Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
12/04/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
72
Corner kicks
105
Yellow cards
20
Total shots
146
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
74
Corner kicks
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Bradley S. ,
  • 13', 2 - 0, Jones M. ,
  • 20', 3 - 0, Cieslewicz A. ,
  • 41', Harrison K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Thorn J. , Phillips J. ,
  • 76', Burke M. , Jones J. ,
  • 81', Jonas L. , Purvis M. ,
  • 83', Clarke Z. , Young B. ,
  • 83', Cieslewicz A. , Owen R. ,
  • 84', Sears R. , Owen M. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 87', Bradley S. , Thomas D. ,
  • 90', Hughes B. , Wynne B. ,

Chances of winning


Caernarfon Town
68.4%
Draw
18.1%
Flint Town United
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 24% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 22.8% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caernarfon Town's performance.
  • Flint Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flint Town United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caernarfon Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flint Town United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.82)
    5.97
    (3.8)
    8.01
    (3.55)
    -7.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Rodney Parade.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Flint Town has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Caernarfon is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:19. (average 2.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United were as follows:
    05.12.2025 Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United 1:1
    22.08.2025 Flint Town United - Caernarfon Town 2:5
    14.01.2025 Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United 3:0
    25.09.2024 Flint Town United - Caernarfon Town 1:2
    19.04.2023 Flint Town United - Caernarfon Town 2:3
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Latest results of Flint Town United
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1PorthmadogDenbigh3 : 2
    2ByeBuckley
    3Port TalbotSeven Sisters2 : 1
    4Afan LidoEvans Williams3 : 2
    5PwllheliRhyl1 : 3
    6BrickfieldNFA3 : 1
    7Llantwit MajorBaglan Dragons2 : 0
    8Cwmbran TownYnyshir Albions5 : 4
    9LlanelliBye
    10ByeHaverfordwest
    11AberystwythBye
    12ByeBarry
    13CaerphillyCaldicot1 : 3
    14Penrhiwceiber RangersPentwynmawr Ath7 : 0
    15Saltney TownGresford3 : 7
    16LlanrugRuthin4 : 3
    17Cardiff MetropolitanBye
    18Taffs WellAbertillery Excelsiors2 : 1
    19Mold AlexandraBye
    20ByeTNS
    21NewtownBye
    22ByeCaernarfon
    23LlannefyddLlanberis5 : 1
    24PenrhyncochSychdyn Utd2 : 0
    25LlwydcoedLliswerry3 : 1
    26PillTreowen (WO.)
    27PontypriddBye
    28RhayaderCefn Cribwr1 : 4
    29Carmarthen TownBye
    30ByeTrethomas Bluebirds
    31Llanfair UnitedKinmel Bay1 : 2
    32ByeColwyn Bay
    33Goytre UtdAmmanford2 : 1
    34ByeCambrian United
    35Briton FerryBye
    36ByePenybont
    37Bow StreetCefn Albion4 : 2
    38ByeFlint
    39HolyheadForden Utd4 : 0
    40ByeAirbus
    41Cwmbach RoyalGarden Village3 : 4
    42Tredegar TownGlynneath Town1 : 3
    43Broughton UtdWelshpool2 : 1
    44Berriew FCTrearddur Bay0 : 3
    45Newport CityBye
    46Penygraig UtdCwm Welfare3 : 2
    47Blaenavon BluesCanton4 : 1
    48PontyclunTata4 : 1
    49St. AsaphBangor 18760 : 6
    50ByeGuilsfield
    51HolywellBye
    52RhostyllenNefyn United5 : 2
    53Dinas PowysAfan United3 : 1
    54Cardiff DraconiansCwmbran Celtic4 : 2
    55Abercarn UnitedSwansea University1 : 2
    56ByeTrefelin
    57Caersws FCHawarden Rangers6 : 1
    58Dolgellau AthleticQueens Park8 : 3
    59PenydarrenCaerau Ely0 : 5
    60Morriston TownClydach1 : 0
    61LlandudnoBye
    62ByeFlint Mountain
    63BalaBye
    64ByeConnahs Q.

    1/32-finals
    1PorthmadogBuckley1 : 0
    2Port TalbotAfan Lido3 : 1
    3RhylBrickfield1 : 0
    4Llantwit MajorCwmbran Town1 : 2
    5LlanelliHaverfordwest3 : 0
    6AberystwythBarry0 : 5
    7CaldicotPenrhiwceiber Rangers0 : 2
    8GresfordLlanrug9 : 0
    9Cardiff MetropolitanTaffs Well5 : 1
    10Mold AlexandraTNS1 : 2
    11NewtownCaernarfon0 : 3
    12LlannefyddPenrhyncoch1 : 2
    13LlwydcoedTreowen2 : 5
    14PontypriddCefn Cribwr3 : 1
    15Carmarthen TownTrethomas Bluebirds5 : 1
    16Kinmel BayColwyn Bay0 : 5
    17Goytre UtdCambrian United0 : 6
    18Briton FerryPenybont0 : 5
    19Bow StreetFlint0 : 3
    20HolyheadAirbus2 : 5
    21Garden VillageGlynneath Town2 : 4
    22Broughton UtdTrearddur Bay0 : 6
    23Newport CityPenygraig Utd3 : 1
    24Blaenavon BluesPontyclun4 : 2
    25Bangor 1876Guilsfield2 : 1
    26HolywellRhostyllen3 : 2
    27Dinas PowysCardiff Draconians1 : 3
    28Swansea UniversityTrefelin1 : 6
    29Caersws FCDolgellau Athletic0 : 1
    30Caerau ElyMorriston Town3 : 0
    31LlandudnoFlint Mountain3 : 0
    32BalaConnahs Q.0 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1PorthmadogPort Talbot3 : 2
    2RhylCwmbran Town3 : 2
    3LlanelliBarry0 : 6
    4Penrhiwceiber RangersGresford0 : 3
    5Cardiff MetropolitanTNS2 : 1
    6CaernarfonPenrhyncoch4 : 0
    7TreowenPontypridd1 : 2
    8Carmarthen TownColwyn Bay1 : 3
    9Cambrian UnitedPenybont1 : 3
    10FlintAirbus1 : 0
    11Glynneath TownTrearddur Bay2 : 5
    12Newport CityBlaenavon Blues3 : 2
    13Bangor 1876Holywell2 : 1
    14Cardiff DraconiansTrefelin3 : 4
    15Dolgellau AthleticCaerau Ely0 : 2
    16LlandudnoConnahs Q.2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1PorthmadogRhyl1 : 2
    2BarryGresford4 : 0
    3Cardiff MetropolitanCaernarfon2 : 4
    4PontypriddColwyn Bay0 : 3
    5PenybontFlint0 : 1
    6Trearddur BayNewport City5 : 3
    7Bangor 1876Trefelin2 : 0
    8Caerau ElyLlandudno2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1RhylBarry2 : 1
    2CaernarfonColwyn Bay4 : 1
    3FlintTrearddur Bay3 : 0
    4Bangor 1876Caerau Ely3 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1RhylCaernarfon1 : 2
    2FlintBangor 18765 : 1

    Final
    1CaernarfonFlint3 : 0