Santa Amalia vs Calamonte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Santa Amalia
41.9%
Draw
36.9%
Calamonte
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 29.2% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 28% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Amalia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Santa Amalia - Calamonte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (1.93)
    2.75
    (3.1)
    4.81
    (3.8)
    -1.6%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Santa Amalia has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Calamonte has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Santa Amalia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santa Amalia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Santa Amalia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Amalia - Calamonte were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Calamonte - Santa Amalia 1:2
    13.04.2025 Santa Amalia - Calamonte 1:0
    01.12.2024 Calamonte - Santa Amalia 0:1
    Latest results of Santa Amalia
    Latest results of Calamonte
    08.03.2026 Calamonte - Azuaga 0:1
    01.03.2026 Gévora - Calamonte 1:0
    22.02.2026 Jerez - Calamonte 0:0
    08.02.2026 Jaraíz - Calamonte 1:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito30197459:194064
    2CD Badajoz30195649:262359
    3Moralo30169549:282157
    4Azuaga30167746:271955
    5Jaraiz301410648:272152
    6Cabeza del Buey301312539:231651
    7Villafranca301361136:35145
    8Villanovense301281037:33444
    9Montijo301171236:34240
    10Jerez CF30717650:44638
    11Llerenense301061428:36-836
    12Santa Amalia30961529:46-1733
    13Puebla307111228:40-1232
    14Diocesano306101428:49-2128
    15Gevora30681628:48-2026
    16Pueblonuevo30751824:51-2726
    17CD Calamonte303131422:36-1422
    18Montehermoso30571820:54-3422

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