Roma vs Cagliari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 24
  • Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDAZN, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Disney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
indonesiaIndonesiaANTV, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
iraqIraqAl Rabiaa Sport 2
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
paraguayParaguayDAZN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDAZN, Disney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN, Disney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.330.35
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
153
Shots on target
51
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
71
Passes
85% (427/505)80% (379/474)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
1.330.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.820.01
Total shots
153
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
40
Shots inside the box
152
Shots outside the box
01
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
346
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1418
Passes
85% (427/505)80% (379/474)
Long passes
56% (25/45)25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
70% (125/179)47% (27/57)
Crosses
28% (7/25)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.11
Throw ins
1714
Fouls
1814
Tackles
56% (5/9)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3944
Clearances
726
Interceptions
1315
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.011.82
Goals prevented
0.01-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Dossena A. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Malen D. , Mancini G. (A),
  • 40', Palestra M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Pellegrini Lo. , Zaragoza B. ,
  • 58', Mancini G. 🟨,
  • 59', Mazzitelli L. , Sulemana I. ,
  • 61', Gaetano G. 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Malen D. , Celik Z. (A),
  • 73', Kilicsoy S. , Pavoletti L. ,
  • 73', Esposito Se. , Idrissi R. ,
  • 82', Zaragoza B. 🟨,
  • 84', Cristante B. , El Aynaoui N. ,
  • 84', Soule M. , Venturino L. ,
  • 84', Malen D. , Arena A. ,
  • 87', Pedro J. , Zappa G. ,
  • 87', Gaetano G. , Trepy Y. ,
  • 89', Idrissi R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Roma
64%
Draw
23.3%
Cagliari
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 21.2% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5% 23.1% 11.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Roma - Cagliari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.43)
    4.12
    (4.5)
    7.53
    (7.77)
    4.7%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Roma - Cagliari?
  • Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 43 - 68.3%). Cagliari will win (votes: 12 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 56.8%79.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 - Roma (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Roma (1.83) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 35 - 89.7%). Cagliari (votes: 3 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.
    • Roma has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cagliari is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Roma is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Dybala P. (Knee Injury) El Shaarawy S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Hermoso M. (Hip Injury) Kone M. (Hip Injury) Vaz R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Folorunsho M. (Knee Injury) Mina Y. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:19. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 1.9:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Cagliari were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Cagliari - Roma 1:0
    18.08.2024 Cagliari - Roma 0:0
    05.02.2024 Roma - Cagliari 4:0
    08.10.2023 Cagliari - Roma 1:4
    Latest results of Roma
    02.02.2026 Udinese - Roma 1:0
    29.01.2026 Panathinaikos - Roma 1:1
    25.01.2026 Roma - Milan 1:1
    22.01.2026 Roma - Stuttgart 2:0
    18.01.2026 Torino - Roma 0:2
    Latest results of Cagliari
    31.01.2026 Cagliari - Verona 4:0
    24.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cagliari 1:2
    17.01.2026 Cagliari - Juventus 1:0
    12.01.2026 Genoa - Cagliari 3:0
    08.01.2026 Cremonese - Cagliari 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter32243575:294675
    2Napoli32206648:311766
    3AC Milan32189547:272063
    4Juventus32179655:292660
    5Como321610656:263058
    6AS Roma321831145:281757
    7Atalanta321411744:281653
    8Bologna321461242:37548
    9Lazio311111932:29344
    10Udinese321271338:42-443
    11Sassuolo321261439:43-442
    12Torino321161537:54-1739
    13Genoa32991438:45-736
    14Parma328121223:40-1736
    15Cagliari32891533:44-1133
    16Fiorentina317111336:44-832
    17Cremonese32691726:47-2127
    18Lecce32761921:45-2427
    19Verona32392023:55-3218
    20Pisa322121823:58-3518

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B