Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan
Result
0:3
28/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 10
  • Referee: Owen T. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
119
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
95
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Roscrow A. ,
  • 34', Richards S. 🟨,
  • 38', Harrison K. 🟨,
  • 44', Harrison K. , Owen M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 2, Mwandwe L. ,
  • 64', Lewis I. , Abadaki O. ,
  • 68', Roscrow A. , Payne J. ,
  • 75', Evans E. , Rees L. ,
  • 78', 0 - 3, Payne J. ,
  • 80', Bradley S. , Mooney P. ,
  • 80', Lock J. , Evans C. ,
  • 80', Sears R. , Ellis O. ,
  • 83', Gosset D. 🟨,
  • 86', Morris J. , Soady B. ,

Chances of winning


Caernarfon Town
55.7%
Draw
23%
Cardiff Metropolitan
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 21.4% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 20.9% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caernarfon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.54)
    4.1
    (4.3)
    4.45
    (4.96)
    5.8%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3.
    • Caernarfon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cardiff Metropolitan is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Caernarfon is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Caernarfon will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:22. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town 2:2
    11.05.2025 Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan 1:0
    19.04.2025 Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan 2:1
    08.03.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town 4:2
    05.10.2024 Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town 1:2
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Latest results of Cardiff Metropolitan
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS1072126:71923
    2Penybont1071218:61222
    3Caernarfon1062227:151220
    4Bala104339:12-315
    5Barry1035214:10414
    6Connahs Q933311:13-212
    7Colwyn Bay1025312:9311
    8Flint932418:21-311
    9Briton Ferry923416:17-19
    10Cardiff Metropolitan1015414:22-88
    11Llanelli102176:27-217
    12Haverfordwest91267:19-125

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
          Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )