Result
24/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Caerau Ely
38.5% | Draw
25.1% | Trefelin
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caerau Ely, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Caerau Ely - Trefelin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.27) |
3.61 ↓
(3.93) |
2.5 ↓
(2.61) |
10.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 2.
- Caerau has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Trefelin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Trefelin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caerau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Trefelin?
Caerau Ely has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trefelin won against Caerau Ely?
Trefelin has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caerau Ely - Trefelin were as follows:
18.07.2025
Caerau Ely
-
Trefelin
3:4
12.11.2024
Caerau Ely
-
Trefelin
2:0
26.07.2024
Trefelin
-
Caerau Ely
1:0
20.07.2024
Caerau Ely
-
Trefelin
2:1
05.01.2024
Trefelin
-
Caerau Ely
3:1
Latest results of Caerau Ely
Latest results of Trefelin
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caerau Ely | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 23 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23:5 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | Trefelin | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Cardiff Draconians | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Ammanford | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Newport City | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 15:18 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Pontypridd | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Afan Lido | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 | Treowen | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:25 | -12 | 6 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:27 | -20 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
