Cardiff Metropolitan vs Caernarfon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/12/2025 at 12:25 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Cyncoed Campus (Cardiff).

FA Cup - 1/8-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Bradley S. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Reynolds R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
55', 2 - 1, Payne J. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Sears R. ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, Mendes P. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5yy4fx8e

Chances of winning

Cardiff Metropolitan
37.1%

Draw
26.1%

Caernarfon Town
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

25.8%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

24.9%

38.4%

Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.65)	3.49 ↓ (3.53)	2.47 ↑ (2.29)	9.9% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 2.
Cardiff Metropolitan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Caernarfon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Caernarfon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff Metropolitan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff Metropolitan won against Caernarfon Town?

Cardiff Metropolitan has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Cardiff Metropolitan?

Caernarfon Town has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town were as follows:

28.09.2025 Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan 0:3

09.08.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town 2:2

11.05.2025 Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan 1:0

19.04.2025 Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan 2:1

08.03.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town 4:2

Latest results of Cardiff Metropolitan

05.12.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - Llanelli 2:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan 2:2 ✺

21.11.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints 2:1 ✺

07.11.2025 The New Saints - Cardiff Metropolitan 2:3 ✺

01.11.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - Gap Connahs Quay 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Caernarfon Town

05.12.2025 Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United 1:1 ✺

28.11.2025 The New Saints - Caernarfon Town 2:0 ✺

22.11.2025 Caernarfon Town - Penrhyncoch 4:0 ✺

15.11.2025 Llanelli - Caernarfon Town 1:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Caernarfon Town - Haverfordwest County 2:2 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/64-finals

1	Porthmadog	Denbigh	3 : 2
2	Bye	Buckley
3	Port Talbot	Seven Sisters	2 : 1
4	Afan Lido	Evans Williams	3 : 2
5	Pwllheli	Rhyl	1 : 3
6	Brickfield	NFA	3 : 1
7	Llantwit Major	Baglan Dragons	2 : 0
8	Cwmbran Town	Ynyshir Albions	5 : 4
9	Llanelli	Bye
10	Bye	Haverfordwest
11	Aberystwyth	Bye
12	Bye	Barry
13	Caerphilly	Caldicot	1 : 3
14	Penrhiwceiber Rangers	Pentwynmawr Ath	7 : 0
15	Saltney Town	Gresford	3 : 7
16	Llanrug	Ruthin	4 : 3
17	Cardiff Metropolitan	Bye
18	Taffs Well	Abertillery Excelsiors	2 : 1
19	Mold Alexandra	Bye
20	Bye	TNS
21	Newtown	Bye
22	Bye	Caernarfon
23	Llannefydd	Llanberis	5 : 1
24	Penrhyncoch	Sychdyn Utd	2 : 0
25	Llwydcoed	Lliswerry	3 : 1
26	Pill	Treowen (WO.)
27	Pontypridd	Bye
28	Rhayader	Cefn Cribwr	1 : 4
29	Carmarthen Town	Bye
30	Bye	Trethomas Bluebirds
31	Llanfair United	Kinmel Bay	1 : 2
32	Bye	Colwyn Bay
33	Goytre Utd	Ammanford	2 : 1
34	Bye	Cambrian United
35	Briton Ferry	Bye
36	Bye	Penybont
37	Bow Street	Cefn Albion	4 : 2
38	Bye	Flint
39	Holyhead	Forden Utd	4 : 0
40	Bye	Airbus
41	Cwmbach Royal	Garden Village	3 : 4
42	Tredegar Town	Glynneath Town	1 : 3
43	Broughton Utd	Welshpool	2 : 1
44	Berriew FC	Trearddur Bay	0 : 3
45	Newport City	Bye
46	Penygraig Utd	Cwm Welfare	3 : 2
47	Blaenavon Blues	Canton	4 : 1
48	Pontyclun	Tata	4 : 1
49	St. Asaph	Bangor 1876	0 : 6
50	Bye	Guilsfield
51	Holywell	Bye
52	Rhostyllen	Nefyn United	5 : 2
53	Dinas Powys	Afan United	3 : 1
54	Cardiff Draconians	Cwmbran Celtic	4 : 2
55	Abercarn United	Swansea University	1 : 2
56	Bye	Trefelin
57	Caersws FC	Hawarden Rangers	6 : 1
58	Dolgellau Athletic	Queens Park	8 : 3
59	Penydarren	Caerau Ely	0 : 5
60	Morriston Town	Clydach	1 : 0
61	Llandudno	Bye
62	Bye	Flint Mountain
63	Bala	Bye
64	Bye	Connahs Q.

