Result
2:0
18/04/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 32
- Referee: Charlton-Fleming C. (Wal)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | DAZN App |
 Mexico | DAZN App |
 Paraguay | DAZN App |
 Peru | DAZN App |
 Uruguay | DAZN App |
 Venezuela | DAZN App |
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Cieslewicz A. ⚽,
- 20', 2 - 0, Owen R. ⚽,
- 36', Bradley S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Mooney P. 🟨,
- 60', Gosset D. ↓, Lewis I. ↑,
- 66', Daley N. 🟨,
- 66', Cann E. ↓, Phillips I. ↑,
- 71', Venables C. ↓, Baker A. ↑,
- 74', Ludvigsen K. ↓, Warlow O. ↑,
- 75', Daley N. ↓, Villacorta J. ↑,
- 78', Cieslewicz A. ↓, Owen M. ↑,
- 79', Bradley S. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
- 87', Owen R. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
- 90+4', Baker A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town
51.7% | Draw
23.9% | Pen-y-Bont
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caernarfon Town's performance.Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caernarfon Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pen-y-Bont could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2) |
3.91 ↑
(3.5) |
3.82 ↑
(3.3) |
7.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Caernarfon will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Pen-y-Bont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 2.
- Caernarfon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pen-y-Bont has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Pen-y-Bont may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Caernarfon might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:43. (average 1.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.6:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Pen-y-Bont?
Caernarfon Town has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Caernarfon Town?
Pen-y-Bont has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:
24.01.2026
Pen-y-Bont
-
Caernarfon Town
0:0
25.10.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Caernarfon Town
0:2
20.09.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:2
13.04.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Caernarfon Town
3:1
22.02.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
3:2
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Draw
Conference League - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Barry (3) | Haverfordwest (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Colwyn Bay (5) | Penybont (6) | 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Haverfordwest (7) | Penybont (6) | 0 : 2 |
