Caerau Ely vs Trefelin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Caerau Ely - Trefelin
24/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Caerau Ely
38.5%
Draw
25.1%
Trefelin
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 23.6% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 22.1% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caerau Ely, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Caerau Ely - Trefelin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.27)
    3.61
    (3.93)
    2.5
    (2.61)
    10.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 2.
    • Caerau has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Trefelin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Trefelin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caerau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caerau Ely - Trefelin were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Caerau Ely - Trefelin 3:4
    12.11.2024 Caerau Ely - Trefelin 2:0
    26.07.2024 Trefelin - Caerau Ely 1:0
    20.07.2024 Caerau Ely - Trefelin 2:1
    05.01.2024 Trefelin - Caerau Ely 3:1
    Latest results of Caerau Ely
    Latest results of Trefelin
    10.10.2025 Cambrian United - Trefelin 0:2
    04.10.2025 Trefelin - Afan Lido 0:0
    27.09.2025 Ynyshir Albions - Trefelin 0:5
    12.09.2025 Trefelin - Ammanford 2:0
    06.09.2025 Baglan Dragons - Trefelin 1:1
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caerau Ely1072123:91423
    2Cambrian United1071223:51822
    3Trefelin1063122:81421
    4Cardiff Draconians1052313:8517
    5Carmarthen Town1045111:6517
    6Aberystwyth952211:8317
    7Ammanford1045110:8217
    8Newport City1044217:13416
    9Trethomas Bluebirds1025315:18-311
    10Llantwit Major1024411:13-210
    11Baglan Dragons1016311:1109
    12Pontypridd1022613:19-68
    13Afan Lido1022610:19-98
    14Treowen1013613:25-126
    15Ynyshir Albions91357:20-136
    16Cwmbran Celtic100377:27-203

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation