Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
31/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 21
  • Referee: Livesey A. D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
411
Shots on target
11
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
411
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
310
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Gosset D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Lock J. 🟨,
  • 69', Ibrahim O. , McGiveron D. ,
  • 79', Billington S. , Mendes L. ,
  • 89', Higgins L. , Tarasenko J. ,
  • 90+1', Lock J. , Thomas D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bala Town
27.7%
Draw
26.9%
Caernarfon Town
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 25.6% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 24.7% 43.3%

Bala Town - Caernarfon Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.32
(2.86)
3.42
(3.65)
2.03
(2.24)
8.6%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bala Town - Caernarfon Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Bala Town (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Caernarfon Town will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Caernarfon Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Bala Town (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Caernarfon (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 0.
    • Bala Town is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Caernarfon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bala Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Caernarfon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:30. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bala Town won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bala Town - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
    25.08.2025 Caernarfon Town - Bala Town 2:0
    21.03.2025 Caernarfon Town - Bala Town 5:0
    31.01.2025 Bala Town - Caernarfon Town 1:3
    11.01.2025 Bala Town - Caernarfon Town 0:2
    26.08.2024 Caernarfon Town - Bala Town 0:0
    Latest results of Bala Town
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS24192366:194759
    2Connahs Q24147351:282349
    3Penybont24116736:37-139
    4Caernarfon2499645:331236
    5Colwyn Bay2497832:27534
    6Barry2479833:27630

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)