Result
0:1
31/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 21
- Referee: Livesey A. D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', 0 - 1, Gosset D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Lock J. 🟨,
- 69', Ibrahim O. ↓, McGiveron D. ↑,
- 79', Billington S. ↓, Mendes L. ↑,
- 89', Higgins L. ↓, Tarasenko J. ↑,
- 90+1', Lock J. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bala Town
27.7% | Draw
26.9% | Caernarfon Town
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-2%)
Bala Town - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↑
(2.86) |
3.42 ↓
(3.65) |
2.03 ↓
(2.24) |
8.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bala Town - Caernarfon Town?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Bala Town (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Caernarfon Town will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Caernarfon Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Bala Town (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Caernarfon (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 0.
- Bala Town is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Caernarfon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bala Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Caernarfon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:30. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bala Town won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bala Town won against Caernarfon Town?
Bala Town has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Bala Town?
Caernarfon Town has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bala Town - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
25.08.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Bala Town
2:0
21.03.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Bala Town
5:0
31.01.2025
Bala Town
-
Caernarfon Town
1:3
11.01.2025
Bala Town
-
Caernarfon Town
0:2
26.08.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Bala Town
0:0
Latest results of Bala Town
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 74:24 | 50 | 71 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. ✔ | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58:34 | 24 | 56 |
| 3 | Colwyn Bay ✔ | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 43 |
| 4 | Barry ✔ | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Penybont ✔ | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 40 |
| 6 | Caernarfon ✔ | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 52:43 | 9 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Connahs Q. is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Colwyn Bay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Barry is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Penybont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
