Result
2:0
29/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (335/415) | 76% (241/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (335/415) | 76% (241/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (40/66) | 31% (18/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (95/139) | 49% (37/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 2.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Vega R. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Garro L. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑,
- 55', Quintero J. (Pen),
- 56', Vega R. ↓, Quintana A. ↑,
- 56', Manzaneda J. ↓, Quiroz A. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽,
- 64', Serra P. ↓, Rugel L. ↑,
- 64', Oncoy F. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
- 68', Takeuchi O. ↓, Bueno P. ↑,
- 68', Rivero B. ↓, Dioses D. ↑,
- 69', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
- 78', Vasquez A. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 78', Quintero J. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 79', Torres F. ↓, Zamalloa F. ↑,
- 90+4', Gonzales D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bueno P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
49.2% | Draw
27% | Los Chankas
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Chankas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cajamarca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Chankas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cajamarca - Los Chankas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.3) |
3.45 ↑
(3.4) |
3.93 ↑
(2.9) |
6.9%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Los Chankas?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 12).
- Cajamarca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Los Chankas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cajamarca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F.
(Knee Injury)
Velarde C.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Los Chankas?
Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Cajamarca?
Los Chankas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Los Chankas were as follows:
11.05.2025
Los Chankas
-
Cajamarca
2:1
19.09.2024
Los Chankas
-
Cajamarca
1:1
15.04.2024
Cajamarca
-
Los Chankas
2:0
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Cusco | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Moquegua | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grau | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
