Result
2:4
13/12/2025 at 12:25 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FA Cup - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Bradley S. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, Reynolds R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 55', 2 - 1, Payne J. ⚽,
- 56', 2 - 2, Sears R. ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 3, Mendes P. ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5yy4fx8e
Chances of winning
Cardiff Metropolitan
37.1% | Draw
26.1% | Caernarfon Town
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.65) |
3.49 ↓
(3.53) |
2.47 ↑
(2.29) |
9.9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 2.
- Cardiff Metropolitan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Caernarfon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Caernarfon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff Metropolitan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff Metropolitan won against Caernarfon Town?
Cardiff Metropolitan has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Cardiff Metropolitan?
Caernarfon Town has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
28.09.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Cardiff Metropolitan
0:3
09.08.2025
Cardiff Metropolitan
-
Caernarfon Town
2:2
11.05.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Cardiff Metropolitan
1:0
19.04.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Cardiff Metropolitan
2:1
08.03.2025
Cardiff Metropolitan
-
Caernarfon Town
4:2
Latest results of Cardiff Metropolitan
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Draw
2025/261/64-finals| 1 | Porthmadog | Denbigh | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Bye | Buckley | |
| 3 | Port Talbot | Seven Sisters | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Afan Lido | Evans Williams | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | Pwllheli | Rhyl | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Brickfield | NFA | 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Llantwit Major | Baglan Dragons | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Cwmbran Town | Ynyshir Albions | 5 : 4 |
| 9 | Llanelli | Bye | |
| 10 | Bye | Haverfordwest | |
| 11 | Aberystwyth | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Barry | |
| 13 | Caerphilly | Caldicot | 1 : 3 |
| 14 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers | Pentwynmawr Ath | 7 : 0 |
| 15 | Saltney Town | Gresford | 3 : 7 |
| 16 | Llanrug | Ruthin | 4 : 3 |
| 17 | Cardiff Metropolitan | Bye | |
| 18 | Taffs Well | Abertillery Excelsiors | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Mold Alexandra | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | TNS | |
| 21 | Newtown | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Caernarfon | |
| 23 | Llannefydd | Llanberis | 5 : 1 |
| 24 | Penrhyncoch | Sychdyn Utd | 2 : 0 |
| 25 | Llwydcoed | Lliswerry | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Pill | Treowen (WO.) | |
| 27 | Pontypridd | Bye | |
| 28 | Rhayader | Cefn Cribwr | 1 : 4 |
| 29 | Carmarthen Town | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Trethomas Bluebirds | |
| 31 | Llanfair United | Kinmel Bay | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Colwyn Bay | |
| 33 | Goytre Utd | Ammanford | 2 : 1 |
| 34 | Bye | Cambrian United | |
| 35 | Briton Ferry | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | Penybont | |
| 37 | Bow Street | Cefn Albion | 4 : 2 |
| 38 | Bye | Flint | |
| 39 | Holyhead | Forden Utd | 4 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Airbus | |
| 41 | Cwmbach Royal | Garden Village | 3 : 4 |
| 42 | Tredegar Town | Glynneath Town | 1 : 3 |
| 43 | Broughton Utd | Welshpool | 2 : 1 |
| 44 | Berriew FC | Trearddur Bay | 0 : 3 |
| 45 | Newport City | Bye | |
| 46 | Penygraig Utd | Cwm Welfare | 3 : 2 |
| 47 | Blaenavon Blues | Canton | 4 : 1 |
| 48 | Pontyclun | Tata | 4 : 1 |
| 49 | St. Asaph | Bangor 1876 | 0 : 6 |
| 50 | Bye | Guilsfield | |
| 51 | Holywell | Bye | |
| 52 | Rhostyllen | Nefyn United | 5 : 2 |
| 53 | Dinas Powys | Afan United | 3 : 1 |
| 54 | Cardiff Draconians | Cwmbran Celtic | 4 : 2 |
