Cagliari vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
02/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 18
  • Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
surinameSurinameSCCN
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.370.93
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
87% (387/446)87% (469/538)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.370.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.021.36
Total shots
611
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1428
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
810
Passes
87% (387/446)87% (469/538)
Long passes
44% (20/45)56% (30/54)
Passes in final third
65% (53/81)71% (102/144)
Crosses
11% (2/19)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.240.87
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
108
Tackles
77% (17/22)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4352
Clearances
2026
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.360.02
Goals prevented
0.360.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Leao R. , Rabiot A. (A),
  • 61', Obert A. , Idrissi R. ,
  • 61', Prati M. , Borrelli G. ,
  • 66', Esposito Se. , Gaetano G. ,
  • 69', Leao R. , Fullkrug N. ,
  • 69', Fofana Y. , Ricci S. ,
  • 79', Loftus-Cheek R. , Pulisic C. ,
  • 79', Estupinan P. , Gabbia M. ,
  • 83', Mazzitelli L. , Cavuoti N. ,
  • 83', Kilicsoy S. , Pavoletti L. ,
  • 83', Idrissi R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Palestra M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cagliari
16.2%
Draw
24.6%
Milan
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.8% 23.1% 60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7% 22.9% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Cagliari - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.93
    (5.65)
    3.88
    (4.1)
    1.61
    (1.58)
    4.9%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cagliari - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 85 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 4 - 4.7%). Milan will win (votes: 68 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 15.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 71.5%88.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.5 - Cagliari (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (25 of 25 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 3.8%). Milan (votes: 25 - 96.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Milan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Milan is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Folorunsho M. (Knee Injury) Pedro J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cagliari: Mazzitelli L. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:44. (average 0.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Milan were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Milan - Cagliari 1:1
    09.11.2024 Cagliari - Milan 3:3
    11.05.2024 Milan - Cagliari 5:1
    02.01.2024 Milan - Cagliari 4:1
    27.09.2023 Cagliari - Milan 1:3
    Latest results of Cagliari
    27.12.2025 Torino - Cagliari 1:2
    21.12.2025 Cagliari - Pisa 2:2
    13.12.2025 Atalanta - Cagliari 2:1
    07.12.2025 Cagliari - Roma 1:0
    03.12.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 2:1
    Latest results of Milan
    28.12.2025 Milan - Verona 3:0
    18.12.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:0
    14.12.2025 Milan - Sassuolo 2:2
    08.12.2025 Torino - Milan 2:3
    04.12.2025 Lazio - Milan 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter26211462:214164
    2AC Milan26159241:202154
    3Napoli26155639:271250
    4AS Roma26162834:161850
    5Juventus26137643:251846
    6Como26129541:192245
    7Atalanta26129536:221445
    8Bologna261061035:32336
    9Sassuolo261051132:35-335
    10Lazio26810826:25134
    11Udinese26951228:39-1132
    12Parma26881019:31-1232
    13Cagliari26781128:35-729
    14Genoa26691132:37-527
    15Torino26761325:47-2227
    16Fiorentina26591230:39-924
    17Cremonese26591221:36-1524
    18Lecce26661417:33-1624
    19Pisa261121320:43-2315
    20Verona26291519:46-2715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B