Result
0:3
28/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 10
- Referee: Owen T. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Roscrow A. ⚽,
- 34', Richards S. 🟨,
- 38', Harrison K. 🟨,
- 44', Harrison K. ↓, Owen M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 2, Mwandwe L. ⚽,
- 64', Lewis I. ↓, Abadaki O. ↑,
- 68', Roscrow A. ↓, Payne J. ↑,
- 75', Evans E. ↓, Rees L. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 3, Payne J. ⚽,
- 80', Bradley S. ↓, Mooney P. ↑,
- 80', Lock J. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 80', Sears R. ↓, Ellis O. ↑,
- 83', Gosset D. 🟨,
- 86', Morris J. ↓, Soady B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town
55.7% | Draw
23% | Cardiff Metropolitan
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caernarfon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.54) |
4.1 ↓
(4.3) |
4.45 ↓
(4.96) |
5.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3.
- Caernarfon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cardiff Metropolitan is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Caernarfon is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Caernarfon will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:22. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Cardiff Metropolitan?
Caernarfon Town has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff Metropolitan won against Caernarfon Town?
Cardiff Metropolitan has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan were as follows:
09.08.2025
Cardiff Metropolitan
-
Caernarfon Town
2:2
11.05.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Cardiff Metropolitan
1:0
19.04.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Cardiff Metropolitan
2:1
08.03.2025
Cardiff Metropolitan
-
Caernarfon Town
4:2
05.10.2024
Cardiff Metropolitan
-
Caernarfon Town
1:2
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of Cardiff Metropolitan
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:10 | 29 | 32 |
| 2 | Penybont | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Connahs Q | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Barry | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bala | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 9 | Flint | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 23:25 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 11 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7:37 | -30 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