| 55 | Abercarn United | Swansea University | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Trefelin | |
| 57 | Caersws FC | Hawarden Rangers | 6 : 1 |
| 58 | Dolgellau Athletic | Queens Park | 8 : 3 |
| 59 | Penydarren | Caerau Ely | 0 : 5 |
| 60 | Morriston Town | Clydach | 1 : 0 |
| 61 | Llandudno | Bye | |
| 62 | Bye | Flint Mountain | |
| 63 | Bala | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Connahs Q. | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Porthmadog | Buckley | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Port Talbot | Afan Lido | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Rhyl | Brickfield | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Llantwit Major | Cwmbran Town | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Llanelli | Haverfordwest | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | Barry | 0 : 5 |
| 7 | Caldicot | Penrhiwceiber Rangers | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Gresford | Llanrug | 9 : 0 |
| 9 | Cardiff Metropolitan | Taffs Well | 5 : 1 |
| 10 | Mold Alexandra | TNS | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Newtown | Caernarfon | 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Llannefydd | Penrhyncoch | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Llwydcoed | Treowen | 2 : 5 |
| 14 | Pontypridd | Cefn Cribwr | 3 : 1 |
| 15 | Carmarthen Town | Trethomas Bluebirds | 5 : 1 |
| 16 | Kinmel Bay | Colwyn Bay | 0 : 5 |
| 17 | Goytre Utd | Cambrian United | 0 : 6 |
| 18 | Briton Ferry | Penybont | 0 : 5 |
| 19 | Bow Street | Flint | 0 : 3 |
| 20 | Holyhead | Airbus | 2 : 5 |
| 21 | Garden Village | Glynneath Town | 2 : 4 |
| 22 | Broughton Utd | Trearddur Bay | 0 : 6 |
| 23 | Newport City | Penygraig Utd | 3 : 1 |
| 24 | Blaenavon Blues | Pontyclun | 4 : 2 |
| 25 | Bangor 1876 | Guilsfield | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Holywell | Rhostyllen | 3 : 2 |
| 27 | Dinas Powys | Cardiff Draconians | 1 : 3 |
| 28 | Swansea University | Trefelin | 1 : 6 |
| 29 | Caersws FC | Dolgellau Athletic | 0 : 1 |
| 30 | Caerau Ely | Morriston Town | 3 : 0 |
| 31 | Llandudno | Flint Mountain | 3 : 0 |
| 32 | Bala | Connahs Q. | 0 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Porthmadog | Port Talbot | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Rhyl | Cwmbran Town | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Llanelli | Barry | 0 : 6 |
| 4 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers | Gresford | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Cardiff Metropolitan | TNS | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Caernarfon | Penrhyncoch | 4 : 0 |
| 7 | Treowen | Pontypridd | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | Colwyn Bay | 1 : 3 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | Penybont | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Flint | Airbus | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Glynneath Town | Trearddur Bay | 2 : 5 |
| 12 | Newport City | Blaenavon Blues | 3 : 2 |
| 13 | Bangor 1876 | Holywell | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | Trefelin | 3 : 4 |
| 15 | Dolgellau Athletic | Caerau Ely | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Llandudno | Connahs Q. | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Porthmadog | Rhyl | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Barry | Gresford | 4 : 0 |
| 3 | Cardiff Metropolitan | Caernarfon | 2 : 4 |
| 4 | Pontypridd | Colwyn Bay | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Penybont | Flint | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Trearddur Bay | Newport City | 5 : 3 |
| 7 | Bangor 1876 | Trefelin | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Caerau Ely | Llandudno | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rhyl | Barry | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Caernarfon | Colwyn Bay | 4 : 1 |
| 3 | Flint | Trearddur Bay | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Bangor 1876 | Caerau Ely | 3 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rhyl | Caernarfon | |
| 2 | Flint | Bangor 1876 | |
Final
