Result
Postponed
19/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Caerau Ely
34.9% | Draw
25% | Trefelin
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Caerau Ely - Trefelin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.27) |
3.68 ↓
(3.93) |
2.29 ↓
(2.61) |
8.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Caerau Ely - Trefelin?
Users Predictions:
Trefelin will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Trefelin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 2.
- Caerau is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Trefelin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Trefelin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caerau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Trefelin?
Caerau Ely has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trefelin won against Caerau Ely?
Trefelin has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caerau Ely - Trefelin were as follows:
18.07.2025
Caerau Ely
-
Trefelin
3:4
12.11.2024
Caerau Ely
-
Trefelin
2:0
26.07.2024
Trefelin
-
Caerau Ely
1:0
20.07.2024
Caerau Ely
-
Trefelin
2:1
05.01.2024
Trefelin
-
Caerau Ely
3:1
Latest results of Caerau Ely
Latest results of Trefelin
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 38:13 | 25 | 35 |
| 2 | Trefelin | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28:8 | 20 | 30 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Cardiff Draconians | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
| 7 | Aberystwyth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Newport City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20:17 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Llantwit Major | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Pontypridd | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Treowen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:33 | -7 | 16 |
| 12 | Baglan Dragons | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Afan Lido | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15:31 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 9 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8:38 | -30 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
