Result
2:1
11/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Haro D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (266/330) | 81% (337/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (266/330) | 81% (337/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 61% (37/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (77/107) | 68% (97/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Velarde C. ⚽, Manzaneda J. (A),
- 33', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Ramirez E. ⚽, Vasquez A. (A),
- 45+1', Torres F. 🟨,
- 45+3', Vasquez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 1, Torres F. ⚽,
- 56', Serra P. 🟨,
- 60', Quintana A. 🟨,
- 63', Palacios B. ↓, Balanta G. ↑,
- 64', Oncoy F. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 64', Quintero J. 🟨,
- 67', Mifflin L. ↓, Palomino J. ↑,
- 67', Velarde C. ↓, Quiroz A. ↑,
- 70', Quiroz A. 🟨,
- 74', Camargo I. ↓, Bueno P. ↑,
- 74', Torres F. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
- 80', Ramirez E. ↓, Ibarguen Y. ↑,
- 80', Alvarez L. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 82', Balanta G. 🟨,
- 85', Rugel L. 🟨,
- 89', Vasquez A. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
- 89', Manzaneda J. ↓, Mogollon E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Los Chankas
52.6% | Draw
26.5% | Cajamarca
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Chankas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Los Chankas - Cajamarca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.67) |
3.51 ↓
(4) |
4.42 ↓
(4.5) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Los Chankas - Cajamarca?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 1 - 50%). Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Los Chankas is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Los Chankas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Cajamarca?
Los Chankas has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Los Chankas?
Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - Cajamarca were as follows:
19.09.2024
Los Chankas
-
Cajamarca
1:1
15.04.2024
Cajamarca
-
Los Chankas
2:0
Latest results of Los Chankas
Latest results of Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