1/32-finals

1	Porthmadog	Buckley	1 : 0
2	Port Talbot	Afan Lido	3 : 1
3	Rhyl	Brickfield	1 : 0
4	Llantwit Major	Cwmbran Town	1 : 2
5	Llanelli	Haverfordwest	3 : 0
6	Aberystwyth	Barry	0 : 5
7	Caldicot	Penrhiwceiber Rangers	0 : 2
8	Gresford	Llanrug	9 : 0
9	Cardiff Metropolitan	Taffs Well	5 : 1
10	Mold Alexandra	TNS	1 : 2
11	Newtown	Caernarfon	0 : 3
12	Llannefydd	Penrhyncoch	1 : 2
13	Llwydcoed	Treowen	2 : 5
14	Pontypridd	Cefn Cribwr	3 : 1
15	Carmarthen Town	Trethomas Bluebirds	5 : 1
16	Kinmel Bay	Colwyn Bay	0 : 5
17	Goytre Utd	Cambrian United	0 : 6
18	Briton Ferry	Penybont	0 : 5
19	Bow Street	Flint	0 : 3
20	Holyhead	Airbus	2 : 5
21	Garden Village	Glynneath Town	2 : 4
22	Broughton Utd	Trearddur Bay	0 : 6
23	Newport City	Penygraig Utd	3 : 1
24	Blaenavon Blues	Pontyclun	4 : 2
25	Bangor 1876	Guilsfield	2 : 1
26	Holywell	Rhostyllen	3 : 2
27	Dinas Powys	Cardiff Draconians	1 : 3
28	Swansea University	Trefelin	1 : 6
29	Caersws FC	Dolgellau Athletic	0 : 1
30	Caerau Ely	Morriston Town	3 : 0
31	Llandudno	Flint Mountain	3 : 0
32	Bala	Connahs Q.	0 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Porthmadog	Port Talbot	3 : 2
2	Rhyl	Cwmbran Town	3 : 2
3	Llanelli	Barry	0 : 6
4	Penrhiwceiber Rangers	Gresford	0 : 3
5	Cardiff Metropolitan	TNS	2 : 1
6	Caernarfon	Penrhyncoch	4 : 0
7	Treowen	Pontypridd	1 : 2
8	Carmarthen Town	Colwyn Bay	1 : 3
9	Cambrian United	Penybont	1 : 3
10	Flint	Airbus	1 : 0
11	Glynneath Town	Trearddur Bay	2 : 5
12	Newport City	Blaenavon Blues	3 : 2
13	Bangor 1876	Holywell	2 : 1
14	Cardiff Draconians	Trefelin	3 : 4
15	Dolgellau Athletic	Caerau Ely	0 : 2
16	Llandudno	Connahs Q.	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Porthmadog	Rhyl	1 : 2
2	Barry	Gresford	4 : 0
3	Cardiff Metropolitan	Caernarfon	2 : 4
4	Pontypridd	Colwyn Bay	0 : 3
5	Penybont	Flint	0 : 1
6	Trearddur Bay	Newport City	5 : 3
7	Bangor 1876	Trefelin	2 : 0
8	Caerau Ely	Llandudno	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Rhyl	Barry	2 : 1
2	Caernarfon	Colwyn Bay	4 : 1
3	Flint	Trearddur Bay	3 : 0
4	Bangor 1876	Caerau Ely	3 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Rhyl	Caernarfon
2	Flint	Bangor 1876

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2