Crusaders vs Caernarfon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
17/07/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Ziskason H. (Fai)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSolidsport TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
228
Shots on Goal
93
Shots off Goal
93
Blocked Shots
42
Corner Kicks
33
Offsides
43
Goalkeeper Saves
26
Fouls
1615
Yellow Cards
40
Attacks
121132
Dangerous Attacks
7454

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Mendes P. , Thomas D. (A),
  • 35', Blaney J. , Forsythe J. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Nixon S. , Kennedy B. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Kennedy B. , Clarke R. (A),
  • 49', 2 - 1, Larmour D. , Clarke R. (A),
  • 55', Hill M. , Faux J. ,
  • 69', Clarke R. , Teelan J. ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Lowry P. ,
  • 75', Larmour D. 🟨,
  • 78', Lecky A. , Owens J. ,
  • 78', Offord K. , Boyd J. ,
  • 86', Forsythe J. 🟨,
  • 89', Weir R. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 102', Lloyd L. , Evans O. ,
  • 102', Thomas D. , Williams M. ,
  • 102', Mooney P. , Downey S. ,
  • 111', Boyd J. 🟨,
  • Penalties (7 - 8)
  • 1, Kennedy B. (Pen),
  • 1, Gosset D. (Pen),
  • 2, Forsythe J. (Pen),
  • 2, Mendes P. (Pen),
  • 3, Larmour D. (Pen),
  • 3, Owen M. (Pen),
  • 4, Boyd J. (Pen),
  • 4, Clarke Z. (Pen),
  • 5, Teelan J. (Pen),
  • 5, Faux J. (Pen),
  • 6, O'Rourke J. (Pen),
  • 6, McMullan S. (Pen),
  • 7, Lowry P. (Pen),
  • 7, Downey S. (Pen),
  • 8, Barr L. (Pen),
  • 8, Williams M. (Pen),
  • 9, Owens J. (Pen),
  • 9, Williams G. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Crusaders
61.8%
Draw
21.3%
Caernarfon Town
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 18.6% 12.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crusaders's form might have worsened.
  • Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Crusaders - Caernarfon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.34)
    4.36
    (4.95)
    5.52
    (7.16)
    7.6%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Crusaders - Caernarfon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Caernarfon will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crusaders: 21.7%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.
    • Crusaders is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Caernarfon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Crusaders is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crusaders - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
    11.07.2024 Caernarfon Town - Crusaders 2:0
    Latest results of Crusaders
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2