Albions41215:7-25
    9Baglan Dragons31117:524
    10Trethomas Bluebirds41125:10-54
    11Cardiff Draconians41033:5-23
    12Afan Lido41036:9-33
    13Treowen41035:8-33
    14Llantwit Major40133:6-31
    15Pontypridd40133:8-51
    16Cwmbran Celtic40041:16-150

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