Milan vs Cagliari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Milan - Cagliari
Result
1:1
11/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 20
  • Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2, Moja TV
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
italyItalyDAZN 2, DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoESPN
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1
norwayNorwayVG+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaCBS, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.37
Ball Possession
68%32%
Goal Attempts
246
Shots on Goal
112
Shots off Goal
102
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
91
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
123
Hit the Woodwork
20
Goalkeeper Saves
110
Free Kicks
119
Offsides
35
Fouls
911
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
1810
Touches in the Opposition Box
419
Passes
88% (475/537)73% (183/252)
Passes in the final third
80% (172/216)57% (25/44)
Crosses
9% (3/33)11% (1/9)
Tackles
69% (11/16)53% (9/17)
Clearances Total
1033
Interceptions
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Felici M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Morata A. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Zortea N. , Felici M. (A),
  • 62', Musah Y. , Abraham T. ,
  • 63', Calabria D. , Jimenez A. ,
  • 65', Viola N. , Deiola A. ,
  • 78', Palomino J. L. , Wieteska M. ,
  • 81', Felici M. , Augello T. ,
  • 81', Makoumbou A. , Marin R. ,
  • 82', Jimenez A. 🟨,
  • 88', Leao R. , Omoregbe B. ,
  • 90+1', Piccoli R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Milan
70.1%
Draw
18.9%
Cagliari
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 20.2% 13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7% 19.6% 12.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Milan - Cagliari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.43)
    5.08
    (4.72)
    8.73
    (7.2)
    4.2%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Milan - Cagliari?
  • Users Predictions: 85 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 70 - 82.4%). Cagliari will win (votes: 7 - 8.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 9.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 74.3%90.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan won 4.
    • Milan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Cagliari is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cagliari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Milan is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Milan: Chukwueze S. (Thigh Injury) Emerson Royal (Suspended) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Okafor N. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Cagliari: Ciocci G. (Shoulder Injury) Mutandwa K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Gabbia M. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Cagliari: Jankto J. (Injury) Luvumbo Z. (Ankle Injury) Mina Y. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Milan to win the game is with odds 1.39.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Milan won 15 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 46:16 (average 2.3:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 28:6 (average 2.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Cagliari were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Cagliari - Milan 3:3
    11.05.2024 Milan - Cagliari 5:1
    02.01.2024 Milan - Cagliari 4:1
    27.09.2023 Cagliari - Milan 1:3
    Latest results of Milan
    06.01.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 2:3
    03.01.2025 Juventus - Milan 1:2
    29.12.2024 Milan - Roma 1:1
    20.12.2024 Verona - Milan 0:1
    15.12.2024 Milan - Genoa 0:0
    Latest results of Cagliari
    05.01.2025 Monza - Cagliari 1:2
    28.12.2024 Cagliari - Inter Milan 0:3
    22.12.2024 Venezia - Cagliari 2:1
    17.12.2024 Juventus - Cagliari 4:0
    14.12.2024 Cagliari - Atalanta 0:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli22003:036
    2Juventus22003:036
    3Cremonese22005:326
    4AS Roma22002:026
    5Udinese21103:214
    6Inter21016:243
    7Lazio21014:223
    8AC Milan21013:213
    9Como21012:113
    10Bologna21011:103
    11Atalanta20202:202
    12Fiorentina20201:102
    13Pisa20111:2-11
    14Cagliari20111:2-11
    15Genoa20110:1-11
    16Parma20111:3-21
    17Lecce20110:2-21
    18Verona20111:5-41
    19Torino20110:5-51
    20Sassuolo20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B