Result
31/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 21
- Referee: Livesey A. D. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Bala Town 25.7% | Draw 26.7% | Caernarfon Town 47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Bala Town - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.59 ↑ (2.86) |
3.45 ↓ (3.65) |
1.94 ↓ (2.24) |
8.5% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bala Town - Caernarfon Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caernarfon (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Caernarfon Town will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 0.
- Bala Town is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Caernarfon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bala Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Caernarfon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:30. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bala Town won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bala Town won against Caernarfon Town?
Bala Town has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Bala Town?
Caernarfon Town has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bala Town - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
25.08.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Bala Town
2:0
21.03.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Bala Town
5:0
31.01.2025
Bala Town
-
Caernarfon Town
1:3
11.01.2025
Bala Town
-
Caernarfon Town
0:2
26.08.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Bala Town
0:0
Latest results of Bala Town
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 55:15 | 40 | 47 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. ✔ | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 40:21 | 19 | 40 |
| 3 | Penybont ✔ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34:30 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41:30 | 11 | 30 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Barry | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 27 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 32:35 | -3 | 27 |
| 8 | Haverfordwest | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 24 |
| 9 | Bala | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 14:27 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry ✔ | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 27:37 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 | Flint ✔ | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 18 |
| 12 | Llanelli ✔ | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11:53 | -42 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )
Connahs Q. is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )
Penybont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )
Briton Ferry is Cymru Premier (Relegation Group )
Flint is Cymru Premier (Relegation Group )
Llanelli is Cymru Premier (Relegation Group )