Cagliari vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Unipol Domus (Cagliari).

Serie A - Round 18
Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.37	0.93
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
6	11
Shots on target
1	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
87% (387/446)	87% (469/538)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37	0.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.02	1.36
Total shots
6	11
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
14	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
8	10
Passes
87% (387/446)	87% (469/538)
Long passes
44% (20/45)	56% (30/54)
Passes in final third
65% (53/81)	71% (102/144)
Crosses
11% (2/19)	46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.24	0.87
Throw-ins
14	23
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
77% (17/22)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
43	52
Clearances
20	26
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.36	0.02
Goals prevented
0.36	0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Leao R. ⚽, Rabiot A. (A),
61', Obert A. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
61', Prati M. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
66', Esposito Se. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
69', Leao R. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
69', Fofana Y. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
79', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
79', Estupinan P. ↓, Gabbia M. ↑,
83', Mazzitelli L. ↓, Cavuoti N. ↑,
83', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
83', Idrissi R. 🟨,
90+1', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
90+1', Palestra M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cagliari
16.2%

Draw
24.6%

Milan
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

23.1%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

22.9%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Cagliari - Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.93 ↑ (5.65)	3.88 ↓ (4.1)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	4.9% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cagliari - Milan?

Users Predictions: 85 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 4 - 4.7%). Milan will win (votes: 68 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 15.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 71.5% – 88.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 - Cagliari (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (25 of 25 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 3.8%). Milan (votes: 25 - 96.2%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Milan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Milan is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Folorunsho M. (Knee Injury) Pedro J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Cagliari: Mazzitelli L. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:44. (average 0.8:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Milan?

Cagliari has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Cagliari?

Milan has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Milan were as follows:

11.01.2025 Milan - Cagliari 1:1

09.11.2024 Cagliari - Milan 3:3

11.05.2024 Milan - Cagliari 5:1

02.01.2024 Milan - Cagliari 4:1

27.09.2023 Cagliari - Milan 1:3

Latest results of Cagliari

27.12.2025 Torino - Cagliari 1:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Cagliari - Pisa 2:2 ✺

13.12.2025 Atalanta - Cagliari 2:1 ✺

07.12.2025 Cagliari - Roma 1:0 ✺

03.12.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Milan

28.12.2025 Milan - Verona 3:0 ✺

18.12.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:0 ✺

14.12.2025 Milan - Sassuolo 2:2 ✺

08.12.2025 Torino - Milan 2:3 ✺

04.12.2025 Lazio - Milan 1:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	29	22	2	5	65:23	42	68
2	AC Milan	29	17	9	3	44:21	23	60
3	Napoli	29	18	5	6	45:30	15	59
4	Como	29	15	9	5	48:22	26	54
5	Juventus	29	15	8	6	51:28	23	53
6	AS Roma	29	16	3	10	39:23	16	51
7	Atalanta	29	12	11	6	40:27	13	47
8	Bologna	29	12	6	11	38:34	4	42
9	Lazio	29	10	10	9	29:28	1	40
10	Sassuolo	29	11	5	13	35:39	-4	38
11	Udinese	29	10	6	13	33:42	-9	36
12	Parma	29	8	10	11	21:36	-15	34
13	Genoa	29	8	9	12	36:40	-4	33
14	Torino	29	9	6	14	32:50	-18	33
15	Cagliari	29	7	9	13	31:41	-10	30
16	Fiorentina	29	6	10	13	34:43	-9	28
17	Lecce	29	7	6	16	21:39	-18	27
18	Cremonese	29	5	9	15	23:44	-21	24
19	Pisa	29	2	12	15	23:49	-26	18
20	Verona	29	3	9	17	22:51	-29	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B