Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        29/09/2025 at  14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.30 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 56% | 44% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (335/415) | 76% (241/316) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 4 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.30 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.01 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 1 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 2 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 6 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 21 | 10 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 5 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 13 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (335/415) | 76% (241/316) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 61% (40/66) | 31% (18/58) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 68% (95/139) | 49% (37/75) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 21% (3/14) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.39 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 23 | 23 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 13 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 80% (12/15) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 45 | 47 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 19 | 19 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 8 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 7 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.01 | 2.94 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.94 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 11', Vega R. 🟨, 
 - 17', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 0)
 - 46', Garro L. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑, 
 - 55', Quintero J. (Pen), 
 - 56', Vega R. ↓, Quintana A. ↑, 
 - 56', Manzaneda J. ↓, Quiroz A. ↑, 
 - 61', 2 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽, 
 - 64', Serra P. ↓, Rugel L. ↑, 
 - 64', Oncoy F. ↓, Cantt J. ↑, 
 - 68', Takeuchi O. ↓, Bueno P. ↑, 
 - 68', Rivero B. ↓, Dioses D. ↑, 
 - 69', Gonzalez H. 🟨, 
 - 78', Vasquez A. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑, 
 - 78', Quintero J. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑, 
 - 79', Torres F. ↓, Zamalloa F. ↑, 
 - 90+4', Gonzales D. 🟨, 
 - 90+5', Bueno P. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Cajamarca  49.2% | Draw  27% | Los Chankas  23.8% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Cajamarca - Los Chankas Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.91 ↓ (2.3) | 
			   3.45 ↑ (3.4) | 
			   3.93 ↑ (2.9) | 
			   6.9% (7.4%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Los Chankas?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            6 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 12).
 - Cajamarca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
 - Los Chankas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
 - Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  - Cajamarca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
 - There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
 - There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F.
(Knee Injury)
Velarde C.
(Knee Injury)
 - In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
 - Including home match between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Los Chankas?
                    
                    
                        
                            Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Cajamarca?
                    
                    
                        
                             Los Chankas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Los Chankas were as follows:
                                                        
                                11.05.2025 
                                Los Chankas 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.09.2024 
                                Los Chankas 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                15.04.2024 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Los Chankas 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cajamarca                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Los Chankas                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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